12 Burning Questions: Will Phil Kessel Establish New Scoring Heights?

by on August 22, 2010 in 2010-11 Season - 330 Comments

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In part six of his 12 burning questions series, Derek Harmsworth takes a look at Leafs sniper Phil Kessel, and whether he can hit the 40 goal plateau.

While January 31st 2010 will go down as a day Leafs fans will never forget as the Leafs acquired Dion Phaneuf, Keith Aulie, Fredrik Sjostrom, and J.S. Giguere in the span of about two hours, the date of September 18th, 2009 will also be remembered, yet highly debated, and much scrutinized.

It was on that day in September, following a preseason game against the Pittsburgh Penguins, that Maple Leafs GM Brian Burke got his man.  After lots of rumours throughout the year, including one that involved Tomas Kaberle going the other way, Burke signed off on a deal with the Boston Bruins that landed him American born sniper Phil Kessel.

The move would be, and continues to be, highly debated amongst those in Leafs Nation, and in the ranks of the National Hockey League in general.  The return package that went to Boston will continue to be talked about for years to come.

The Leafs, in exchange for the services of Phil Kessel, traded away two first round picks, and a second.

Of course the verdict will not be out on this trade for potentially years to come, but it would appear that Peter Chiarelli and the Boston Bruins made out like bandits, selecting Tyler Seguin with the second overall pick this past June, and grabbing Jared Knight in the second round, all with draft choices that originally belonged to Toronto.

Still, one can easily argue that the Maple Leafs didn’t make out too bad either.

Once touted one of “the next ones”, and often referred to as the “American Sidney Crosby” during his junior career, Kessel was a top prospect in the years leading up to his draft, but fell to 5th overall on selection day.  Immediately following the trade, the Maple Leafs locked up Kessel to a five year deal that immediately solidified his status as franchise cornerstone with the team.

And while Kessel missed all of training camp and the first month or so of the season recovering from a shoulder injury, he returned to the Leafs in November, on the 3rd in a  game against the Tampa Bay Lightning.  Though he was able to record a career high ten shots, and was all over the ice, he was unable to record a point.

Despite missing time to start the season, which left him behind the eight ball in terms of his conditioning, Kessel still rebounded to pace the Leafs offensive attack, netting a 30 goal season for the second consecutive year.  Playing with young and largely unproven linemates, Kessel proved that he can be a dominate force with the puck, and will continue to be counted on in the Leafs offensive scheme.

This year Kessel comes into Leafs camp with a few more offensive catalysts riding shotgun alongside him, something that should take the pressure of him a little bit, and allow him to play his game more comfortably.

The Maple Leafs went out and acquired Kris Versteeg, a scoring forward formerly of the Chicago Blackhawks, a player who’s wristshot certainly gives Kessel a run for its money.  He should also help him on the powerplay as well.

They also signed Colby Armstrong as a free agent, a player who is more known for his scrappy play than anything, but there is no doubt “Army” is comfortable playing with top line players and talent, as he cut his teeth in the league playing for stretches with Sidney Crosby in Pittsburgh with the Penguins.

There is also the Nazem Kadri factor, the potential for Jerry D’Amigo to crack the lineup, and don’t forget Tyler Bozak, one year older, one year wiser.

There are times when Kessel appears to make the game effortless, and many in the Leafs organization point to the fact that he is still a young man himself, and at the age of 22, the case could very well be made that he hasn’t even hit the peak of his offensive potential, a scary thought when talking about someone who already has two 30 goal seasons under his belt.

Leafs Nation, for the most part, has been enamored with Kessel, who possesses a quick, accurate wristshot, and lightning quick speed to push the attack for the Leafs.  And when it comes to his first season in blue and white, he certainly set the bar quite high for himself.

A 30 goal campaign is nothing to sneeze at, considering he was behind the eight ball most of the season due to missing training camp and a month of playing time.  He also went through a stretch in December where he couldn’t find the back of the net.

Putting all those factors together seemingly makes his 30 goal campaign that much more impressive.  For it isn’t hard for one to imagine that a full, healthy season, and Kessel may well have matched and surpassed his career high of 36.

With those thoughts in mind, it is easy for Leafs Nation to let their mind wander.  Just what type of goal total will Phil Kessel have this season?

There’s always the chance for a regression.  After all the bar was set pretty high last year, and done so on a team that was going nowhere fast.  The Maple Leafs have designs of being a bit of a spoiler team in the Eastern Conference, and if they are, games will be tougher, and the pressure will be even more intense (although that seems hard to imagine it could get any higher for him.)

However, all signs are, at least on paper, pointing to Kessel to continue his skyward rise in the goal scoring column.  Is a 40 goal season within grasp?  Could he join the likes Of Rick Vaive, Gary Leeman, and Dave Andreychuk, becoming just the fourth player in Leafs history, and the first since Andreychuk in 1993-94 to hit the magical 50 goal plateau?

A full, healthy year in Toronto, new teammates, and improved goaltending which should lead to more competitive games, and one could suggest that it wouldn’t be out of the realm of possibility for Kessel to, at the very least, repeat his goal scoring escapades of one year ago.

But should he just be satisfied with a duplicate performance?

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  • Cameron

    @ gunner_36:
    -
    Pretty comparable group except at the top end. Doubtful that Little becomes as good as Kane, or Kane becomes as good Toews. Atlanta might surprize and actually start landing some free agents with this group. Also, I really like that the new GM was actually aggressive this summer. I think he overpaid, but he set a precedent – the man wants good players and he’s willing to pay for them. Passive GMs only fare well when they get lucky and draft Crosby.
    -
    Wouldn’t be surprized if Atlanta went hard after some RFA’s next summer if they are unwilling to attract any free agents.

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  • Stanley goes to White Kessel

    gunner_36 wrote:

    Atlanta is a few years away from having the same group of star players, depth players and prospects that Chicago had.
    Kane. Toews
    Little. Kane
    Byfuglien Byfuglien
    Antropov Sharp
    Bergfors Brouwer
    Butmistrov Versteeg
    Ladd. Ladd
    Cormier Bolland
    Eager. Eager
    Peeverley Kopecky
    Machacek. Burish
    Madden. Slater
    .
    Keith. Enstrom
    Seabrook. Bogosian
    Hjalmrsson. Oduya
    Sopel. Sopel
    Boynton. Valabik
    Campbell. Haninsey
    Hendry. Kulda
    .
    Niemi. Pavelec
    Huet. Mason

    I’d take Ladd over Ladd and Eager over Eager but you can keep Sopel and Buffy cuz Sopel and Buffy are waaay better.

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  • gunner_36
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  • gunner_36
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  • Kevin C
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  • Tim Horton

    Lukey DeSchennion wrote:

    man are there even any fake rumors we can tak about?

    “The first few days of this week will determine if Price has a future in Montreal or if he will be shipped for a quality forward and replaced with Antti Niemi. The talk is apparently Price to Florida for a top 6 forward … Then sign Niemi… good chance its fake… Oh also a russian sports reporter says Kovi will sign with New Jersey today or tomorrow… Making NJ the new, most cap strapped team in the league.

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  • Cameron

    @ gunner_36:
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    Yea, I agree about the loosening of the purse strings, I just think the turnaround and spending is going to come much faster than anticipated. I’m expecting a huge year from Evander Kane this year, and I also think Cormier will make the team. Burmistrov will be on the outside looking in, but like Kadri for us, he should be ready next year. Remember, in Chicago, the turnaround was so quick. One year the team was struggling to get wins, finishing outside the playoffs in 08. Two years later they were the Cup champs. But back in 08′, no one gave two shits about Dustin Byfuglien, or any of the support players. Even Patrick Sharp was just a guy benefitting from ice time with Kane and Toews. I think it’s going to happen fast for Toronto and Atlanta.

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  • gunner_36
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  • Stanley goes to White Kessel
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  • gunner_36

    @ Cameron:
    Although Atlanta probably still needs a goalie. Mason is good, but not great. And Pavelec has potential, but hasn’t performed that well.

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  • Tim Horton

    Stanley goes to White Kessel wrote:

    Wahhh! Why do the Smurfs get a top-6 forward and we get squat??!!! WE WANT A TOP-6 FORWARD!!!

    Post of the day still belongs to stan.. ………………………

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  • Cameron

    @ gunner_36:
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    Speaking of the 06′ draft, if there’s two guys I would target from there, it would be Mueller and Berglund. I think both players could potentially be made available over the next year. Coaching staff seems to have no love for Berglund in St.Louis, as his minutes continually decreased last year, and I think Mueller could find himself once again sitting just outside of the team’s core as Duchene, Stastny, Stewart, Galiardi and O’Reilly take center stage.
    -
    Also, you forgot Frolik, who has quietly been one of the most successful picks in that draft.

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  • ingy56
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  • gunner_36
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  • Cameron
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  • Kevin C

    Also a note from the NHL draft in 06…what if, instead of Staal, Pittsburgh took Towes. Just think about that.
    You forgot about mentioning OKposo, Lucic, Giroux, Cal Clutterbuck, and Jiri Tlusty (lol)

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  • gunner_36
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  • Tim Horton

    @ Cameron:
    What is Mueller’s style of play, i’m not too familiar with him… Also I have an article where he states he wants to sign with Colorado and is eager to suit up with the boys… but if I know you, you will say of course he will say all the right things, so i’m not posting it. Good call?

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  • Cameron

    I could see this situation with Price:
    -
    To EDM: Carey Price, Ben Maxwell
    To MTL: Andrew Cogliano, Jeff Drouin-Delauriers, 2nd round pick

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  • gunner_36
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  • Cameron

    @ Tim Horton:
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    I’ve read the article too, but I did say I thought he would be available “within the next year”. It’s true though, what player doesn’t say he is eager to suit up for the team who currently owns his rights? Has it ever happened? That said, I’m sure he is eager, as he felt like he finally got a chance in Colorado last year, and that Tippett held him back. Like I said though, I think he could easily find himself once again on the outside looking in there. Galiardi has similar potential, but is better defensively – could take his spot. I don’t know, I could see him getting pushed again there, and not responding, just like in Phoenix. Burke would straighten him out though.
    -
    Mueller’s not a physical player, but he just has good hockey sense, above average passing skills, and a pretty good shot. If he and Kulemin were cut from the same mold, then somebody gave Kulemin a little more defensive sense, and Mueller a little more offensive sense.

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  • Tim Horton

    Lol heres a quote from Peter Tessier at hockeybuzz
    -
    -Pre-season predictions/forecasts are starting to trickle out? I have never tracked it but have any of these guys got it right more than Eklund gets a rumour right? Just curious?
    -
    Its funny because he is part of Eklunds site…

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  • Cameron

    @ Tim Horton:
    -
    Everyone who makes those predictions bases their guesses too heavily off of what happened last season, and then judges strictly based on off-season acquisitions vs. losses. It’s not really rational, as there’s so much more to consider. For example, so many people predict the Bruins will be great because they added Seguin and Horton this summer – solid pick-ups. However, they will probably still have to either trade Savard, or dump Ryder. If they dump Ryder, they still have two of the most risky centers in the league as their 1-2. A headshot to either of them would be devastating. They also lost their only puck moving defensemen in Wideman, who despite having a bad year, is still a highly effective player. I’d rather have Wideman and Ryder than just Horton.
    -
    Last year it was the same for Philly. This one I’m particularly proud of because I predicted several times that they would struggle all year. It’s not a coinciidence that for the last few years, whatever team Pronger is on has been one of, if not the most penalized teams in the league. Yes, Prongers addition was fantastic for the playoffs, but all the extra penalties his reputation alone brought the team almost cost them a playoff berth.

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  • Cameron

    Christ, this site really is dead.

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  • Tim Horton

    http://www.blogesalming.com/2010/08/return-of-hack.html

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