Just Can’t Put Your Finger On…

by on September 19, 2008 in Uncategorized - 358 Comments

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>>>DISCUSS IN THE FORUMS

…why the Leafs signed Jeff Finger?

Well, at least I got a Finger joke out of the way early on.

When the numbers 3.5 over 4 were first thrown around on the AM640, I figured it was a fantastic signing as Finger was one of the more underrated players in the league I hoped the Leafs would go after. I figured something in the range of $1.5-2M would be a great bargain, but less than $1M a year? Sign me up!

Then, I found out it was $3.5M PER year, and started scratching my head. Where was this coming from? Signing a guy most people have never even heard of to a double digit contract?

Where would Finger’s contract rank among NHL defensemen? It would place him roughly in the mid 50′s as of today, but one must also take into account the rising cap and increasing amount of free agent dollars thrown at players. But let’s just keep in mind roughly mid 50′s for the sake of some statistical analysis.

Now, why did they sign Jeff Finger? What roles is he being expected to take on? I think it would be reasonable to say the following three would be the main skills he would be be asked to bring to the table:

#1 – Log some decent minutes

#2 – Play reliable, defensive hockey

#3 – Bring a physical element into the game

Now, he’s being asked to do those things, but has he shown he can do the above mentioned tasks at a high level?

Well, let’s find out:

72 games played

121 hits (ranked 40th among NHL D-men)

117 blocked shots (Ranked 47th among NHL D-men)

26 takeaways (Ranked 51st among NHL D-men)

Post all-star Time on Ice (Ranked 43rd among NHL D-men)

+12 plus/minus rating (2nd on team, Ranked 24th among NHL D-men)

So by the looks of it, he certainly looks like a stat stuffer defensively, putting up numbers that would seem to indicate that he was indeed among the league’s top 40 D-men (or top pairing) defensively last season, and keep in mind those stats would be higher had he played 82 games, or had received the minutes he earned in the 2nd half, throughout the entire season.

So essentially, we’re paying him “mid 50′s” money to be a “top 40″ defender on the defensive side of the ice. Doesn’t look so bad now, does it?

Now before we all go rush off yelling we stole a top pairing defender off the market, it’s important to consider that all of this analysis is based off only 1 season of play. Jeff is unproven at the NHL level, but also just 28 years of age, so it’s essentially a big gamble.

The fact of the matter is, he’s being paid very handsomely based on some extremely underrated and very good play from one season. If Finger proves that it wasn’t a one time fluke, or that he even improves under Wilson’s tutelage and simple fact that he could be a late bloomer, then the Leafs may be very happy with this contract a few years from now. If he doesn’t and falls back to the level most people think he is (#5-6 stay at home defender), then Toronto took a big gamble and lost.

So while I’m not exactly  proclaiming my outright support and sheer joy for the Finger signing, I figured it would beneficial to shed some more light into the situation and perhaps understand a little bit of the reasoning behind why it was done.

Will Leafs fans ever commend Fletcher for giving them the Finger?  (Sorry, couldn’t resist.) Guess we’ll find out soon enough.

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  • looshV

    good read! I’m quite looking forward to see how things will work out with the club

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  • Bowness99

    great read!
    i feel alot better about the signing after its broken down like that

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  • Tyler

    If only it was as simple as putting up some defensive stats and saying that he is top 40 in the league in terms of defensive dmen, but we only pay him top 50 money.

    Unfortunately, most of the top paid dmen in the league are offensive. For instance you can’t look at Finger’s numbers and compare them to Kaberle’s in terms of shots blocked and hits, and see that we got a great deal because he is way better than Kaberle.

    If you go through the guys paid better than Finger or the same, and see which ones are paid that based solely on their defensive ability the list you get is much shorter.

    - Scott Hannan 4.5
    - Robyn Reghr 4.5
    - Jay McKee 4
    - Mike Commodore 3.75
    - Brooks Orpik 3.75
    - Cory Sarich 3.6
    - Derian Hatcher 3.5
    - Willie Mitchell 3.5
    - Matthias Ohlund 3.5
    - Chris Phillips 3.5

    Quite honestly at his salary range, he needs to play like one of the elite defensive dmen in the league. But the real reason that the they got him is because they also think that his offensive game will keep improving. They took a real risk, because his salary for this year is not justified by his play from last year.

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  • coltho

    Not for anything, it isn’t like the Leafs have much else to spend the money on. They are going to be crap for 3 more years so you might as well take a chance on this guy as well as someone like Frogren.

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  • http://admin Alex Tran

    Excellent point Tyler.

    I agree that his offensive game is also a bit underrated and could continue to improve if given the opportunity.

    Finger wasn’t given any PP time, but consider his ES stats, as compared to some Leaf defenders:

    Jeff Finger – 17 ES points

    Pavel Kubina – 22 ES points

    Tomas Kaberle – 23 ES points

    A lot closer than I’m sure a lot of people would’ve thought.

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  • http://admin Alex Tran

    And to build on Tyler’s post about the free agency money toward defensive defensemen, let’s compare Finger to his ’08 co-signees:

    Mike Commodore:

    67 games played

    144 hits (ranked 24th among NHL D-men)

    95 blocked shots (Ranked 81st among NHL D-men)

    23 takeaways (Ranked 81st among NHL D-men)

    18:12 Time on Ice (Ranked 141st among NHL D-men)

    -7 plus/minus rating (Ranked 234th among NHL D-men)

    Ouch. Aside from hits, Finger has Commodore blown out of the water in every other statistical category, and yet, Mike’s making more money over a longer term.

    Brooks Orpik:

    78 games played

    239 hits (ranked 2nd among NHL D-men)

    125 blocked shots (ranked 32nd among NHL D-men)

    10 takeaways (ranked 179th among NHL D-men)

    16:59 time on ice (ranked 173rd among NHL D-men)

    +11 plus/minus ratin (ranked 32nd among NHL D-men)

    Now Brooks Orpik is a much closer example to Finger, and he too got nearly double the amount of total money.

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  • betterforsome

    The problem I have with the Finger signing is not so much the amount (though I still think he’s somewhat overpaid) as the sheer unnecessarity of it. The Leafs blueline was overstuffed before Finger’s arrival. Now depending on who you ask it looks something like:

    Kaberle Kubina
    Van Ryn Stralman
    Colaiacovo Finger
    Frogren

    White, Kronwall, Schenn

    Even though Schenn would benefit from another year in junior, White and Kronwall can be scratched or sent to the Marlies (and White would have to clear waivers, Kronwall I’m not sure about), and Colaiacovo is a huge injury risk, Finger still seems like a player we didn’t actually -need- even if we’re going to trade some of these guys sooner or later. I’d rather just see one of the younger guys get a shot.

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  • coltho

    I think the idea Fletcher had was to give Wilson as many tools as possible to form his defence for the year. Hopefully they make the roster decisions based on how they perform and NOT how much they are getting paid. I cant see this hurting. IF Stralman disappoints in his second year, Frogren can’t make the transition and Finger turns out to be a dud, there are parts to mix and match. If not, White is expendable, Colaiacovo is injury prone and unreliable for long stretches and Schenn would do better to serve another year in Kelowna

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