At Quarter Pole, Maple Leafs Improved, But Is It Enough?

by on November 26, 2010 in 2010-11 Season - 262 Comments

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For the Toronto Maple Leafs and their fans, the last two seasons of hockey have combined for some roller coaster level of emotions.  There was the bringing in of Brian Burke, the general manager with the pedigree to lead this team back to respectability, and back to the playoffs, with ultimately the goal of ending the Stanley Cup drought.

Then the hope was awash when the Leafs started the year off with a thud, winless in their first seven games, a stretch that they never did quite recover from.  The trades in January that brought Dion Phaneuf, Keith Aulie, Fredrik Sjostrom, and J.S. Giguere to the organization brought about a new sense of optimism for the long suffering fans in Leafs Nation.

And when the Toronto Maple Leafs kicked off the 2010-2011 NHL campaign with four straight wins, the optimism levels couldn’t have been higher.  After a lengthy losing streak, the team is back to playing more consistently, and with complete confidence you can declare that the Toronto Maple Leafs of 2010-2011 are an improved club.

Just how much they have improved, and whether it will be enough for them to break the postseason drought this April, is another question altogether.

A look at this club with the simple naked eye will reveal things about the team that are already vastly improved over last season’s team.  On more nights than not, this version of the Toronto Maple Leafs is a group that works hard, and while their obvious lack of scoring depth has kept them off the scoresheet at times this season, it is hard for anyone to argue that this is a team that has a much improved work ethic.

The naked eye can also discern a young team that is beginning to grow together, and develop chemistry as a group.  The connection between Phil Kessel and Tyler Bozak was highly documented throughout the summer, but now it appears players like Mikhail Grabovski, Clarke MacArthur, and Nikolai Kulemin have found a real niche when working together.

Going back to Phil Kessel, it is abundantly clear that for whatever reason, Nazem Kadri, Kris Versteeg, and Kessel himself are operating on a totally different wavelength than everyone else.  After struggling to find the net early in the season, Versteeg has come on in a big way lately, and the slick puck distribution of Nazem Kadri has certainly helped him along the way.

And for the first time in a long time, Leafs fans can see real development happening before their eyes.

Aside from the aforementioned players above continuing their development, the Leafs have plenty of other young talent that is coming along nicely as the season rolls into the second quarter.

Nazem Kadri, of course, has been a key figure in the team’s success since his call-up from the Toronto Marlies of the American Hockey League.  On the back end, Keith Aulie and Luke Schenn have both been good.  Schenn in particular has really made leaps and bounds in his third NHL season, rounding into the tenacious shot blocker and rigid defenseman the Leafs had hoped he would turn out to be.

Schenn is logging nearly 23 minutes a game, and is the team’s top ranked player in the plus/minus category, with plus 5.  He also has a respectable six points through the first twenty games with Toronto.

Talking about development on this Leafs team, you’d be remiss if you didn’t mention one Jonas Gustavsson.

Since the injury to J.S. Giguere, who was playing well before going down, Gustavsson has taken the reins of this team and on every night given them a chance to win the hockey game.  ”The Monster” is looking extremely comfortable between the pipes for Toronto in just his second season, making big saves when necessary.  In fact, it’s hard to think of a game Gustavsson has played in where he hasn’t made the proverbial “ten beller” save.

While he is still young and still very much in the development process, the time may be right for the Maple Leafs to increase the work load for Gustavsson, even when Giguere does return to health.

Delving deeper, the stats themselves vouch for the Maple Leafs.

While the numbers may be slightly skewed as one set reflects the whole season while the other just a quarter of it, there is little doubt that putting them up against each other, we are looking at a team that has made improvements over last season.

Start with the win percentage, which was no doubt inflated by the four game win streak to kick off the year, but brought back to earth during the lengthy losing streak.  Still, this year’s version of the Maple Leafs has a .475 win percentage, while last year’s squad came in at a .451 win percentage.

The goals against are the stat that perhaps jumps out the biggest when looking over the stats.

Last season the Toronto Maple Leafs allowed 3.21 goals against per game, which was good for among the worst in the National Hockey League.  This year, through the quarter pole, the Leafs have cut that total down to 2.65 goals against per game.

Even the powerplay and the penalty kill have improved this year, be it minimally.  The powerplay is up nearly three percent, and the penalty kill has improved just over one percent.

The question beginning to creep into everyone’s mind is, will these improvements be enough to get the team back to the Stanley Cup playoffs for the first time since 2004?

While logic would dictate that the team still has a long ways to go, and that without consistent scoring the team won’t truly be able to take flight or make noise within the conference, a quick check of the standings provides a beacon of hope for fans in Leafs Nation.

Despite a terrible stretch of winless hockey, and despite games in which the goal scoring was anemic, the Toronto Maple Leafs still sit just four points out of the eighth spot in the Eastern Conference, and have played one or two less games than those teams in front of them.

So will the improvements made to this team be enough to get them over the hump and past the playoff drought?  Time will tell, especially with the team playing in what is no doubt the weaker conference of the two.  Still, at this stage of the process, the Toronto Maple Leafs are making improvements over previous teams.

And for now, that’s really all we can ask for.  The rest will take care of itself.

Note: I will be appearing on London’s Best Rock, FM96 this afternoon for the first of what will hopefully be a weekly segment to talk Maple Leafs hockey!  If you’re in the London, Ontario area, listen in after 2PM!  You can also listen live at www.fm96.com

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  • Jordan

    @ Potsy:
    I dunno, did you see the first one years ago? It was badddddddd

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  • SASH

    @ marty93:
    I have met many nhlers, and even the ones everyone thinks are “big” are very much not so. NHL players have very wide frames but not really thick. Erik Lindros had to change his workouts because he trained too much like a bodybuilder. I understand what your saying, and maybe kadri ends up staying on the wing. Just think it way too early to decide on whether or not he will be a #1 center in this league. As for Bozak, hes actually pretty thick. I think thats why hes not as dynamic this year. Same with Schenn last year. These guys put on weight fairly quickly and it takes the body some time to adjust. Remember homeostasis back in biology lol. Who knows, one thing is for sure, kadri has magic hands.

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  • Loric
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  • Potsy

    Jordan wrote:

    @ Potsy:
    I dunno, did you see the first one years ago? It was badddddddd

    Not the same fighters not the same promotion not for the same $ and not for the same prestige. All adds up to a Differnet fight this time around

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  • Loric
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  • Cameron

    @ SASH:
    -
    This is true. Bobby Ryan also had to lose 20 pounds to become an effective NHL’er. When the Jets were here, I was at the rink with the players all the time, and I remember my Dad being much bigger than most players at 6’4 240. Tkatchuk was among the biggest, and even he isn’t really enormous. Bozak’s problem this year though stems from confidence, and being up against top checking lines. Last year he caught everyone off guard with his great playmaking, but now they’ve actually scouted him and are prepared.

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  • Cameron

    @ marty93:
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    Kadri plays the game a lot harder than Savard and Richards, in my opinion. Whether he can eventually translate that to the NHL remains to be seen, but certainly in his junior career, he was a wrecking ball, hitting everything that moved.

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  • tron

    At this point Kadri reminds me of Grabovski, gives it all hell, effective but on his ass most of the time

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  • Loric

    I’d love to see two regulation wins this weekend, but I’m going to guess Leafs get 3 of 4 points. OT/SH loss to Buffalo tonight, clean win against Sens tomorrow.

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  • Bob is your uncle

    @ Derek Harmsworth:
    ” …it is hard for anyone to argue that this is a team that has a much improved work ethic.”
    .
    Just a small point, but I can’t agree. I think last years group outworked other teams on most nights and work ethic hasn’t been much of a problem under Ron Wilson’s coaching.

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  • Pazuzu

    We need to get in front of Miller and make his game a miserable one. AS for trades? Who knows, but I’d like to see…

    Kadri-???-Kessel
    Kulemin-Grabs-MacA
    Versteeg-Bozak-Armstrong
    Brown/Shoey/Orr/Brent/Mitchell scrapping for 4th line minutes.

    Going with this, it looks to me that the team could get by with a 1B/2A type guy sorta like Zajac I guess, have 3 lines that could score, and not have to give up a ton of prospects in the trade. Any thoughts?

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  • Potsy
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  • Potsy
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  • Johnfergusonjr

    Kadri is not too small. Look at Burmistrov, the guy is playing great as a rookie and weighs only 170. Its not the size that counts…Its how you use it.

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  • Craigory

    @ Scotchy:

    I’ve been to the saddledome a few times, most recently last week to see the flames lay a surprising beat down on the blackhawks. And I wouldn’t get there too early, the arenas pretty dead before games and it’s not that nice (I think it’s the oldest in the league now)

    On the other hand the leafs are going to be playing there and therefore a lot of leafs fans should be there so it could get pretty rowdy.

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  • The Irv
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  • Cameron

    @ Johnfergusonjr:
    -
    This is true, but Burmistrov has the luxury of playing in Atlanta, where no one gives a shit what he does or how big he is. Every mistake Kadri makes will be attributed to some sort of personal defect, or inherent flaw because of the nature of Toronto’s media. It was imperative that Kadri be ready for that reason. It’s a lot easier for other teams to just toss out a bunch of rookies and see what happens. In Toronto it has the potential to ruin careers before they start.

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  • Cameron

    Wow, the Islanders end their 13-14 game slide with a shutout win over the Devils, lol. When will Lou do something?

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  • The Irv

    Also I dont think Kadri is too small. Just needs to use his body and skills effectively. There are smaller guys in the league who do very well. Get a line of Kadri-Zajac-Kessel. Zajac is relatively big… not huge but i think big enough…

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  • Pazuzu

    I may be completely out to lunch here, but if NJ really is in a bind(having to resign Parise and finally at the point of finding a #1 goalie to replace Brod), then maybe a couple prospects(one of them being one of the goalie’s in the system), and a decent pick might do it.

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  • ionsys

    let’s get down to the next 3 games vs Buff, Ott and Tampa

    I think Atlanta will lose both it’s next 2 games vs Mtl and Boston and that Ottawa will lose to Pittsburgh. and also that Carolina will lose to Wash……..So, if somehow we can take 4 out of a possible 6pts, we could be in 8th with 1 game in hand.

    How many points do folks here realistically think we can take out of Buff,Ott and Tampa??

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  • The Irv

    I’ll be honest, I don’t know a ton about Zajac’s play… I don’t follow him much at all, I’m just a stat whore when it comes to a lot of players.. But I know he is about a 60 point player and is only around 25 years old… Does anyone know how his all around play is?

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  • The Irv

    I’m predicting 3-4 points out of a possible 6… I wish I could say six, but I just dont see it… Stamkos scares me :S…
    @ ionsys:

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  • Potsy

    GDT is up

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  • Cameron

    @ paso:
    -
    Your comment about Pronger raises an interesting point. It shows that even the trades that do appear to be “King’s Ransom” as you suggest that one did, are more about appearances than actual value. I don’t for a second believe that Holmgren thought he was giving up anything substantial for Pronger. It was more about what he thought the trade would look like, because more than ever, the media helps determine the success of trades and the legitimacy of general mangers.
    -
    A comparable trade swapping in Leaf players would be MacArthur, Gunnarsson, Caputi, 2nd in 2011. MacArthur is every bit the player that Lupul is (and was at the time of the trade), but costs 3.15 million less, and is an RFA at a time where managers have reigned in the value of players in his production range (see Neal, Little, Raymond, etc…). You could argue quite easily that MacArthur is worth more now than Lupul was when he was traded (no one wanted his contract). Gunnarsson is a better defensemen than Sbisa despite their different draft orders (although that is all TSN would focus on). Caputi is a better player than Kyle Palmieri, and likely always will be.
    -
    Yet no one would consider this a “King’s Ransom” type trade, because of the perception that MSM outlets have created in regards to draft picks. We need to get it out of our heads that 1st round picks equate to Sidney Crosby and playoff success. They don’t. Less than half of them pan out, and even less achieve their initially expected potential. So I guess what I’m saying is that trades are all about perception, and not you or I can possibly know how GM’s perceive things vs. how the media would have us beleive they do. Point and case, obviously Boston thought they were getting a top six winger, a great checking center, and a top 2 shutdown defender when they traded Thornton for Sturm, Primeau and Stuart. They thought they knew what those players were – they were only right about one of them. If they were right about the other two, is the trade still a disaster? I don’t think so.

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