Player Projections + Opening Night Preview

by on October 6, 2010 in 2010-11 Season - 51 Comments

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If the Toronto Maple Leafs wish to avoid another eight-game losing streak to open its regular season, it’s vital the players don’t let last season’s collapse linger in the back of their minds—that’s especially important for Mike Komisarek considering the Leafs open the season against the Montreal Canadiens.

Luckily for the Leafs, the odds seem to be in their favor with Michael Cammalleri out of the line-up due to a one-game suspension, as well as Andrei Markov, who continues to nurse his right knee. It also helps the Leafs have several new faces in the opening night line-up, including Phil Kessel, Dion Phaneuf and Jean-Sebastien Giguere. That said, the Canadiens have plenty of firepower upfront to temporarily fill the void. With P.K. Subban, Lars Eller and even Carey Price eager to display their skills, it’d be foolish to underestimate the long-time rivals. After all, the Leafs are a testimony to the capabilities of undervalued and desperate hockey players.

Perhaps the most intriguing storyline from the Leafs’ standpoint is that of Komisarek. The rearguard enters his second campaign with the Leafs hoping to solidify his role as a reliable defensive defenseman who can lay some bone-crushing hits and block shots. Nothing more, nothing less. Last season he simply tried too hard and exited his comfort zone, which resulted in frequent turnovers and needless penalties. He set the tone on opening night last season with five minor penalties, and the Canadiens capitalized on two of those. If the Leafs, or Komisarek, have any chance on starting the season on the right foot, discipline will need to be one of their strengths, especially with the “truculence first, ask questions later” attitude Burke hopes to instill.

The first powerplay unit of Kris Versteeg, Tyler Bozak, Phil Kessel, Tomas Kaberle and Dion Phaneuf look to continue its dominance from the pre-season, and it’ll be interesting to see if Phaneuf  will continue to screen the goaltender. Plenty of options with Phaneuf’s point shot, Kessel from the left circle or Versteeg’s excellent vision and puck control to create some space. If the Leafs are to make any progress in the Eastern Conference standings, the special teams must improve on last season’ abysmal statistics.

And if there’s any readers who happen to be attending the opening-night game, be sure to make Price feel right at home by unleashing the boo birds. If the Leafs can get at him early, his confidence could get shaken. I know I’d be giddy like a schoolgirl watching the Leafs dominate its number one rival. And hey, maybe Komisarek can even chip-in a goal or two!

Anyway, considering the regular season is nearly 30 hours away, here’s my point projections of the Leafs’ key players—as I’m sure you don’t care about bottom-six predictions.

Note—all predictions based on 82 games.

Kris Versteeg: 23 goals, 56 points

Tyler Bozak: 18 G, 52 PTS

Phil Kessel: 36 G, 69 PTS

Nikolai Kulemin: 21 G, 48 PTS

Mikhail Grabovski: 16 G, 51 PTS

Clarke MacArthur: 21 G, 46 PTS

Tomas Kaberle: 8 G, 52 PTS

Dion Phaneuf: 15 G, 49 PTS

Francois Beauchemin: 10 G, 32 PTS

You stay classy, MLHS.

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  • TuckerThomas

    First…. game of the year. Can’t wait.

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  • TuckerThomas

    We’re winning this 5-2.
    Oh yeah. We will score 3 goals on the first 5 shots.
    Brent will even score on Price. Book it!

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  • DefenseWinsChampionships
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  • Cameron

    I love the predictions, but disagree with two. Kessel will score closer to 40, and into the 70′s for points. Beauchemin will finish in the mid 20′s, but have a solid defensive season.

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  • TuckerThomas
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  • DefenseWinsChampionships
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  • Frostbittenjam

    I know it was only preseason but Versteeg was way way better than I was expecting from his point totals this past season, so I think you’re undershooting his totals. I think he’ll wind up closer to 65 than 56.

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  • Frostbittenjam

    DefenseWinsChampionships wrote:

    http://www.640toronto.com/Blogs/EatSleepLeafs/BlogEntry.aspx?BlogEntryID=10148615

    .
    Kaberle ranked 24th among NHL defensemen last year with 158 shots.

    That’s what jumped out at me. I think we all owe the poor guy an apology because that’s actually not too shabby lol

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  • Ron Guillet
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  • TuckerThomas

    Kaberle also ranked 1st among NHL d-men last year with 1278 faked shots.

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  • DefenseWinsChampionships
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  • TuckerThomas

    @ DefenseWinsChampionships:
    I think Ronny W is also experimenting with praising Kabs. ;)

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  • Ron Guillet
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  • DefenseWinsChampionships
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  • Reether

    One thing I think Versteeg is good at is getting goals off rebounds in the dirty area’s, he’ll get plenty of chances with that power play unit.
    Btw great Article Ron

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  • TuckerThomas

    I wonder who told RW about Kessel on the half boards being very predictable for the other teams PK. That was one of the most bitched about scenarios last season. Glad to see someone figured out that a PP needs to be creative and unpredictable with multiple options and set plays.

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  • TuckerThomas

    Who was covering the point for Dion when he went to the net?

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  • Ron Guillet
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  • Bob is your uncle

    TuckerThomas wrote:

    Who was covering the point for Dion when he went to the net?

    Wasn’t Kessel back there just before Dion went to the net? Remember when Dion told (barked at… lol) Burke “We need some bigger forwards”. I guess he deciced he couldn’t wait.

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  • TuckerThomas
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  • Steve Stavro
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  • Burtonboy

    Its my hope Kaberle will have career year and make RW eat his words. I have seen a big difference so far. He seems to have a lot more jump in his already smooth skating and he’s shooting twice as much as he did last year. I’m predicting a big year for him.

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  • Jordan

    Kessel will score more
    Kulemin will it 55-60
    Grabo will hit 60-70
    Dial it in!
    Book it!
    DONE!

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  • http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DPiuD24JV2U 2 Minutes for Looking so Guru

    DefenseWinsChampionships wrote:

    If all 3 of those things happen, I will set fire to a cop car in Montreal.

    I’m pretty sure Habsbeens fans will beat you to it.

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  • Jordan

    @ Ron Guillet:
    Versteeg has the best saucer pass after waiting the forward out I have ever seen

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