Maple Leafs Order Of Selection for 2010 Entry Draft

@ Charlie:
The thing is, this guy is saying that in 3 years, Hall will be putting up 40 goals, Eberle 30 goals, and MPS 80 points. He’s basically saying that all 3 are going to be stars by the time their 21 or 22, which is possible, but extremely unlikely.
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If MPS gets 80 points, with his size, he’d be the second Mats Sundin. Expecting that out of a guy picked 10th overall is ridiculous. Yes, it could happen, as superstars have come from all over the draft, but there is no reason to believe that it is guaranteed. Not even close. If you look at previous the 10th overall picks from the last 15 years, Nik Antropov is arguably the best player. The odds of MPS being a superstar are extremely low. If he had guaranteed star potential, he’d have been picked way earlier.
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Hall is the closest to being a guaranteed star, and I’d say he’s probably got about a 95% chance of being one. But MPS has about a 20% chance, which is generous when you look at the percentage of 10th overall picks that have become stars.
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I can’t use the same logic with Eberle, as he has shown intangibles that are off the charts for someone his age. His heart and ability to come through in the clutch are skills that are way easier to transfer over to the NHL. I’d probably give him a 60%.
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Using these percentages, there is about an 11% chance that all 3 become stars. Expecting that to happen in 3 years is even more ridiculous.