Kats Krunch: NHL One Goal Games Records

by on February 19, 2010 in Uncategorized - 114 Comments

Share

A quick look at the NHL standings at the Olympic break offers some interesting contrasts from expectation, with some teams surprising, others disappointing.

In the East, Ottawa sits atop the Northeast Division and third in the Conference with Buffalo right behind them due to a recent cold streak. In the West, the Phoenix Coyotes with an amazing 37 wins sit in fourth place in the conference, only one point ahead of the LA Kings. Colorado may have outperformed expectations the most thus far, with the Yotes making a case.

Then there’s the Detroit Red Wings looking from the outside and Columbus floating around near the bottom.

A look at these clubs records in one-goal games provides good insight as to how the Kings/Senators sit high, and why the Red Wings/Blue Jackets sit outside of a playoff spot, and the Leafs trail the NHL sitting dead last.

Overall, goaltending may be the biggest factor in most of the standings anomalies. After all, goaltending is most important in one-goal games, whether it’s to solidify a win, or to keep the team in games during overtime, or to outright wing on in a shootout.

While goalies carry a burden, the ability to score that important goal holds weight. As often is the case, the important ‘next goal’ could begin a rally, or break the spirits of a team at some point during a game.

Below are three separate tables with stats based on one goal games.

*********
This table, is the ranking of teams in total one goal games from 2008-09 and 2009-10 and ranked by Winning Percentage. Some quick notes:
Risers:
Ottawa ranks in 08-9, 26th overall and 2nd overall in 2009-10
Los Angeles ranked 22 in 2008-09 and sixth in 2009-10
Phoenix were ranked 17th in 2008-09 and sit in third in 2009-10

Fallers
Columbus was 9th in 2008-09 and dropped to 20th in 2009-10
Detroit dropped from 4th in 2008-09 to 22nd overall in 2009-10
Carolina are the biggest drop from second overall in 2008-09 to 24th in 2009-10
Calgary ranked fifth overall in 2008-09 and rank 21 in 2009-10
And even the mighty offensive machine Washington has dropped from seventh in 2008-09 to 19th in 2009-10.

Rank(08-9) Team W L OTL W%
Rank(09-10) Team W L Tot W%
1 NJ 25 5 4 0.735 1 NJD 18 8 26 0.692
2 CAR 24 8 7 0.615 2 Ott 17 8 25 0.680
3 SJ 26 7 11 0.591 3 Pho 21 10 31 0.677
4 DET 24 7 10 0.585 4 Pit 18 10 28 0.643
5 CAL 21 9 6 0.583 5 Chi 20 12 32 0.625
6 NAS 22 8 8 0.579 6 LA 20 12 32 0.625
7 WAS 19 7 8 0.559 7 Col 19 12 31 0.613
8 NYR 24 10 9 0.558 8 Van 13 9 22 0.591
9 COL 20 6 10 0.556 9 Ana 15 11 26 0.577
10 PIT 19 8 9 0.528 10 Min 19 15 34 0.559
11 COL 22 15 5 0.524 11 Buf 17 14 31 0.548
12 ANA 23 14 7 0.523 12 SJ 14 12 26 0.538
13 FLO 16 4 11 0.516 13 Nas 16 14 30 0.533
14 MTL 20 8 11 0.513 14 Phi 12 12 24 0.500
15 BUF 16 7 9 0.500 15 StL 15 15 30 0.500
16 STL 18 9 10 0.486 16 NYI 16 17 33 0.485
17 PHX 17 11 7 0.486 17 Mtl 16 18 34 0.471
18 DAL 19 10 11 0.475 18 Dal 14 16 30 0.467
19 BOS 18 10 10 0.474 19 Was 13 15 28 0.464
20 VAN 17 9 10 0.472 20 Cbs 13 17 30 0.433
21 TOR 16 5 13 0.471 21 Cal 14 20 34 0.412
22 LA 20 12 11 0.465 22 Det 12 18 30 0.400
23 EDM 19 13 9 0.463 23 Bos 13 20 33 0.394
24 MIN 19 13 9 0.463 24 Car 9 14 23 0.391
25 PHI 18 11 11 0.450 25 Atl 14 22 36 0.389
26 OTT 17 10 11 0.447 26 NYR 10 16 26 0.385
27 ATL 15 14 6 0.429 27 TB 11 18 29 0.379
28 CHI 12 7 12 0.387 28 Edm 9 15 24 0.375
29 NYI 11 17 9 0.297 29 Flo 11 19 30 0.367
30 TB 10 11 18 0.256 30 Tor 8 18 26 0.308

****************************

This table looks at the year-to-year change in rankings from 2008-09 to 2009-10. Ottawa has the biggest change, while Carolin lines the bottom, with some strange changes throughout the NHL.

One anomaly has the Minnesota Wild as jumping 14 spots from 24th in 2008-09 to 10th overall, yet, they are still sitting at the bottom of the Western Conference standings.

Rank(08-9) Team W% Chg Rank(09-10) Team W%
26 OTTAWA 0.447 24 2 Ott 0.680
28 CHICAGO 0.387 23 5 Chi 0.625
22 LOS ANGELES 0.465 16 6 LA 0.625
24 MINNESOTA 0.463 14 10 Min 0.559
17 PHOENIX 0.486 14 3 Pho 0.677
29 NY ISLANDERS 0.297 13 16 NYI 0.485
20 VANCOUVER 0.472 12 8 Van 0.591
25 PHILADELPHIA 0.450 11 14 Phi 0.500
10 PITTSBURGH 0.528 6 4 Pit 0.643
11 COLORADO 0.524 4 7 Col 0.613
15 BUFFALO 0.500 4 11 Buf 0.548
12 ANAHEIM 0.523 3 9 Ana 0.577
30 TAMPA BAY 0.256 3 27 TB 0.379
27 ATLANTA 0.429 2 25 Atl 0.389
16 ST LOUIS 0.486 1 15 StL 0.500
18 DALLAS 0.475 0 18 Dal 0.467
1 NEW JERSEY 0.735 0 1 NJD 0.692
14 MONTREAL 0.513 -3 17 Mtl 0.471
19 BOSTON 0.474 -4 23 Bos 0.394
23 EDMONTON 0.463 -5 28 Edm 0.375
6 NASHVILLE 0.579 -7 13 Nas 0.533
3 SAN JOSE 0.591 -9 12 SJ 0.538
21 TORONTO 0.471 -9 30 Tor 0.308
9 COLUMBUS 0.556 -11 20 Cbs 0.433
7 WASHINGTON 0.559 -12 19 Was 0.464
5 CALGARY 0.583 -16 21 Cal 0.412
13 FLORIDA 0.516 -16 29 Flo 0.367
4 DETROIT 0.585 -18 22 Det 0.400
8 NY RANGERS 0.558 -18 26 NYR 0.385
2 CAROLINA 0.615 -22 24 Car 0.391

********************

The picture is slightly altered however when taking into consideration one-goal wins in regulation time, as opposed to lumping together all the extra time games.
San Jose leads the NHL with a .700 winning percentage, with Ottawa and Anaheim a close second and Colorado making up ground. Buffalo, Dallas and NJ are tied and then Phoenix makes its appearance, as does one of the better clubs in the Pittsburgh Penguins.

Rank(09-10) Team W L TOT W%
1 SJ 7 3 10 0.700
2 Ott 9 4 13 0.692
3 Ana 9 4 13 0.692
4 Col 13 6 19 0.684
5 Buf 10 5 15 0.667
6 Dal 8 4 12 0.667
7 NJD 10 5 15 0.667
8 Pho 9 5 14 0.643
9 Pit 8 6 14 0.571
10 LA 10 8 18 0.556
11 StL 7 6 13 0.538
12 Van 8 7 15 0.533
13 Cbs 8 7 15 0.533
14 Chi 7 7 14 0.500
15 Det 6 6 12 0.500
16 Min 11 11 22 0.500
17 Tor 7 7 14 0.500
18 Nas 8 9 17 0.471
19 Was 6 7 13 0.462
20 Cal 9 11 20 0.450
21 NYR 7 9 16 0.438
22 Phi 7 9 16 0.438
23 TB 5 7 12 0.417
24 Atl 8 12 20 0.400
25 Car 4 7 11 0.364
26 Flo 5 9 14 0.357
27 Edm 4 9 13 0.308
28 NYI 4 9 13 0.308
29 Bos 3 9 12 0.250
30 Mtl 3 12 15 0.200

[email protected]
twitter.com/@KatsHockey

VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
Rating: 0.0/10 (0 votes cast)
VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
Rating: 0 (from 0 votes)

Print article

  • Jordan

    If Kaberle leaves he HAS to get us a top 3 forward. No questions asked. Some people liek to think he is not worth that but thats because you watch him play every game. Only Green and Keith have more points as defence this year right now, and they both play of MASSIVE offensive teams. Kaberle plays on one of the worst teams. Think about that. Not all defence who can score are good at both ends either. Green isnt the best all around either. Its gotta happen. And if nobody is offering one, I say keep Kaberle for the long haul.

    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast)
    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0 (from 0 votes)
  • keon

    Cameron
    .
    Sorry man, Clowe is exactly what the Leafs need, a big strong LWer who can play with Bozak or whoever plays center with Kessel. He’s a big improvement over Ponikarovsky. He can score as much and brings a consistent hard game, in the corners, front of the net and he will drop them to protect his linemates.
    .
    As for Couture, he is San Jose’s best prospect, rated just slightly behind Kadri and has absolutely lit up the AHL this year. Plus he knows how to play in his own end. He can play.
    .
    This would be a much better trade than a prospect and an unknown pick in a draft that drops off after the 15-20 spot of the first round.

    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast)
    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0 (from 0 votes)
  • keon

    Plus, I will be very surprised if Pinikarovsky will sign for less than Clowe is making. In addition to this he’s younger and Couture will also be on his entry-level contract for 3 more years.
    .
    You can never have enough depth.

    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast)
    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0 (from 0 votes)
  • keon

    Cameron
    .
    Clowe is not on the block (if he is at all) because he has flaws in his game. It’s because San Jose has the following UFAs after this season:
    .
    Marleau
    Nabakov
    Wallin
    .
    And the following RFAs:
    .
    Pavelski
    Setoguchi
    .
    And they need dman from somewhere as Blake may not be back.
    .
    Just signing Marleau and Nabakov alone will eat up a lot of the cap space.

    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast)
    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0 (from 0 votes)
  • Cameron

    @ keon:

    Yes, San Jose has determined his worth is not as great as his cap space; what does that tell you. If they need space, why don’t we go for one of the guys they actually want to keep around; like Pavelski. I like Clowe, and I would gladly acquire him, but not by using Kaberle. If they wanted to do a Chicago/Minnesota type trade, where we exchange similar players and throw in a player/prospect in order to make it worth their while, while they simultaneously dump the cap space – then sure! I’m talking about something like Ponikarovsky + Mikus = Clowe.

    As far as Couture goes – yawn. Imagine if we had a prospect who could tear up the AHL. Wow, that would be amazing. Maybe we could trade him for Phillipe Paradis. The kid does not show any of the same spark as Kadri – I’ll pass. And while we’re on the subject, Ponikarovsky is statistically better than Clowe in every category, including hits. The only thing Poni doesn’t have on Clowe is a desire to drop the gloves. I think that’s evened out by Clowe’s injury history though…

    I’m not saying I want Kaberle for a prospect and a pick. In my mind, that would be the worst return for him. I want a top line player in return for Kaberle, and preferably a center. Bozak will not be this team’s top center next year, so suggesting the acquisition of guys like Clowe (for the purpose of augmenting Bozak/Kessel), via Kaberle, is as redundant as suggesting Komisarek/Beauchemin trades. It’s not going to happen.

    Finally, Brian Burke is the kind of of man who believes he has a shot at every free agent on the market. He believed this in Anaheim, and that feeling has only been magnified in Toronto, which we know he considers to be the holy land of hockey. If he feels San Jose has cap troubles, he will not make a deal with them (unless it is absolutely enormously lobsided), that prevents him from having a word with one Patrick Marleau.

    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast)
    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0 (from 0 votes)
  • keon

    Patrick Marleau? He won’t play for Wilson again.

    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast)
    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0 (from 0 votes)
  • Cameron

    Hmm, seems to me that the last time he spoke on the matter, he said he would play for him anyday. I don’t expect Marleau to be a Leaf; not by a long shot. However, if he does hit free agency, Burke is the kind of man who will want to talk with him, regardless. Don’t forget that Marleau has watched the team that Burke built knock his team out of the playoffs a few times, and go on to a Stanley Cup in one case.

    My personal belief is that the Sharks will sign Marleau. However, a surprizing (or not) early exit from the playoffs, could have Wilson forced to either blow it up, or at least make massive changes. Heatley and Thornton are virtually unmoveable, so guys like Marleau, Nabokov, and Setoguchi/Pavelski, and Clowe, will be the ones to go.

    In that circumstance, I do believe that Marleau would sign with either Anaheim or Los Angeles, but don’t discount Burke based on a three year old feud that both parties have admitted is water under the bridge. And don’t be so quick to forget that while Wilson and Marleau didn’t always see eye to eye, Marleau saw his best year’s under Wilson (save for thsi season, which is likely to surpass all previous marks). Burke is an extremely persuasive man, and as we saw with Komisarek, Beauchemin, and Giguere, guys come here solely because of him.

    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast)
    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0 (from 0 votes)
  • keon

    I saw an interview he did when he was asked about the situation and he was very uncomfortable aswering it, which he never really did actually. But it was the look on his face, his body language that was the most telling, basically, never again.

    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast)
    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0 (from 0 votes)
  • Cameron

    Well then, I shall defer to your ability to read body language. Coaches and players don’t have to be best friends; there just has to be a mutual respect, and they have that. Again, I’m not saying it’s going to happen, and in fact I concede it’s not likely at all. I’m just saying, that Burke is not to be under-estimated in these situations.

    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast)
    VN:F [1.9.22_1171]
    Rating: 0 (from 0 votes)
  • office
  • ms office 2007