Post-Game: Leafs/Caps – Good God…Gerber?!?

by on March 5, 2009 in Uncategorized - 46 Comments

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Martin Gerber stole this game for the Toronto Maple Leafs.  A few months ago, that sentence would have made absolutely no sense for so many reasons.  In his first game as a Leaf, Gerber played in a fashion that will make more than a few Senator fans shake their heads in frustration.  Other than a late goal that broke his shutout, Toronto’s new Swiss goaltender stopped a Washington squad that has admittedly struggled of late.

Here are some notes from this Thursday night toss-up:
-Jeff Hamilton was definitely an interesting move by Brian Burke.  He was brought in to inject some offense into Burke’s NHL squad without drawing from the recently booming AHL development of players such as Jiri Tlusty and Tim Stapleton.  While Hamilton won’t be in the long term plans of the Maple Leafs, he’s a small firecracker with the ability to pot some goals.  Hell, you know you’re small when the barely six foot John Mitchell calls you “a little guy”

-Speaking of John Mitchell, he’s had a few good games riding shotgun with Jason Blake.  The kid has the tools to be the next Dominic Moore, and a capable third line forward down the road.  However, when he was smothered with plugs like Hollweg and May on fourth line duty he didn’t have the tools to support his speed or skill-set.  Here’s to one of the best indirect results of clearing out players at the trade deadline: the increased development of some of our youngsters.

-The summertime window where the NTC’s of Kaberle and Kubina will be lifted has been quite publicized.  So has the possibility that Burke held off trading them now, but fully intends to explore his options then.  One has to think if that is the case, then it has been a wise move.  We know Kaberle’s value, talent and contract taken into account, will not change.  Furthermore, Pavel’s value has continuously been on the rise after a lackluster start.  Kubina has played lights-out hockey the last month or so and has been reminding teams around the league why he is an offensive force to be reckoned with.

With a grating touch of irony, the goalie that many fans hoped would lead our charge back down the standings and towards the prize of a high draft pick began a movement in the exact opposite direction.  Undoubtedly, the need to prove himself prompted some of Gerber’s flare tonight, but it is very likely that the lack of pressure and the pride factor will result in more strong play down the stretch.  Here’s to hoping that we see a bit more of the Swiss cheese that we got so used to in an Ottawa uniform.

As always, interested to hear your thoughts.

Cheers,

Nik

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  • looshV

    @ betterforsome
    I did read this article before but there is a major stipulation to his analysis and that is the 100 game minimum. 100 games makes a season and a quarter(roughly)….hardly a career. And further to that he is simply pointing out in reality the chance of those players playing at least 100 games. I would be curious to know the true success rate over a minimum 5 season period. By his own rating scale the vast majority of those picks are closer to just top six forwards.
    PS: Alexandre Daigle played 616 career NHL games and he certainly never came close to anything near his projection.
    What he is saying is that there is a 96% chance that your top 5 pick will play 100 games……..that’s it! This is largely due to the fact that GM’s come hell or high water will have that player playing by virtue of the fact he was a top 5 pick regardless ig he’s great or not.

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  • looshV

    Lovin the way Kubina is playing by the way. And nothing but props to martin gerber. I must admit I was expecting him to shit himself.

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  • betterforsome

    @ looshV fair enough, it’s not like Cullen was analyzing something more tangible like points-per-game rates. What I was trying to get across is that while busts are inevitable, the best odds on successfully drafting a star come with picks 1-5 and hey, we’re trying to build through the draft here. With some projected generational talents avaliable this year I’m hoping for the highest pick we can earn or steal and then counting on our scouts to get it right.
    P.S. truth is I just want Brayden Schenn, I’m a sucker for symmetry.

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  • Jes

    Loosh what I did was look at the most recent years. I think it’s far more accurate to look at recent history and not what happened 10 years ago or so. Because the fact is the last 5 or 6 years the draft has been significantly improved over the past. This only looks to continue.

    I feel that we need to continue to draft well in the later rounds, but a top 5 pick is a pretty sure thing, especially right now with the NHL talent getting better and better than in the past.

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  • Mizuno

    I turned on the TV mid 2nd period and i kept seeing an orangey stain on the ice. Im like wut? Am i seeing colour? I found out it was Finger’s injury omg!

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  • Blue Max

    Sorrry Jes, I said Ron Guillet, yet it was you I wished to thank for a great post.
    Guillet is probably another idiot Habs fan. Enjoy the short playoffs idiot Ron!

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  • looshV

    Jes, I do ultimately agree with the whole strategy of picking as low as possible but I am torn by the fact that I do want to see players like Kubina, Kaberle and Blake prosper on this team because they provide valuable leadership which is by example. I have been blown away by the “new” Jason Blake this year, the fist pump has been in taken down several gears and he is starting to emerge as a calmer more intelligent leader on this club. Kudos to Kubina this year as well, what can you say?, the guy is freaking red hot. I would like to see this come right out of the gate next year as opposed to this horrific trend of turning it on at the wrong times when we need it least. It’s like a Seinfeld episode at times.

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  • looshV

    Great post Wook. I wholeheartedly agree and have had hockeybuzz taken off my bookmarks tab for a while now. http://peklundthephoneyhockeyblogger.blogspot.com/
    Dunno if you have seen this or not but it’s funny as hell and couldn’t be closer to the truth.

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  • betterforsome

    @ Wook agreed, buddy. No one tell the Hockeybuzz commentors about this site – if Unholy_Goalie shows up here we’re going to have to build a new one.
    @ Blue Max Guillet was being sarcastic.

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  • betterforsome

    @looshV Ahahaha hilarious. All that’s missing is the pointless stories about what his wife and kids did today. Of course the real fun starts come playoff time when Eklund posts his arbitrary, unbelievably random “Ek factors” for determining the victor in each night’s matchup. There’s science behind it!

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  • Jes

    Yeah loosh, Blake has been fantastic, and I actually would like to see him part of the rebuild. Kubina has been really good. Kubina might of actually increased his value for refusing to waive his no trade the past 2 deadlines.

    His game has gotten much better.

    IMO it’s win/win with Kubina. We can either deal him for a very good value in the summer, or we can choose to keep him if teams cannot step up with any good offers like they didn’t with Antropov. Either way I see it as a no lose situation with Kubina. We either lose him and get good prospects, or we keep him and he’s a great part of our team now and down the road.

    I wouldn’t have a problem if Kubina and Blake staying with us. But I feel like kaberle is a more expendable player and should be dealt.

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  • looshV

    @ betterforsome, I literally can laugh myself right to sleep after a stressful day by simply reading Eklunds comedic genius once in a while. HB’s trade deadline “coverage” entailed every other blogger actually breaking trades while his head spins.

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  • looshV

    Or wait……Eklunds DOMINO EFFECT!!! Ooooooh watch out everyone!

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  • taterchips

    @ Blue Max:

    re: Ron Guillet. He’s a MLHS blogger and contributor to the site. If you did your homework before you open your mouth you might not embarrass yourself so much.
    .
    Good game tonight and really impressive effort by Mitchell. If he’s not careful he may work his way into a second line role.

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  • CarltontheBear

    The drive for 9th is alive and well

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  • leafslunch

    Now do we see why Mitchell is a keeper? Patience, Poise, Work Ethic and Awareness.

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  • leafslunch

    Sorry I just love that kid.

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  • Lance

    Fans cheer for their team, and what is best for their team – period. I hope people stop throwing mud at eachother and stick to their opinions without trying to offend. Both tankers and others can be fans. They just go about it differently. I can’t remember the last time that a team like the Redwings had a top 5 pick, and they have continuously built solid teams. The draft is impotrant, but top picks aren’t the only way.
    Man did Gerber steal the show! I for one would love to see that kind of performance every night, even if in the end it means finishing one point out of the dance.
    How can we not cheer for showings like that?

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  • Nikhil Daljeet

    @leafscrazy…and others. Let me just clarify. Anybody that knows me at all knows that I never CHEER for this team to lose. I’m always excited when we win, and wouldn’t dream of being any other way. Especially at the beginning of seasons when we have yet to see how the current team unfolds. However, at this point when it is so statistically improbable that we make the playoffs that it is essentially impossible, it is very obvious that the best outcome for this team is to finish as low as possible. Simple fact, this is a different situation from the beginning of any one season. Now, that being said, it was the reasoning behind my wishful thinking afterthought at the end of this piece. Martin Gerber is by all accounts a great guy. Even if he wasn’t I’m not one to wish ill luck on any player unless he absolutely deserves it (eg. Sean Avery). However, my point was that in the end, it’d be much better for our squad if he played like he did earlier in the year.

    I’m going to a game next Thursday with my girlfriend. I will cheer every moment (and undoubtedly louder than the suits that will surround me) and will be ecstatic if we win another close one like tonight. Then I will walk out of the building with that bitter aftertaste knowing that in the end it would have been better for us if we had lost the game.

    Tough gig being a Leaf fan nowadays, ain’t it?

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  • taterchips

    Well said Nikhil.

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