Morning Mashup: Sharks Bounce Back

@ canucksnaphook:
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Oh yeah, I’ve been right about several of them. I just can’t claim credit for many of them because I post so many other ones, lol. I don’t make it clear which ones I really believe will happen, and part of that is that my opinion changes, and part of it is that player value is constantly changing. But I long supported Jordan on Giguere for Blake, arguing several times that we would actually be getting ripped off in that deal and could perhaps milk more out of the deal since Giguere was literally a 7 million dollar bag of useless to them and had NTC he was only waiving for Burke. About a month before the Phaneuf deal I predicted he would be a Leaf, and my proposed package was Beauchemin, Hagman and Stajan (I can prove this one, but it might take me a while to find the link). Imagine my surprise when we got Aulie and Sjostrom as well, and also dropped Mayers. I then later predicted, and you can ask MLHS poster Charlie about this if you ever come across him, that Burke would only deal Beauchemin back to Anaheim as Francois never wanted to leave. Most recently, two nights before the Kaberle trade I predicted the exact return down to the conditional (although I did say it might be Caron instead of Colborne). More importantly, I said all along that Kaberle definitely would waive if it came to that, and he didn’t let me down.
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So I post a lot of ideas. Some people will say that you throw enough ideas out and you’re bound to be right about something eventually. That’s true, but regardless of whether or not things go down, I’ve noticed that my perception of trade value has been pretty bang on. Occassionally I’m blown away (ie. Carcillo for Upshall + 2nd), and occassionally I’m caught wearing the blue and white goggles (thought Burke could have pushed for Versteeg + for JVR), but generally I think I’ve got the hang of value and evaluating the circumstances surrounding potential movement.

@ TuckerThomas:
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I recall, you don’t need the proof. I argued against it, saying that Lupul was too risky. That got thrown back in my face, but to fair, I had changed my stance once Lupul actually played and seemed decent again. Even now I don’t know if I would accept just Lupul for Beauchemin. Getting Gardiner back was the best.