NHL Draft Lottery – Open Thread

by on April 10, 2012 in Game Day - 792 Comments

NHL Draft Lottery – Open Thread
Image: TSN.ca
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NHL Draft Lottery

Image: TSN.ca

The Leafs will be picking first, fifth or sixth in the draft depending on the lottery result tonight. Obviously, the likelihood is that we stay put at fifth (74.7%).There’s a 17.2% chance we fall further back to sixth.

Cross every limb and hope we can overcome 91.8% worth of odds. The lottery airs tonight at 8 p.m. on TSN.

NHL Draft Lottery History

YEAR WORST TEAM LOTTERY WINNER 1ST OVERALL TEAM 1ST OVERALL PICK WINNER’S PICK
1995 Ottawa Los Angeles* Ottawa Bryan Berard Aki Berg
1996 Ottawa Ottawa Ottawa Chris Phillips -
1997 Boston Boston Boston Joe Thornton -
1998 Tampa Bay San Jose# Tampa Bay Vincent Lecavalier -
1999 Tampa Bay Chicago** Atlanta Patrik Stefan Pavel Brendl***
2000 Atlanta NY Islanders NY Islanders Rick DiPietro -
2001 NY Islanders Atlanta Atlanta Ilya Kovalchuk -
2002 Atlanta Florida^ Columbus Rick Nash -
2003 Carolina Florida^^ Pittsburgh Marc-Andre Fleury -
2004 Pittsburgh Washington Washington Alexander Ovechkin -
2005 - Pittsburgh+ Pittsburgh Sidney Crosby -
2006 St. Louis St. Louis St. Louis Erik Johnson -
2007 Philadelphia Chicago Chicago Patrick Kane -
2008 Tampa Bay Tampa Bay Tampa Bay Steven Stamkos -
2009 NY Islanders NY Islanders NY Islanders John Tavares -
2010 Edmonton Edmonton Edmonton Taylor Hall -
2011 Edmonton New Jersey++ Edmonton Ryan Nugent-Hopkins Adam Larsson
2012 Columbus - - - -

* – Los Angeles could only move up a maximum of four spots (moved from 7th to 3rd)

# – San Jose was selected in the 1998 drawing, but Tampa Bay held the right to swap first round picks with the Sharks and exercised that right to go to first.

** – Chicago could only move up a maximum of four spots (moved from 8th to 4th)

*** – NY Rangers obtained Chicago’s pick in a trade (via Vancouver and Tampa Bay). The Rangers selected RW Pavel Brendl fourth overall.

^ – Florida traded first overall pick to Columbus

^^ – Florida traded first overall pick to Pittsburgh

+ – NHL lockout cancelled 2004-05 season, all 30 teams were entered

++ – New Jersey could only move up a maximum of four spots (moved from 8th to 4th)

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  • Kostas
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  • http://twitter.com/J_hardt Hardt

    Which scouts? I’ve seen him ranked anywhere from 5th – 16th.

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  • DefenceWinsChampionships

    No they don’t. Forsberg is above Galchenyuk. Galchenyuk is now better than 5th in the rankings, and that’s with only one defenseman above him. Two could get picked before 5th.

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  • Kostas

    Just watching the score who showed Central Scouting’s list and it said Galchenyuk predicted to go 4th overall

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  • http://twitter.com/J_hardt Hardt

    http://www.tsn.ca/draftcentre/feature/?id=62451 here’s the most recent ranking, published right after the lottery. They have the leafs picking galchenyuk at 5th. My bet is they ranked him lower but figured the leafs would nab him for their lack of centre depth.

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  • Kostas
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  • http://twitter.com/J_hardt Hardt
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  • http://twitter.com/J_hardt Hardt

    Regardless, the amount of skill you mentioned in trading for Nash + Galchenyuk, seems ludicrous, considering you have a shot at getting galchenyuk without trading for a sure fire way to get him. Those are some serious prospects, plus a 5th overall pick you are giving up. Way too much in my humble opinion.

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  • Kostas
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  • Kostas
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  • http://twitter.com/J_hardt Hardt

    I dunno, I just can’t be bothered to get bogged down with trading useful talent because I “like” galchenyuk. I think he’s gonna be a good player, and I hope we draft him, but if we’re giving up guys that might turn out to be point producing guys like kadri, colborne, and not to mention our own fifth pick, then I’m not so sure. I would rather cross my fingers and hope that we get galchenyuk, and then if someone else nabs him just pick up the likes of forsberg or dumba while retaining kadri and colborne. To me thats a far more valuable position to be in.

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  • Great dane
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  • Jagith

    we are going to get a good player…hopefully that is gally.. if not then it sucks… and we draft the next best guy…

    we need to look at how good our scouts are in this weak draft and stealing someone at 35..

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  • Nazem.K-savzri

    Curious as to why you doubt a team would take a chance on Galy in the top 4. Going into the season he was ranked 2nd on every scouting list out there. All thats changed is some time off due to an injury which IMO, although scary to some, is actually an advantage mentally, especially for a hardworking guy like Galy. Hows it an advantage? You know damn well he’s gonna bust his ass to regain form and eventually surpass that. IMO thats a good thing. Comparisons to Malkin and Hossa? Sign me the **** up loll.

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  • bear1919

    mCLeans an idiot..he was pushing Gards + 5th pick.
    The guy is way past his best due date, no cred.

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  • bear1919

    Im counting LA to take out Van early

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  • Schenn

    Really?

    I really doubt Burke gives up Luke Schenn AND the 5th overall pick to move select Galchenyuk at #2, when there is a good chance he’ll be available at #5 anyway!

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