The Free Agency Bargain Bin

by on June 3, 2009 in Uncategorized - 61 Comments

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In the MLSE land of unreasonable expectations, even a superstar troupe like Burke and Wilson will not be afforded another record breaking season; at least not if said record is a fifth consecutive season of playoff free hockey. Subsequently Burke is going to be looking for a catalyst to the rebuilding project come summer and the most obvious route will arrive in early July, not a week earlier in Montreal.

Naturally this fills one with both trepidation and excitement. The free agency rebuild is a model based on short term mediocrity in a system continually throwing picks and prospects at trades to support those early July scraps while crippling the long term security of the club. Burke has already shown he can weave a fine line between youth and experience in Anaheim but even then it was at the expense of the cap in a net growth market.

Unfortunately Burke is a victim of an intolerant and impatient organization that continually scupper efforts to make the team genuine contenders and in taking the job almost certainly knew he would never be given the kind of timeframe Dean Lombardi inherited from Dave Taylor in LA.

Where Pittsburgh had the dubious draft lottery to thank in speeding up their draft built system, the Kings have been far superior poster boys for the pitfalls and crapshoots of trying to build solely through youth and some six seasons down the line the end of the road is still a long way from sight in the Sunbelt.

Effectively what this leaves Burke with is a juggling act during the free agency period. With so much emphasis on youth, Burke is going to want a good combination of young UFA’s who can help the team down the line as well as a smattering of short term veterans who will be able to bring the younger players through. While many are eyeing up the juiciest names as potential Leafs targets, the Sedins, Bouwmeester’s and Gaborik’s of this world, chances are Burke will be looking for a number of useful role players who can throw out some offence or support whilst adding playoff ready depth.

With over $44million already tied up in cap for next season compared to just $16million in 2010-’11, this direction would certainly seem the most prudent in the short term as it will afford developing talent ice time while keeping the door open for big offseason signings a year later when the expected cap fall will tie many teams hands.

Of course, one cannot rule out Burke making his big play this close season, particularly with a certain pair of personally drafted Swedish twins offering up good production for their combined value. But, as it became painfully apparent last season, the Leafs need more than two players if they hope to secure a playoff spot next season and with the cap value and goaltending issues tempering the Leafs real market power for the meantime, you can only assume Brian Burke is scouring the free agency pool for potential bargains.

Here is a few bargain bin UFA’s who could tempt Brian come early July 1st.

Top Four Defensemen

Assuming either Kaberle or Kubina or both are no longer Leafs come next season, Wilson would have to work wonders with a defensive unit sorely lacking experience or talent. If the Leafs were to have even the faintest chance of going beyond 82 games they would need at least one established top four D-man.

Francois Beauchemin

Age: 28 2008-09 Salary: $1.6million

A consummate minute muncher in Anaheim, Beauchemin was all but unknown when Burke splashed out for him early in his Ducks tenure. Little more than a safe pair of hands, Beauchemin plays a simple but physical game and, while his offense can be streaky, Beauchemin has proven a useful point man albeit used sparingly as such in Anaheim. If his salary can stay around the $2million mark Beauchemin could be a less glitzy band aid in the Toronto back line.

Karlis Skrastins

Age: 34 2008-09 Salary: $2.4million

The Latvian would have to take a pay cut to be an attractive proposition, but the former league iron man who played 495 consecutive games between February 2000 and February 2007 is perhaps one of the most underrated defensive defenders in the game. Indeed, 9th in league shot blocking, the slow footed, low scoring Panther is highly thought of in Florida where he is described as having an infectious personality and great character.

Rough and ready, a player like Skrastins would provide a fantastic education to the likes of Schenn and at 34 is still an extremely capable athlete. His only real downside is this past season’s 18 points was a career high and would need to be paired with a puck mover.

Johnny Oduya

Age: 27 2008-09 Salary: $600k

Johnny Oduya may not be a top four defenseman yet but many in New Jersey believe he was pound for pound their best D-man last season in a young and inexperienced backend that had to grow up fast in the wake of Brodeur’s injury. With some estimates saying he could earn $4million next year, Oduya may be overpriced, but if those numbers don’t stick the Leafs could certainly do worse, especially as his year by year improvement seems far from capped.

Described as a well liked team player, Oduya infrequently shows brilliance taking the puck into the offensive end. Otherwise a talented puck handler, Oduya can make bad decisions when defending aggressively but after years on international sized rinks, Oduya continues to show promise. Indeed some project the young Swede could be a 15 goal scorer one day and there would certainly be space on the Leafs roster if Kubina or Kaberle made an exit. Whether he could help make the Leafs a playoff team in the short term would be the question.

Rob Scuderi

Age: 30 2008-09 Salary: $775k

Three goals in three hundred career games is all you need to know about Rob Scuderi’s offensive output, but the Penguins leading plus 23 he put up on route to the playoffs is more than compensation. Spending large portions of last season on the Pens’ second pairing, Scuderi may not be bona fide top pairing caliber, but considering he plays such a simple game while hardly ever taking a penalty Scuderi is both reliable and rarely a liability. Bearing in mind he offers little more than a solid, defensive skill set with no frills, Scuderi is unlikely to ask for much in July which means he could be brought in as an afterthought and still eat consistent minutes.

Skilled Grit, Character and Energy Players

When Mikhail Grabovski is your grittiest player you are in trouble and not only are you in trouble but you are a million miles from what Brian Burke wants. Cliff Fletcher helped set the tone in last seasons draft, he didn’t pick knuckle-draggers, but he picked players with size. Taking that notion and running with it, chances are Burke is going to want some nice cheap toughness that also comes with an offensive upside. Mayers failed to do the trick while May provided next to nothing up front and the less said about Hollweg the better.

Expect Burke to add character grinders in July.

Ian Laperriere

Age: 35 2008-09 Salary: $1.15million

Laperriere may be no spring chicken but if we’re talking archetypal Brian Burke players Lapperiere has to be up with the best of them. A tremendously hard worker loved by his teammates, Laperriere offers little offensive upside and next to no natural talent but has proved to be an effective penalty killer and boisterous forechecker. The kind of agitator opposing fans like, Laperriere never pushes the rules yet tends to get better results than most. Playing the kind of role a Recchi had in Pittsburgh last year, albeit less of an offensive threat, Laperriere would be more than serviceable as a father figure in the Leafs team.

Chad Larose

Age: 27 2008-09 Salary: $875k

Not so much a tough third liner, Larose comes off a great post season where he proved a standout with the conference finalist Carolina Hurricanes. A real energy player who enjoys rattling opponents, Larose has been a competent two way player in the Hurricanes system and has started to develop some creative acumen in the offensive zone. While he was paid under a million last year, the jury is still out on whether he will remain so cheap in light of his playoff exploits.

Travis Moen

Age: 27 2008-09 Salary: $975k

You don’t need telling that Brian Burke likes this guy. Having brought him to Anaheim after just over a month of his tenure, Moen went on to play a crucial role in Anaheim’s rough and tumble route to Stanley Cup glory. Struggling to recover that 21 point season form, Moen has molded into a solid role player in San Jose but was almost nonexistent in the playoffs. Still he has proved a serviceable penalty killer and is a real team player whose size makes him hard as nails to shift from the puck.

Joel Ward

Age: 28 2008-09 Salary: $500k

Rarely does a player go from major junior into Canadian University hockey and surface the other side an NHLer but that was the long and winding path the former University of Prince Edward Island graduate took. Buried in the Minnesota Wild’s system, Ward was snapped up by the Predators as a free agent last July and from looking well out of place at the start of the year, Ward became a revelation down the home stretch.

Almost unbeatable in the corners, Ward combines good size with a never say die work ethic. Noted as a real team player, Ward was a nuisance on the fore check on route to finishing seventh on team scoring with 17 goals and 18 assists while also performing admirably on the penalty kill. Could be a one year wonder or a complete steal if he fails to make less that $1.25million next year.

Defensive Forwards

Too many Leafs forwards played a one dimensional game last year and the zeal for back checking witnessed at the start of the season began to fade as the year wore on. While Hagman played a good two way game and Moore before he was traded, too few were willing to get their hands dirty on a consistent basis. If Toronto wants a real shot at playoff hockey they could do worse than look for some cheap, defensively sound depth players.

PJ Axelsson

Age: 34 Salary: $1.8million

A selfless playmaker with a great work ethic Axelsson has been the Lidstrom of Swedish forwards for years. Utilitarian in his application and flawless two way, Axelsson has gone largely unnoticed during Boston’s ascension yet has proved invaluable when deployed in line matching battles as well as the PK. While he may struggle to shut down bigger forwards, Axelsson has been painfully underrated and enjoyed his second best offensive year this season with 30 points. Would need a big price drop but could be a calming influence alongside John Mitchell.

Manny Malholtra

Age: 29 2008-09 Salary: $1.5million

Of players who took one thousand faceoffs or more last season, Manny Malholtra finished third behind Rob Brind’Amour and Kris Draper in wins. Not bad company and whilst the Blue Jackets center hasn’t been the offensive threat many thought he would be, Malholtra is both extremely accomplished as a two way forward and a team leader not to mention a stalwart within the communities where he has played. With a big frame and speed Malholtra has those Burke qualities that could make him a serviceable defensive depth player albeit only if he takes a pay cut.

Mike Grier

Age: 34 2008-09 Salary: $1.75million

A team leader with great hockey sense who excels in the corners, Greir’s gung ho style is perfect for the West Coast game Burke and Wilson want to bring to the Northeast Division. With all the tools he brings to the table, Grier would be hard to talk south of $1.5, even at 34, but his record surpasses him as one of the most accomplished two way players in the league not to mention his work on one of the leagues best penalty killing units.

Dominic Moore

Age: 28 2008-09 Salary: 900k

Here is a name you don’t need telling about. Slated as a checking line center, Moore came into his own in Toronto being overplayed before disappearing in Buffalo on route to 45 points, effectively tripling his previous seasons best.

Demonstrating a fantastic work ethic and sense, Moore’s two way play was outstanding, even in his heightened role, while he came forward as a potential leader in the early season.

Most in Buffalo want him gone after a poor showing and one wonders where he will pitch his asking price.

Blair Betts

Age: 29 2008-09 Salary: 615k

If you watch the Rangers you’d probably never notice Blair Betts, he is one of those pivot players who barely registers in a game and 48 points in 339 games attests to his lack of offensive acumen. Worse still he has an extremely weak shot and little in the way of playmaking creativity, sound tempting? For all his foibles at $615k, unlikely to rise gratuitously, you get one of the most competent defensive forwards in the NHL who is a great penalty killer and more than serviceable on the fourth line.

Top Six Forward

While bringing in another top six forward may seem superfluous in a franchise trying to blood their young, in terms of an immediate return to playoff hockey the Leafs are short on raw scoring talent, particularly following the exit of Nikolai Antropov. Perhaps counterproductive in the long run, if Burke’s hand is forced by the upper echelons during free agency he may look for some reasonably priced point scorers.

Brian Gionta

Age: 30 2008-09 Salary: $4million

At five foot seven inches, Brian Gionta couldn’t be further from the prototypical Brian Burke forward. That said with great wheels and energy, Gionta is a useful two way playmaker who, when surrounded by the right players, can be an effective scorer.

Should expect quite a pay cut if he wants to stay in a Devils organization struggling with a multitude of UFA’s. If he is let go Gionta, who is known for being crafty around the net, was good for 20 goals and 60 points this season.

Steve Sullivan

Age: 34 2008-09 Salary: $3.2million

Having been sidelined for almost two years with back problems, Sullivan returned to spearhead the Nashville Predators spirited playoff aspirations on course for 32 points in 41 games. Again small in stature, Sullivan makes up for it with great puckhandling and superb determination. Will probably take a small pay cut next year aware he has been tarred as injury prone (even though the back injury was the first prolonged injury in his career). A former Toronto alumnus, Sullivan could be a real bargain during free agency.

Nik Antropov

Age: 29 2008-09 Salary: $2.15million

Like Marmite, Nik Antropov appears to enjoy a love hate relationship with the Maple Leafs fans. While many would love to see the big West Coast sized power forward come back after his trade deadline deal, an equal number see his potential return as a step backward to rebuilding the club.

For sure, Antropov has got to work on his physical game, but coming off a career year few can doubt the potential for him to work in a Ron Wilson coached side, it’s merely a question of application.

Still living in Toronto, of the three well priced top six forwards going into free agency Antropov offers himself up as the most likely candidate for a contract.

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  • Roacho

    @Wendel Rules
    I’ll speak for the majority when I say many of us know that top 6 talent is hard to get. When you look at this summer’s UFAs how many are actually elite? The Sedin’s, Cammaleri’s good but not elite, JayBo a great dman. Apart from that we’re talking solid 3rd liners. I personnally think that if Burke trades some bodies for picks we’re going to need guys like Moen, Malhotra… About 80% of UFAs this summer are bottom 6 players.

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  • Roger Boucher

    @ Roacho

    I agree, I think Burke should take this year as the plumbing of the rebuild and have some experienced vet. in their prime.

    My basket would look like this :

    – Beauchemin (3yrs/2-2.5m) will be hard to get, especially if Montreal makes a pitch for him.

    Komisarek (5yrs/4m/top heavy in the first two years) would be another one I’d like to have paired w/Schenn (if there’s a hope for top 5 pick, the 7th will be used).

    May’be if we can sign a couple heavyweights like Moens (3yr/2m) or Malhotra (4yrs/2m) which would be a bonus in trying to sign Nash next year), taking any fighting Komi wouldn’t have to be in. I bet then we’ll see his defensive upside.

    Neil (4yrs/2.5-3m) is the type of player to replace Antropov in front of the net….we need our Zetterburg. And we’d get another Darcy Tuker type of player (but way better) who can score clutch goals. –

    Hopefully the Monster signs with us in the next couple weeks. And I wouldn’t mind if Burke were tol hit up Joe in Dallas for a the 8th pick, their going to be desperate to replace Zubov next year….may’be Kabs or Kubs could be the players moved out….send either Grabs or Tlusty in a packaged deal.

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  • Leafer_84

    @Wendel: Depends how you define the lines…for me it goes:
    1) elite talent, relied upon heavily for winning games
    2) secondary scoring
    3) checking/shut down line, chip in the odd goal but not really offensive threat
    4) energy/tough line, hardly ever chips in on offense but makes life tough for the opposition

    Going by those definitions I would say we have a bunch of second liners…not that all of them are good enough to be on the second line of a good team but in that they are “secondary scoring” type guys. The only bottom 6 guys that fit into their roles are May (who may walk), Mayers (not even a good role player) and Mitchell. By adding guys like Moen and Pahlsson we add quality role players…not just spill over “skilled” guys who can’t even make the top 6 of our crappy team.

    These guys will make your team better, but not “push for 8th place” better…so we can add guys that will be good a few years down the road and also not mess up our drafting position next year like we would if we signed the Sedins.

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  • Persuasion
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  • http://grajig hockey_guru

    lol… well I hear the raptors could use some help.

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  • DIGGLER
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  • Blue Max
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  • Blue Max

    I meant to say “now we can go…”, dammit! Edit feature please?

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  • SASH

    I just read off a link from sportsnet, that the Sedins agent says they want to double their 3.75 salary for this upcoming contract. That would be over 14 million for both. If Brian Burke does that or anything similar, I may become a fan of any team playing against the LEAFS

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  • RJ

    @ Diggler
    So if those players in Chicago are younger and more skilled, why again would they trade them for older less skilled players?

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  • http://leafs.hockeyanalysis.com Steve

    Did someone actually compare Jimmy Hayes to John Mitchell on here?

    WTH? Hayes is a top junior power forward out of the US who is playing at a top NCAA college program and had 8 goals and 13 points as an 18 year old, while Mitchell is a former 20 goal man in the AHL. I’m kind of curious where Diggler watched much of Hayes’ play outside of this year’s World Juniors.

    Mitchell was a 5th round draft pick, Hayes was a 2nd round draft pick, that dropped down from the 1st round. Big Big difference. Oh and Hayes is 6’5″, Mitchell is 6’1″… if you don’t think there’s a size advantage for Hayes you’re smoking something.

    Hayes was the leading scorer on the US U-17 team that won the Swiss U-17 5 nations tournament, he also led the US U-18 team in scoring, as it won the Silver medal at the Ivan Hlinka memorial tournament.

    In his first 13 games of the NCAA season he scored 6 goals and 2 assists, before tailing off for the remainder of the season. He’ll be a solid prospect down the line… just wait and watch. He’s also a blood relative of Keith Tkachuk… which can’t hurt.

    $2 million for Beauchemin is laughable. The guy is a top 4 D man on a team that has Neidermayer, Pronger, and Whitney… and he fits in ADMIRABLY, and you think he’s worth $2 million?

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  • CarltontheBear

    You’re right Steve, it is stupid to compare Jimmy Hayes and John Mitchell. Mitchell has actually proven that he can be a solid 3rd line center whereas Hayes has proven nothing except that his skating leaves much to be desired.

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  • Richard-Steven Williams

    @DIGGLER the RFA market is often tilted to the team whose players are on the wire. You generally have to overpay for talent or throw away draft picks or prospects as compensation. In a declining market the RFA market may become interesting. Chicago certainly have some interesting talent as have Boston with Kessel and Krejci. Detroit have Jiri Huddler and the immergent Ville Leino and with their cap scenario may struggle to put up a good offer. LA have Jack Johnson on the RFA and Montreal have a small cache of good young players they may struggle to match offers on such as Kyle Chipchura, Matt D’Agostini, Chris Higgins, Guillaume Latendresse and Tomas Plekanec. The Rangers have Ryan Callahan, Brandon Dubinsky, Lauri Korpikovski and Nik Zherdev (although I wouldn’t touch him with a ten foot bargepole). Phoenix financial woes are well publicised and they have Enver Lisin, Petr Prucha, Scottie Upshall and Keith Yandle on the RFA. San Jose have Ryane Clowe, Marcel Goc and Torrey Mitchell while Vancouver have Steve Bernier and Shane O’Brien and finally Washington have the underrated Shaone Morrisonn.
    All great players and in some cases where teams are against the cap or financially restricted may become viable targets but really its a question of how much you want to overpay?

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  • http://www.meatriarchy.com The Meatriarchy

    Hey does anyone have any idea when the draft is?

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  • Josh G

    If we get the Sedins we would have a very nice team

    D Sedin – H Sedin – Blake (Small line but always healthy and can put the puck in the net)
    Hagman – Grabs – Lee Stemp (Also small but all could get 20 goals)
    Kulemin – Stajan – Poni ( i think its a good third line on any team i dont care what the haters say)
    Mayers – J Mitchell – B Schenn ( Big and Fast line that can hit and chip in a goal here and there)

    i think our defence is still a good d maybe if they can stay healthy i was kinda against trading kaberle but now looking at our d we got pretty good OD not many DDs.
    Schenn – Kubina ( good top pair not great but good)
    Kaberle – Van Ryn ( Good PP pairing and theres alot worst 3,4s in the league)
    Finger – White ( good 5-6 but i think if kabs was gone white would be good with VR and finger and someone else would be an alright shutdown pair)

    I dunno about the tenders though
    Toskala – (hes good but hed be better if he had a goalie to split the games with)
    Gerber – ( i think if we dont get the swedish kid we will take gerber back for a cheap price)

    reserves:
    hanson( will be on fourth line most likely depending who gets drafted and who we sign)
    Phil O ( i think this kid would be good if kabs leaves and he has to play with finger as the 6)
    Jay Harrison ( always thought this guy got the shaft he’d be a good depth guy)
    Brad May ( good dressing room guy if he wants too burke will most likely take him back for 1 yr)
    J hamilton ( i think hes a ufa but he played pretty good but whatever take him or leave him )
    E reitz (dont know much about him, hes probably off to the AHL)
    oh ya i forgot about JT (not john taveres silly.. JIRI Tlusty.. he’ll be on the team if burke doesnt make any signings )
    Bozak ( i think he’ll get a jeremy williams type shot and play most of the year in the A)
    oh jesus i forgot how deep our defence is get kabs out of here i dont want him anymore
    Jonas Frogren will be on the team as a 6 or 7 forget what i said about phil o
    and strallman will get a good shot but if we keep all the dmen he’ll remain angry in the minors
    also jamie sifers will get a shot at tryouts and timmy stapelton will also get a good look i think but he seems like that guy we got from stlouis a few years back amazing in the ahl but can never make the jump up to the show what was that guys name i cant remember…

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  • SASH

    @JOSH

    it sounds good, but the sedins will demand in around 14mill per year. That doesnt allow any room for any other major signings, such as Nash next post season. A cap hit like that by two players will really limit what we can do. For this reason I would not touch the sedins

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  • Pritch

    Josh you also forgot BB will sign plumbers/grinders..guys with tenacity, truculence and testosterone…Stajan, Stempniak, Mayers (he doesnt really wanna be here anyway) most likely gone.
    And Gerber isnt right, and Kabs/Kub are gone…well oen fo them. The window of opportunity is for the next two months (Aug. 15th). Burke won’t wanna be limited in his movements.

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  • Josh G

    i dont think stempniak and stajan arent going anywhere… are going anywhere people always talk about burke type players… he drafted the sedins brought in morrison had matt cooke he had alot of small players… everyone always wants to get rid of stajan he was 3 on team in hits and up there in points and stempniak was 5th in hits so i dont know what tenacity truculence and testosterone you guys are talking about.. i just said gerber if we dont get the swedish guy… i dont see him as that far of a strecth he played half decent when he was here and burke would be able to get him on a one yr contract forsure… just as a filler till we can find someone better.. i think kubina goes nowhere and kaberle might go…and @ sash i dont see what your talking about so we dont sign the sedins… so we can pick up nash the next year for more money anyway… Every team has two players who make big money… why cant it be the sedins at 7 mil or less a pop… pittsbugh pays malkin and crosby 8.7 each and they still have room to make moves and add good players…..detroit with zetterberg and datzyuk and franzen and hossa and lidstrom…

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  • Odd Man Rush

    Josh..
    If we had that lineup you just penciled in for next season im sure we would get a chance to draft Taylor Hall . You should pick-up another sport because you know nothing about hockey. Plus we don’t want the Sedins they want to much money.I can’t believe a Leaf fan would mention the name Gerber…one loser in our net is bad enough now you want two.give your head a shake..

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  • SASH

    Josh,

    Read back your comment. How can you put the Sedins in the same column as Hossa, Malkin, Crosby. No way they are even close yet they demand very similar dollars. I would just rather spend superstar money on actual superstars, that is my point. I understand every team has big paid players, I would just like ours to be of the top calibar. I think signing Gaborik and Camilerri would be much better. Both Younger, and if Gaborik stays healthy he is unbeleivable

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  • SASH

    Just checked it over, both Cam and Gab are born 82, where the sedins are born in 1980 and will be 29 when the season begins.

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  • Richard-Steven Williams

    Gaborik is a big waste of $$$’s. In 8 NHL seasons he has managed just four seasons where he has played north of 60 games and he has missed 104 games in the last three. Undeniably great player when fit but I wouldn’t mortgage my future on him. I don’t think the Sedins are such a bad investment. They score 130 points a season… for $14mil and almost never miss a game, they’re certainly better value than a 20 game Gaborik for $7 mil. I don’t see Burke making a play for a big player unless its the Sedin’s this offseason. Personally I would save the big dollars for an offer sheet at Phil Kessel or Krejci or Versteeg or Hudler and leave the rest for a big play when something more exotic was on the market. Cammaleri is a potential one year wonder as a superstar.

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  • Josh G

    odd man rush… the line up we will without the sedins will not be in position to get taylor.. i dont want the sedins but i think its going to happen if van city dont sign them.. gaborik is garbage same with havlat… garborik is injury prone and havlat waits till his contract year to play good… taylor hall is not going to be a leaf.. toronto is not going to be last place burke has said he wants to be in the playoffs… ya im just talking out my ass

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  • http://www.tmlfans.ca Possibly

    Looking at the roster I think the biggest need the Leafs have going into this off-season is a Top-Line forward, more specifically a Top Line Center, so I would be targetting Mike Cammalleri, as long as he isn’t looking for too much dough.

    Another idea would be to sign some players to 1 year contracts to fill the holes and then sign Marc Savard and Rick Nash next summer. I know Savard is over 30 and therefore out of Burke’s target range, but could you imagine the dynamic duo he’d make along-side Nash??

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  • Josh G

    ya dude i love marc savard hes so underrated but ya he is getting up there

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