Playing Great of Late (Minus the Eight)

by on December 13, 2009 in Uncategorized - 122 Comments

Share

Just wanted to share a fantastic bit of work done by Nights, one of our many enthusiastic and intelligent readers, who evaluated how the NHL landscape would look without the first 8 games of the season during which the Maple Leafs struggled mightily. Great work!

The following calculations and conclusions were done entirely by Nights:

WEST OVR Team GP W L OT Pts Change (Standings)
1 1 Los Angeles Kings 26 17 6 3 37 -
2 3 San Jose Sharks 26 15 5 6 36 -(Due to divisions, still 4th)
3 5 Nashville Predators 24 16 6 2 34 +5(+4 without divisions)
4 7 Calgary Flames 23 14 6 3 31 -1(-2 without divisions)
5 8 Vancouver Canucks 24 15 9 0 30 +5
6 9 Chicago Blackhawks 22 14 6 2 30 -3
7 10 Minnesota Wild 24 14 8 2 30 +6
8 12 Detroit Red Wings 24 13 8 3 29 +1
9 13 Colorado Avalanche 26 12 9 5 29 -4
10 14 Dallas Stars 24 11 6 7 29 -2
11 15 Pheonix Coyotes 24 13 9 2 28 -5
T-12 T-23 Anaheim Ducks 24 9 9 6 24 +3(+2 if CBJ has the tie breaker)
T-12 T-23 Columbus Blue Jackets 24 9 9 6 24 -0(-1 if ANA has tie breaker)
14 25 Edmonton Oilers 24 10 11 3 23 -3
15 27 St-Louis Blues 22 9 9 4 22 -1

EAS OVR Team GP W L OT Pts Change
1 2 Washington Capitals 25 16 5 4 36 -
2 4 New Jersey Devils 23 17 5 1 35 -
3 6 Pittsburgh Penguins 25 15 9 1 31 -(Due to divisions : Boston would be 3rd)
4 11 Boston Bruins 23 12 5 6 30 -(See above)
5 16 Montréal Canadiens 25 13 10 2 28 +3
6 17 Toronto Maple Leafs 24 11 7 6 28 +8
7 18 Buffalo Sabres 22 13 8 1 27 -4
8 19 Atlanta Thrashers 22 12 8 2 26 -1
9 20 New York Islanders 24 11 9 4 26 +1
10 21 Florida Panthers 25 10 9 6 26 +1
11 22 Ottawa Senators 23 11 9 3 25 -5
12 26 Tampa Bay Lightning 23 8 8 7 23 +3
13 28 Philadelphia Flyers 22 8 14 0 16 -
14 29 New York Rangers 23 7 15 1 15 -2
15 30 Carolina Hurricanes 24 5 15 4 14 -

Essentials : Leafs are tied for 5th (they have 1 game in hand… but less wins, so 6th) in the East
Leafs are the highest + in their conference (+8) and the league (+11 overall)(conference wise. I think Minny has thew highest jump overall… although it looks like it, they are tied with MON… so around T-20tt right now to 10th… less then T-28th to 17th)
They are now tied for 17th with a game in hand on Montreal.

Great work. Another testament to the fantastic readers we have here at MLHS that truly helps foster an environment for intelligent hockey discussion.

[email protected]

VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
Rating: 0.0/10 (0 votes cast)
VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
Rating: 0 (from 0 votes)

Print article

  • Neverlosehope

    Spayde wrote:

    Neverlosehope wrote:
    Touching on this other matter, even IF the Leafs continue to play at the same pace as they have for the last 24 games (since the 0-7-1 start) they would end up with 87pts. which most likely leave them out of a playoff spot (probably 11-12th) by about 3-5 pts.
    Not necessarily, I will trust your numbers that we would end up with 87pts. However, if the rest of the teams ahead of us continue their pace, they would not reach the 90pt mark either. Take the last 10 games as a snapshot. Only Atlanta and the top 5 teams are playing above 500. I think the parity might be at an all time high this year. Leaving slots 7-16 in and around the 82-90 point mark.

    I was going to mention that in the post but it was gettintg rather lengthy. Couldn’t agree more, that parity (or shall we say “mediocrity”) has never been greater, and that is why I said that 87pts. would leave them 3-5pts, because 90pts would normally not get you into the dance (I think it was 93pts last year) but without really bad teams like the NYI, TB and COL of last year, the cut off point will almost certainly drop, but having said that, with the increase in three point games (see earlier thread) not sure it will drop below 88-90pts. That would be unrealistic. However, having said all that, they will probably finish 9th and leave us high and dry on the last day of the year. It would be great if the last game of the year was to decide who gets into the playoffs and the Leafs win with a last minute goal by Grabonski, or better yet, Komisarek’s 1st and only goal of the year! Can you imagine how sweet that would be (their last game is at the Bell Centre).

    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast)
    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0 (from 0 votes)
  • honesthockey
    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast)
    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0 (from 0 votes)
  • IBleaf

    Go Boston, Go Florida, Go Buffalo!!!!!! And of course Go LEAFS Go!!!!

    WWooooooo!!! Whens Gusto coming back!!

    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast)
    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0 (from 0 votes)
  • Neverlosehope
    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast)
    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0 (from 0 votes)
  • Neverlosehope
    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast)
    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0 (from 0 votes)
  • luke

    Interesting. Under TSN’s ‘Power Rankings’, as of December 5th, we were ranked 29th in the league, though we went 5-2-2 over that period. Their reasoning includes the powerplay being 0-for-11 over four games, and subpar goaltending.

    http://tsn.ca/fantasy_news/feature/?ID=549

    I’m curious as to where we’re ranked now…

    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast)
    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0 (from 0 votes)
  • Edward Flannery

    Whats going on, why are we debating calling up people now?
    You’ve murdered my horse and wont stop beating it.

    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast)
    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0 (from 0 votes)
  • acedanger
    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast)
    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0 (from 0 votes)
  • luke

    @ Ace
    I think that’s why people tend to bring up a JSG trade..
    Not sure it’s a good idea, but what is a better option?

    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast)
    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0 (from 0 votes)
  • acedanger

    @luke

    Please no JSG, please!

    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast)
    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0 (from 0 votes)
  • mapleleafsforever

    This is a fun idea… but you should probably also remove every other team’s worst 8-game stretch if you want a fair evaluation.

    Just because the Leafs’ worst stretch of hockey occurred at the beginning of the season doesn’t mean it can be discounted, notwithstanding the play of other teams.

    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast)
    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0 (from 0 votes)
  • ajmor13

    *TRADE Question*

    Garrett (or anyone), have you heard any rumblings about what Burke has offered Phoenix for Mueller?

    I’ve read Burke wants him, but the Coyotes haven’t accepted any of the packages he’s offered yet, any idea who he has been offering?

    TFP reported they are looking for a veteran defense and top six forward, surely we have some combination that could suit their needs?

    Just wondering, thanks for any insight.

    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast)
    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0 (from 0 votes)
  • Neverlosehope

    acedanger wrote:

    @luke
    Please no JSG, please!

    Thank you acedanger, NO JSG!

    Luke, still waiting for those other “two” Marlies….

    @ Edward

    We’re not debating… it is a moot point… some just want to pick on the remains of the carcass.

    Too lazy to go and look, who are we playing tonight?

    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast)
    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0 (from 0 votes)
  • ingy56
    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast)
    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0 (from 0 votes)
  • luke

    @ NLH – It wasn’t me that said we had 5 NHL ready guys on the Marlies!

    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast)
    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0 (from 0 votes)
  • Nights
    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast)
    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0 (from 0 votes)
  • Nights

    @ Neverlosehope:

    We’re playing Ottawa tonight, at home I think.

    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast)
    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0 (from 0 votes)
  • Jonez
    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast)
    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0 (from 0 votes)
  • wrr1314

    1221s1htf Fear not that the life shall come to ugg classic tall an end ugg sale , but rather fear ugg classic cardy that it shall never have a beginning in ugg classic mini ,The good seaman is known in ugg boots sale .Try not to become a man of success in UGG Classic Argyle Knit but rather try to become a man of value in ugg bailey button .Pursue your object on ugg classic short , be it what it will, steadily and indefatigably.http://www.ladyugs.com/specials.html

    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast)
    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0 (from 0 votes)
  • topbootsmart

    We guarantee we provide the cheapest ghd, ghd Hair Straighteners,ghd straighteners, ghd hair tools in the market and 100% Quality Guarantee.

    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast)
    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0 (from 0 votes)
  • office
  • ms office 2007