Player Stat Projections

by Alec Brownscombe on December 14, 2008 in Uncategorized - 7 Comments

For your perusal:

Average Time On Ice:

Matt Stajan: 16:35
Nik Antropov: 17:22
Nik Hagman: 18:06
Lee Stempniak: 18:46
Alex Ponikarovsky: 15:28
Mikhail Grabovski:17:27
Jason Blake: 16:20
Tomas Kaberle: 23:50
Dominic Moore: 15:38
Pavel Kubina: 20:42
Mike Van Ryn: 19:50
Ian White: 17:30
Nik Kulemin: 14:33
Anton Stralman: 15:51
Jeff Finger: 21:44
John Mitchell: 11:47
Jamal Mayers: 9:50
Ryan Hollweg: 6:20
Jonas Frogren: 14:13
Andre Deveaux: 7:05

*Matt Stajan’s pace has been slowing as of late, expectedly, and one can anticipate that Nik Antropov or Nik Hagman will lead the team in point scoring this year.

*Balancing point totals and +/-, at this pace Nik Hagman will be the Leafs‘ best all-around forward . Alex Ponikarovsky has also been quietly having a great year 5-on-5.

*One stat that really stood out: the +/- for the Leafs’ fourth line players (Ryan Hollweg, John Mitchell, Jamal Mayers). The fourth line has been defensively detrimental despite limited ice-time. I think that reflects poorly on John Mitchell. I feel Mitchell should be with the Marlies playing more minutes rather than wasting his time alongside the likes of Hollweg and Deveaux. He’s got the potential to be a 30-40 point, two-way third line center.

*A credit to the Leafs’ by-committee offense: the Leafs are tenth league-wide in the goals-per-game category, yet lack a player that’s likely to reach the 65 or 70 point plateaus.

*Tomas Kaberle and Pavel Kubina’s +/- figures aren’t overly surprising. I’ve been a bit perplexed as to why Ron Wilson has been adamant about pairing the two, it’s a defensive-zone disaster waiting to happen everytime they play together.

*Kaberle’s -9 (all +/- numbers are current) would be the worst of his career. Contrast these last two years (-8 in 07/08, -9 so far in 08/09) with his +/- figures in ’02/03 and ’03-04 (+20 & +16). Then take a glance at his offensive numbers post vs. pre lockout (39, 47 & 31 pre, 67, 58 & 53 post). The rule changes have predictably benefited his offensive game but clearly ruined his own-zone game. His defensive positioning this year has seemed particularly amiss. Kaberle’s stock is only falling… I’d try to sell as soon as possible if I was Burke.

*Ian White’s season is shaping up nicely. The GP projection for him will likely be off as White appears to have nailed down a line-up spot now going forward.

*Nik Kulemin is the least played of the Leafs’ top 9 forwards at 14 and a half minutes a night.

Anything else stand out to you guys?

Tags: Alex Ponikarovsky, Alexei Ponikarovsky, Andre Deveaux, Anton Stralman, Dominic Moore, Forward, Ian White, Jamal Mayers, Jason Blake, Jeff Finger, John Mitchell, Jonas Frogren, Lee Stempniak, Matt Stajan, Mike Van Ryn, Mikhail Grabovski, National Hockey League, Nik Antropov, Nikolai Kulemin, Pavel Kubina, player, Ron Wilson, Ryan Hollweg, Tomas Kaberle, Toronto Maple Leafs Print article