Why Uneven is Right.

by on February 2, 2009 in Uncategorized - 33 Comments

Share

I feel that the NHL has paradoxically lost a lot of it’s appeal to the casual hockey observer by ushering in a salary cap and establishing the presence of relative parity. The prospect of competitive balance within the sport of hockey was long viewed as the ideal scenario, assuring the opportunity to succeed in any given season for even the least moneyed franchises and as a direct result providing these franchises with the means to draw new fans out of their tepid markets. It all sounded good on paper. But the league has lost a valuable dynamic that in my estimation plays a large part in the success of other major sports leagues and associations within North America.

Parity, we can all agree, was intended to draw non-hockey sports fans to hockey games in weak hockey markets by providing those teams with a competitive and balanced economic landscape in which to operate. DGB put it perfectly, however, when discussing in his blog the current hot button topic of fighting; it’s Business 101 that, as nice as it is to expand your present audience, you don’t sacrifice some of your current customer base in order to do so. And I do feel the NHL is losing a very valuable dynamic and could, over time, cost the league some of it’s following. Perhaps not the hardcore types that are reading and the one writing this very blog – the special breed that couldn’t imagine life without hockey, those that would gripe and complain if they didn’t like the current state of the NHL but would by no means abandon it all together – but moreso the upcoming, current and older generations of casual hockey fans. That dynamic is dynasties.

The days of the 1980s Oilers have most certainly waned into the NHL’s distant rearview. During Wayne Gretzky’s reign, the Great One skated alongside the likes of Paul Coffey, Glen Anderson, Jari Kurri and Mark Messier, all of whom hit the 50 goal mark during their respective stays. With the modern player salary, I challenge even Lou Lamoriello to fit a combination of just two or three of those assets under his cap.

There’s some chance of a repeat of the Detroit Red Wings’ semi-dynasty of the late ’90s to early 2000s over the next few years. Their ability to stay atop the hockey standings without any form of relapse in the form of a re-build/tool can be attributed to an astounding ability to identify and draft NHL-worthy talent on the part of front office personnel combined with astute behind-the-bench management from their coaching staff. It truly is a fine oiled machine of an organization, with a scouting department that has a knack for finding players that will blossom within the coaching staff’s efficacious system. I’d be willing to bet that, without the constraints of a salary cap, the Wings would be in the midst of a full out dynasty right now. They wouldn’t have to tradeoff assets while trying to keep in tact as much of the roster as possible and could actually sign a pricey number one goaltender to strengthen their defensive game that much further. Another major factor that may indeed contribute to future repeats of last year’s success is the winning culture and reputation of excellence that exists in Hockeytown, which inspired Marian Hossa to take a paycut to join the championship fold last summer. The Red Wings’ era of success will one day dissipate and it’s hard to envision a club ascending to the peak of the hockey world to take their place as the indubitable best team in the NHL, let alone one-upping them and forming a dynasty. All of this said, the Red Wings happen to play a monotonous brand of hockey that appears requisite to consistent success in the modern day NHL landscape and that’s not overly appealing to fans. There isn’t the sense of the big, bad Red Wings coming to town that can get casual fans excited and willing to buy tickets to see if their hometown heroes can slay hockey’s leviathan. More likely, fans will think “great, the Red Wings are coming to town to slowly and systematically suck the life out of my team while I fall half-asleep.”

On this topic, I’ve found something on which I actually agree with Bob McCown. In his book “McCown’s Law, The 100 Greatest Hockey Arguments,” the blustering radio host points out in his 25th argument that many of a sport’s greatest historical moments are defined by dynasties. Think the Cowboys, the Steelers, the Bulls, the Yankees, the Packers, the Patriots. McCown points out that it’s also true of individual sports. I know, while a causal observer of the PGA tour, I never truly cared about the tour before Tiger Woods stepped onto the scene. Before hand, the winners from tournament-to-tournament just seemed way too all-over-the-map to even pretend to care. Either you tune in as a fan of Tiger, or to see who might rise to the occasion and beat Tiger this weekend. And McCown is again bang on when he says that the lack of a dominant force in the current heavyweight class has played a major role in the ongoing decline in boxing interest.

If you’re trying to convince one of your non-hockey fan friends to start watching the sport, as McCown says, you will probably show them highlights of the 1980s Oilers or the Canadiens of the 1970s. If the friend decides to tune into a few games, he probably won’t last long when he realizes there isn’t a team anywhere close in terms of appeal. And the casual fan might well start to lose interest as the Lightning, the Hurricanes, the Senators and seemingly the Pittsburgh Penguins and Anaheim Ducks come and go faster than a fart in the wind.

To bring it back to home, the prospects for the Maple Leafs‘ re-build are brought into question. The Lightning, the Penguins, the Hurricanes and the Ducks built up their squads over a number of years only to have but one or at best two real shots at the Cup before some of their secondary cast had to be sacrificed in order to retain their stars. Ottawa had opportunities pre-lockout before having but two shots afterwards because of cap issues. The Maple Leafs appear to be going the way of building through the draft. One can only worry that their window of contention will be similarly ephemeral. As it stands, it’s hard to envision the Leafs having more than just a couple of seasons in which to capture Lord Stanley’s mug, with the continuation of an enduring drought and the hopes of a famished fanbase standing in the balance.

Furthermore, don’t the fans of a team with a sold out building at record high prices deserve the right to contribute to a dynasty?

VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
Rating: 0.0/10 (0 votes cast)
VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
Rating: 0 (from 0 votes)

Print article

  • http://torontosportsmedia.com torontosportsmedia.com

    Alec:

    I am a huge fan of your work. I think (and this may be off topic) that one negative thing that resulted from the changes that had the biggest negative impact is the lack of trades. No The fact that trades happen on 2 days during the year (deadline and draft days) really hurts a league where the fans are so electronically tuned in.

    I think Burke is on the right path that salaries should be trade able up to a certain amount.

    http://torontosportsmedia.com

    VA:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast)
    VA:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0 (from 0 votes)
  • Garrett Bauman

    Vesku,

    The attendance tends to spill over into the next season. After Nashville made the playoffs for the first time, their season-ticket sales skyrocketed for the following year. Florida had good ticket sales for a few years after they got to the Final — the attendance from 1996-1999 was great — but not making the playoffs for several years’ straight, and having teams that were no fun to watch, eventually killed their ticket sales. In Carolina, the same thing is starting to happen now.

    Los Angeles at least had Gretzky for close to a decade, and the team was competitive for most of those years. New fans were introduced to the game when he arrived in California, and many have stayed on … despite the team’s poor showing the past few years, there has been no talk of the Kings moving or experiencing money problems of any sort.

    See, it’s the amount of time a sports team is competitive, that will create life-long fans in areas dominated by other sports. In Nashville, we’ve seen fans unite to try to keep the team in place (not unlike Winnipeg in the mid 90s) … which goes to show that people can become passionate about the game of hockey anywhere in the US. The question is, can enough people become more than just casual fans? The answer to that lies in whether or not the team can give them a reason to cheer. And only sustained success will do that.

    Note that the Original 6 markets in the US (Bos, NY, Det, Chi) have a huge fanbase. Why? Because they’ve been around so long, they’ve been a part of the culture of those cities, and they’ve won. Maybe not often (Chicago), but they have won, and have been competitive for long stretches.

    The spill-over from that success is evidenced in nearby markets: Long Island, Pittsburgh, Philadelphia, New Jersey, Washington … all have passionate and devoted fan bases. All but Washington have a history of winning the Stanley Cup, and both Pittsburgh and Washington have superstar players who provide hope for a championship every year.

    In Tampa Bay, it was hoped that the Lightning’s Cup win would help teams like Florida and Atlanta, in terms of fan spill-over. It might have … had the lockout been averted. Instead, the year off killed any momentum moving forward off that win. It is worth noting that the Lightning still do have a very solid and supportive fan base.

    VA:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast)
    VA:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0 (from 0 votes)
  • http://admin Alec Brownscombe

    Garrett – pre-lockout NHL had more competitive balance than the NFL does.

    The Flames and the Lightning squared off in the Stanley Cup final in 03/04 and both were ranked below the average league payroll. Anaheim, Minnesota and Ottawa were all competitive.

    The NFL meanwhile had the Patriots winning in three out of four seasons. The Eagles never won but they were mainstays in the Conference Finals for several years as well.

    As I said above, in addition to the fact that hockey is a sport in which intangibles play a more integral role in the success of a team, the NHL had the minimum UFA age set above 30 years old to assure that poorer teams weren’t getting outbid for their talented players as they were entering their prime. You look at the Rangers and the Leafs and there were two teams that were overspending on over-the-hill players and ultimately failing to win anything.

    So, it was clear towards the lockout that the NHL was by no means terribly imbalanced, even compared to sports with salary caps. And there was still the potential for a dynasty should a team be able to assemble the right parts.

    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast)
    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0 (from 0 votes)
  • vesku35

    ^^ Bingo

    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast)
    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0 (from 0 votes)
  • HBM

    Alec I think you really missed the mark here with your idea of the salary cap and the fact that the NFL is not a comparable source for the NHL. I think that is why when Bettman is gone they are going to bring in former NFL personal to bring the NHL into a new era. The soft cap in baseball doesn’t create interest because even when teams like Tampa win the world series they are systematically picked apart by the big money teams, i.e. Florida when it won the championship. i do agree that dominance helps but the patriots did it and the steelers look like they could as well, but if you think that the Patriots are just Tom Brady well then you need to watch more football, they where missing a big chunk of their team this year. The hard cap allows a team to be able to hold onto those assets and even if they loose a piece or two go out and grab them back in free agency(equal opportunity). Also it helps the notion of finally getting another small market team in Canada such as in Manitoba or even Southern Ontario. In the NFL this is why a team such as Jacksonville is able to stay competitive in the middle of Tampa, Miami, and Atlanta. I think where the NHL has missed out in terms of expansion franchise’s is the fact that they wait to long before they move failing teams, look at how many times the Rams, Raiders, and Cardinal’s have moved in the last 20-30 years. Even the beloved Brown’s were moved when they had more then enough time to prove they are a contributor not a hindrances to the league. On the flip side they were given a second “you don’t know what you got till its gone” chance. In the NHL’s case it’s to ridged to think that Winnipeg would not let go of their team if given a second chance while Atlanta gets theirs….that’s the slap in the face to the casual hockey fan. The cap is a way to keep the casual fan interested in terms of “wow its Carolina vs. Calgary” and not always Detroit vs. Montreal, Toronto , New York. That in my opinion would be the death of hockey as we know it. By the way I don’t remember having a dynasty in Toronto without the cap either. Where the leauge should step in to reward the fans is setiing a cap on how much a team can charge to see their team that would bring in the casual fan in even big markets like Toronto. Even go as far to cap the season tickets that can be sold so you have a real fan base sitting in the ACC and not a third of the seats empty for 5 + minutes at the start of the 2nd and 3rd.

    Oh and comparing the NHL to FIFA makes no sense……your talking about the biggest sport in the world vs. one that is trying to survive. When there are 5 different leagues that all have competitive teams then maybe but there is on league and its the NHL that has the majority of the talent…… Ask anyone from england and I guarantee that you’ll beat them with your knowledge of soccer compared to theirs of hockey, and that goes for most places in the world.

    VA:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast)
    VA:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0 (from 0 votes)
  • Roacho

    HBM that was very well said. I agree with your points. In the end, I think that the hard cap is essential for the survival of most of the teams in the league. It may be the end of the traditional dynasties, but that doesn’t have to be a bad thing. Every team has an equal chance to build a contender with the right personnel and that parity is what we should be proud to have in our game.

    VA:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast)
    VA:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0 (from 0 votes)
  • http://www.pensionplanpuppets.com Chemmy

    HMB, Florida’s owner Jeffrey Loria is notoriously cheap. The Marlins weren’t picked apart, they were destroyed by their owner because he thought he could maximize profit by not paying his players anything and enjoying the rush of attention after winning the World Series.

    VA:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast)
    VA:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0 (from 0 votes)
  • http://www.pensionplanpuppets.com Chemmy

    Oops, “HBM”, sorry for the typo.

    VA:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast)
    VA:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0 (from 0 votes)