NHL on Record Shootout Pace

by on December 11, 2009 in Uncategorized - 94 Comments

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Did the neutral zone trap morph into the shootout? The pre-lockout reason for altering the rules, transfigured into the shootout as teams play for the shootout more this season. If trends are any indication, perhaps the two memes have a direct correlation.

Numbers since the lockout over 1230 games per season.


2005-6 2006-7 2007-8 2008-9 2009-10 (TD)
GlsPerGm 6.169 5.891 5.567 5.823 5.720
AdjGlsPerGm(minus SO) 6.051 5.758 5.440 5.696 5.545
% SO games 11.7886 13.333 12.682 12.683 17.505
# of SO Gms 145 164 156 156 215(proj)

The NHL is heading to a record amount of shootouts in 2009-10, on pace to eclipse the 200 mark for the first time, shattering the previous high of 164 in 2006-07 by over 25%.

This chart shows actual number of shootouts since inception, with current season as projection (215)

*This chart shows actual number of shootouts since inception, with current season as projection (215)

There is a definite trend here that includes a reduction in goals per game – and adjusted gls/gm due to shootout goals – since the lockout, trends that prompted the league to alter rules to encourage scoring, and finally eliminate tie games.

This chart shows the declining Goals Per Game trend since the lockout.

*This chart shows the declining Goals Per Game (and Adj for SO goals) trend since the lockout.

It might be the compressed schedule, maybe used more frequently in strategy .. Maybe it’s perceived parity in the NHL.

The NHL has been reactionary in the past to trends, implementing overtime, altering the conditions, and then the shootout.

Dreaded be the day the shootout meme replaces that of the neutral zone trap. What effect would it have if more teams played for shootouts? That may seem a stretch, but as indicated below, these numbers don’t lie.

Projected shootouts as a percentage in the current season and where they were since inception.

*Projected shootouts as a percentage in the current season and where they were since inception.

Individual teams numbers regarding shootouts:

Bos (5-4), Florida (4-5) lead the NHL with nine shootouts, while Buffalo, Vancouver and NY Rangers are a perfect 2-0 this season. Pittsburgh is a perfect 4-0 and Nashville (3-1), New Jeersey (5-1), Philadelphia (2-1) and Phoenix (2-1) have lost only once.

Devils and Bruins lead the NHL with five SO wins .. Dallas (1-5) misses Jussi Jokinen, and Tampa Bay (1-5), NY Islanders (1-4) and Toronto (1-2) have only one win in the shootout.

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  • BOGEYMAN

    @ .2 Minutes for Looking so Guru.:

    Sorry bud.When you said “one OT”,I thought you meant “one OT period”………You wouldn’t like to see trapping eliminated? We all saw last night in the the 1st two periods how boring and frustrating the trap can be. Just an idea.

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  • kaz
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  • kaz

    implanted haha

    implamented*** :P

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  • BOGEYMAN

    @ kaz:

    All good choices.Beauchemin might be interesting in that scenario.A good mix of defence/offence,speed and checking/hitting. Would changes be allowed in this system? I know in minor hockey when this happens,the same 2 players stay on til one of them score.The goalie can become an offensive threat if he’s a good puck handler.It’s pretty exciting.

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  • GO Blue AND White

    Anyone know when Carl Gunnarson’s able to play? Man that kid was playing awesome.

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  • GO Blue AND White

    @Never (from last week)
    Kaberle + Poni for Versteeg + Bolland + Campbell
    Next year’s d assuming we move Finger.
    -
    Campbell – Komisarek = 11.5
    Beuchemin – White = 7
    Gunnarson – Schenn = 4
    Oreskovic

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  • o2baleaf

    Why not play it, tie at end of reg. 1 point each, 5 mins only for a win, 2 points and skate 3 aside. So for your hard fought game you gain a point and if you really want it you can gain 2 more.

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  • kaz
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  • Jay Stewart

    Winning in regulation time must have an incentive. (three points) What sport in the world gives teams THREE chances to win a game? They said the fans wanted a winner of each game – but they forgot to take the points away from the losers – Duh! Get real… You lose: NO POINTS!!!!

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  • glgbill

    Three points for a regulation win, two points for an overtime win, one point for a shoot-out win. No point for a loss.

    Shoot-outs will go down.

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  • BLUEandWHITE

    @glgbill
    Agree,,,3 points for regulation win. 2pts for winner in OT or Shootout and 1 point for loser in OT or shootout..
    That way 3 points handed out for evry game…You’ll see teams playing for the 3 points more. And teams who are further down in the standings can make up points quickly

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  • ingy56

    What is wrong with a tie game in the first place? One of the best games ever played, the New Years Eve 1976 game between Red Army and the Montreal Canadiens was a tie game. Think of how a shootout would have spoiled that night. A tie was the correect result. This whole business was Gary’s idea to appease the American fans and owners who felt that a shootout would bring more fans to the rink. Well, lets see…I have a hard time seeing a baseball thrown at 100mph, so could we make the ball bigger?…How about painting it red?…To bring more hitting into the game, lets give the hitter four strikes instead of three…Could we move the outfield fences in 100ft so there are more home runs? See how absurd this is? It will never happen, yet Gary is prepared to change the game by making nets bigger, he’s already done it with the shootout and three point rules. I like the stretch pass rule, effectively taking out the center ice line, but there is one rule I wish they would seriously look at. The size of the goaltending equipment has gotten out of hand, specifically the pads. If you look far back into the 50′s and 60′s, the goaltenders looked small in the nets, the net looked like a soccer net. Now, nobody wants to return to those ages, because in reality the goaltenders were severely unprotected. But take a look at the pads the goaltenders wear today. You used to be able to see the goalies pants , but now they are hidden by pads. There is a rule on the width of the pads, but apparently not the height. The pads are designed so that when the goaltender assumes the butterfly position, the tops of the pads come together and form a wall 12-16″” high, taking away the whole bottom of the net. The only way to score low is to hope a shooter slips one under while the goalie is dropping into position, or hope that he is out of position. Get the pads back to a realistic size, the gloves have already been scaled back, and maybe we can see games settled in regulation time more often. Leave the game alone Gary…

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  • slowburn

    Well said Ingy. Love the baseball analogy….

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  • slowburn
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  • B Gordon

    Get rid of the shootout, it’s ridiculous (I loved the baseball analogy). I like the overtime and would like to see it extended to 10 minutes (I don’t think it is practical beyond that), but I hate the LOSER point.

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