Stalberg: A Cautionary Tale

by on April 6, 2010 in Leafs Prospects - 30 Comments

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Prior to the lockout, undrafted college free agents were a rare, straight to NHL commodity. Either serving out their apprenticeships as minor league signees or plying their trade overseas, few players transitioned directly from the ranks of college hockey to the NHL without enduring prolonged development curves. However, in a post-lockout landscape where GM’s clutch their most valued assets and superstars to their clubs with dynasty length deals, and where dollars and ice time are apportioned in equilibrium, graduate aged (or younger) players progressing from the NCAA as free agents are providing comparatively cheap labour in an increasingly scrutinized marketplace.

Not too surprisingly, considering both his hockey heritage as a former captain of the Providence College Friars and his somewhat condensed timetable for rebuilding the Leafs, Brian Burke has been one of the first to plunder the verdant college market in recent seasons, in turn providing a quantum shift from the conventional dominance of the CHL at the junior level.

With the addition last week of Toronto born, former University of Vermont center Brayden Irwin, Burke has for successive seasons looked to capitalize on the buzz surrounding the undrafted graduate classes having added Christian Hanson (Notre Dame) toward the close of last season and the much coveted center Tyler Bozak (Denver) in the summer. While Burke missed out in the sweepstakes for Matt Gilroy, last season’s other blue chip collegiate free agent, the arrival of Irwin means 8 players who have dressed for the Leafs this season can trace their junior roots back to the college game, while another two players from Burke’s maiden Leafs draft class have played NCAA hockey this year (if you count Kenny Ryan`s time at Boston College).

Of course, the eponymous Viktor Stalberg cannot count himself amongst the ranks of the undrafted collegiate elite. Rather, Stalberg is a college product whose franchise bloodlines can be traced back to the draft of 2006 where he was selected 161st overall making him, like fellow Swede and first year NHLer Carl Gunnarson, something entirely more inconceivable; salvageable assets from the administrative era of disrepair under John Ferguson Jr.

Nonetheless, freshly coupled with his fellow alumnus Brayden Irwin, Stalberg represents an interesting case study into the contemporary influence of the NCAA at the games highest level and the subsequent trials that can be faced by individuals making the direct jump from the comparatively unphysical college game to the NHL.

Indeed, it has been a turbulent year for Stalberg, a little known Leafs prospect headed into 2009; initially buried under the changing of regimes atop the Leafs, Stalberg saw his star rise toward the close of last season. Named Hockey East player of the month in January, the Gothenburg native went on to be named to the NCAA East All-American team and listed amongst the ten finalists for the Hobey Baker Memorial Award. Spearheading the Vermont Catamounts first trip to the Frozen Four since 1997, Stalberg opted to sign a pro contract in April going on to wow the Leafs faithful, coaching staff and media throng alike during training camp and pre-season.

Blisteringly fast, with game breaking acceleration, Stalberg went from off-the-radar draftee to can’t-miss star overnight despite a patently one dimensional, speed based game. Sparking almost instantaneous chemistry with flatmates Bozak and Hanson on the flippantly dubbed Frat-line, Stalberg found himself pencilled in to most observer’s speculative opening night lineups alongside the aforementioned rookies.

As fate transpired, Stalberg would be the only collegiate to dress at the commencement of the regular season. With Hanson, arguably the least capable held down for seasoning in the AHL, Bozak faced a similar fate due to cap issues and Stalberg was assigned wingman for Jason Blake and Matt Stajan. Playing within a system that failed early and often in the opening month, Stalberg struggled to come to terms with the closer-checking, harder-hitting nature of an NHL season in full swing and struggled further still to conjure any chemistry with his seasoned linemates.

And then came the Volchenkov hit.

Like a bullet point in the former college players development, Stalberg returned after only a week but his game had become tempered, his play timid. With his confidence in carrying the puck rocked, the speed game that was so prevalent in camp was witnessed so sporadically thereafter that it served to only highlight Stalberg’s increasing anonymity within the Leafs lineup.

Five pointless games would follow before Stalberg was reunited with his pre-season linemates in the AHL and two months would pass before the Frat-line began to make their impact in the NHL.

Ironically, it would be Bozak who would make the biggest waves when the Leafs reconvened the college project. With Stalberg bouncing between the AHL and NHL, Bozak, who had not enjoyed the success that both Stalberg and Hanson had with the Marlies, was seeing precipitous increases in his ice time that following the Stajan trade, would culminate in the rookie centering the top line.

Injured for all but 19 contests for Denver University in the year prior to signing a pro contract with the Leafs, Bozak had demonstrated a consistent, intricately skilled game that, whilst less flamboyant than the speed of Stalberg, had proved easier to maintain and build upon in the NHL.

Meanwhile Stalberg was not the only former collegiate struggling with the Leafs. Christian Hanson, (affix redundant story about his father’s appearance in Slap Shot) projected as a workmanlike role player, has been unable to assert himself in a Leafs jersey after a reasonably successful cameo at the close of last season.

Stalberg on the other hand, began to turn the corner after Hanson’s promotion in early February that coincided with the Olympic break and a series of trades that would see a significant overhaul of the Leafs roster. Now playing alongside one of his pre-season foils, in a team that with the arrival of Phaneuf et al has bought more fundamentally into Ron Wilson’s game plan, Stalberg (who had never played more than 48 games in any one season) has capitalized on the mid season break and begun to find a role for himself within the revisited systems that failed so badly early on.

While the wheels of the pre-season are slowly beginning to come back, it’s not just velocity that is bringing Stalberg out of his funk. At 6’3” and 210 lbs, Stalberg is beginning to use his big body to get into the dirtier zones. Where teams were finding it easy to corral Stalberg’s fast, but ultimately outside game, a tuned combination of hard work and power is seeing the left winger make an impact in front and around the net.

Adding 9 points in the last 17 contests, since the arrival of his former Catamounts teammate Brayden Irwin and the part-time revival of the Frat line, Stalberg has scored 3 goals in 4 games going plus one. While this by no means signals the end of the peaks and troughs of confidence witnessed this year, you get the feeling Stalberg has begun to turn the tide toward becoming an all round power forward in a castaway Leafs team that has evolved into a developmental unit.

Of course, next season the Leafs are aspiring for something more concrete than developing untraditionally sourced talent and in that respect Stalberg, while himself not an undrafted college free agent, is a cautionary tale headed into an offseason bereft of choice draft picks and an uninspiring collection of free agents. Slowly turning good, the NCAA thread has been a complimentary project that has ultimately wielded a future star in Bozak and a potential top six forward in Stalberg. But whilst providing a cost effective means of plugging roster gaps, college free agents require seasoning and rarely provide the type of instantaneous impact the Leafs are going to need to avoid yet another October/November derailing.  Worse, the timeframe for developing college free agents is condensed considerably by their age; it’s a lot easier to make a raw, promising 21 year old a viable NHL asset than it is an immature 24 or 25 year old; a case in point is Matt Gilroy in New York.

Subsequently, while commentators keenly draw up their lists of this season’s most eligible college free agents and Leafs fans ponder which diamonds in the rough will become the next Bozak’s, the NCAA still has a long way to go as an consistent proving ground for genuine NHL talent, particularly for those that weren’t viewed as draft worthy at 18. It remains to be seen if Bozak remains the exception that proves the rule, but ultimately even those college players such as Stalberg that were drafted are proving that the jump from the NCAA is still considerably more tangible than the CHL.

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  • crazyaces

    Nice write up, very well thoughtout – thanks

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  • looshV

    Wow! Great article man, really enjoyed it. You see it with certain players and it’s that drive, the will that gets them to that next level. I think it is also a product of the type of game BB and RW a trying to instill. The players you mention, Christian Hanson included are going to turn out to be serviceable NHLers. They have the will to want to play that type of game. I believe our hitting amongst the forwards is going to go up big time next year with a long spring and summer of working out, it can only bring good things. What I like most about Hanson’s game is his attention to detail in the defencive zone, he generally makes good decisions with the puck and is quite calm in front of his own goal tender. More than anything though, our young players CAN actually play the type of aggressive puck-possession fore check that RW has been so desperately trying to establish.

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  • Schenn

    Very great aritcle Richard!! Would love for Stalberg to gain some more muscle in the off-season making him tougher to knock of the puck and a force in the corners. He has the speed and skill of an NHL player, however he needs to work on his shot and williness to do some dirty work.

    Starting to think Hanson and Irwin (along with Caputi) will start next season with the Marlies, since I believe Burke will be brining in 2-3 more players through trade/free agency and have no doubt Kadri will make the team.

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  • FuckTheHabs

    The quality of information in this article is superb. Site keeps getting better everyday. I think Stalberg will become the top 6 forward everybody knows he can be. His work ethic as of late has really picked up and he has the ability, with his speed, to break a game wide open. Excited about Stalberg’s potential. I also think Kadri will make the club next season. If Patrick Kane can be a superstar in this league, why not Kadri. They both play a VERY highly skilled game, but Kadri plays with that extra edge. We probably won’t see Kadri play with that edge until maybe halfway through the season as he will take time to adjust his game to the NHL level. Future looks exciting my fellow Leafs fans, let’s enjoy it eh.

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  • curtman96

    Has anyone seen Kadri play these playoffs? The guy has been an offensive menace playing around 37 minutes per game. (And no that wasn’t a typing error – 37 minutes! Insane)

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  • Jordan

    Kadri is gonna make the kessel deal forgetable. He and kessel will be insane. Not only does he have 22 PTS, he’s still like +7-9 or something? That’s a huge thing in the playoffs

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  • wendel over mats

    Just wanna say – welcome back Richard, your prose has been missed around these parts!

    (I realize this ain’t exactly school, but where have ya been lately?)

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  • http://cartika.com Andrew R

    Hey Jordan – would you trade Kadri + 1st + 2nd for Kessel? Because we are likely talking something much worse here.

    Re Kadri, it is mostly because of having drafted Kadri that I felt (and feel) that the Kessel acquisition was not required. Though, if Kessel had Kadris heart – wow, what a player that would be. End of the day though, they will both be similar players. Kessel doesnt play big, and Kadri is just too small, regardless of his effort and heart, to play big. Both will be snipers. Valuable without a doubt, but, not sure that makes the Kessel trade “forgettable”

    Anyway, not trying to pick a fight with you dude… just thinking out loud I guess..

    cheers

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  • double_dion
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  • Chance
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  • Ksavz

    @ Andrew R:
    Kessel and Kadri are by no means the same player, completely different actually. Kessel is a player who sneaks at the back of the transition hiding until the right moment to be open for a shot on the rush, who when settled in the o-zone peeks through seems from the bottom of the offensive circle and up to either put a puck on net or find a teammate with either a rebound or one tee back door. Kadri is a player who (like bozak) is the starting point of transition, using his speed and agility to avoid oncoming forecheckers to make a nice unsuspecting play to an open winger on the rush. With very quick and agile hands around the net he uses his one on one ability to catch ppl looking at the puck, to then feed his teammates, or work give and goes down low. Not to mention, Kadri hits. Your comparison is like saying (on a higher scale), that Gilmour and Mogilny are the same player. As for your Kadri + 1st +2nd comment, it’s hypothetical and irrelevant to the result of our rebuild. We have acquired many players over the past season and a half to justify the trade we made for Phil Kessel (i dont know how many times this needs to be said on the board). We took a loan out (2 1sts, and a 2nd) for a proven necessity piece moving forward (Phil Kessel). With players like Kadri, Bozak, Stalberg, Didomenico, Schenn, Phaneuf, Aulie, Gustavsson, Gunarsson, Champagne, K.Ryan, Paradis, Stefanovich, Blacker, D’amigo, Reimer, Hanson and so fourth, why is there such a problem in dealing quantity for some quality? its obvious Burke has faith in the development of alot of his prospects and felt the move was a small price with the pieces aforementioned moving forward. Sure if you look just at the trade, its a hefty price, but looking at the depth moving forward, its not even close to a problem. 2 years without a 1st is nothing with the pieces we have, we’ll be restocking with 1sts in no time.

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  • Ksavz

    ps:

    irrelevant but next year i would love to see the following-

    Kulemin – Kadri – Kessel
    Stalberg – Bozak – Caputi/UFA

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  • Troy

    Great read. Thanks.

    I think there must be a mistake made in last nights Knights/Rangers game stats. It says Kadri had no penalties…What?!
    37 minutes? Wow.
    Think Kessel and Kadri should play on separate lines, particularly because they play very different styles. It’s not a good idea for Kadri to be getting under guys’ skin with Kessel to back him up. I say have two #1 lines, the grit line, maybe Kuliman/Kadri/Hanson, and the soft line, maybe Stalberg/Bozak/Kessel.

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  • B Leaf

    Good Article. I think we need to be very cautious with our expectations with regards to Stalberg. While he clearly has a very high ceiling it is unlikely he will ever reach it. It will also take time as he has never played 105 games a year which is what is required to succeed and win a cup. Next year will continue to be a growth year for him. The year after I like his chances to make an impact. If he could hit between 20-30 goals in 2011-2012 that would be great. If he could do that and continue to finish checks that is better. If he could add to that by being good in his own end that would make him a key player.

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  • creasemonkey

    Just got free tickets to the Knights and Rangers game tomorrow, looking forward to seeing Kitchener win and Kadri play, curious to see him play without the puck, see if he floats more then gets in the play, the stuff you don’t see when the cameras not on him.

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  • B Leaf
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  • Schenn

    Why does everybody continue to write Grabovski off? I don’t understand why everbody is so quick to leave out a young player that scored 20 goals as a rookie.

    @Chance:

    The difference between you comparing the Kessel deal to Steen + Coliacovo and a 2nd is neither Steen, nor Coliacovo were Top 10 picks, let alone a Top 5 pick.

    Here’s a more realistic version of the trade based on our past picks:
    Schenn + Kadri and a 2nd for Kessel.

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  • B Leaf
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  • curtman96

    @ double_dion:
    Exactly. Playing for the Leafs next year he will have less than half that ice time and will be playing with much more energy each shift. Plus he plays the point on every powerplay. I watched one 4 minute PP the Knights had where he was left on the whole time plus another minute after.

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  • surfsimply

    I agree about Grabovski. All I can think is that he just rubs people the wrong way. He comes across like a bit of a prick, so perhaps people are reacting to that. Just like how in a year or two there will be a group of Leafs fans who will rabidly hate Dion. Guaranteed.

    Anyway, I find Grabovski to be a hard-working and highly skilled centre who was sorely missed when he was injured. Not only that, he has no problem going into the dirty areas and mixing it up, which I love seeing from a relatively small guy.

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  • Schenn

    It’d be great if Burke were able to trade for a Top Six forward (Neal, Horton, etc.) and sign Marleau as well. Although I worked out the Leafs roster for next season and with a $4.0 million dollar Top Six forward added and with Kaberle & Finger gone, it’d only leave about $5.0 million to sign Marleau. The following line-up would be great though:

    Marleau – Bozak – Kessel
    Kulemin – Kadri – Neal/Horton
    Stalberg – Grabovski – Sjostrom
    Caputi/Hanson – Mitchell – Orr

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  • curtman96

    @ surfsimply:
    I think most people are penciling Grabovski out of the lineup next season because he doesn’t fit on this team. Most likely Bozak and Kadri will be the top 2 centermen and Grabo is not a 3rd line center, plus he is making 2.9 mill per which is too expensive to have on a 3rd line especially when he isn’t good defensively. Although I do think he is a solid player that works hard, I would be experimenting with him on the wing for the remainder of the season.

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  • zoonpolitikon

    Did anybody else see that Horton flipped out on Mike Kitchen today and stormed off the ice during practice. Wonder if that means he’s done in Florida?

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  • Bob is your uncle
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  • rustynail

    DarrenDreger

    Mike Kitchen says his exchange with Horton isnt a big deal. Horton was interfering with a D-man drill. They will talk before the game.

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