Viewer’s Guide for Guelph v. Oshawa

by on October 30, 2012 in Prospect Updates - 150 Comments

Viewer’s Guide for Guelph v. Oshawa
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With Sportsnet televising Tyler Biggs’ Friday night showdown with Matt Finn (also: Garret Sparks will likely man the pipes for Guelph), I thought it would be a great opportunity for me to share some things that I’ve noticed about the two Leafs prospects in the early stages of the year.  Think of these points as some things to watch for or consider while taking in the game — I’d love to hear where you agree, disagree, or if you’d just like to talk things out.

Tyler Biggs seems to elicit the most extreme reactions of any Leafs prospect since Nazem Kadri with some fans already labelling Biggs a bust and others clinging to the belief that he could one day skate on a scoring line.

16 games into the season, my impression of Biggs is that the book on him is more or less accurate.  He’s a very good forechecker and wins a lot of battles along the boards.  Biggs hits hard and with purpose but he’s a clean hitter and doesn’t put himself out of position to make a big hit.  This year, Biggs has predominantly skated against the best players on the opposing team which means he’ll likely see a fair bit of Scott Kosmachuk on Friday night.  As far as his defensive game goes, I can’t find much to complain about.  Wingers don’t have the same extent of defensive zone responsibility as centers do but Biggs does come down to the half boards when the situation calls for it and rarely allows his defenseman to sneak past him.

With regard to the holes in Biggs’ game, he is almost always the first member of his line to change and appears to fatigue easily.  Now this may be a product of an OHL schedule that is considerably busier than what he would have been used to in the NCAA but it’s something to keep an eye on for Friday.  He’s also prone to firing the puck in front of the net blindly after gaining control of the puck in the corner, often with nobody there.  When playing in front of the net, Biggs doesn’t set up at the top of the crease but rather tends to play about six feet higher than that — this may be a coaching strategy as nobody on Oshawa really seems to get to the front of the net in what I would consider the right way.  This is probably the area of Biggs’ game that I see as the most correctable and also the most likely to lead to point production in the future.

Matt Finn has largely been the forgotten man among Leafs blueline prospects in the wake of Morgan Rielly‘s emergence as one of the premier prospects among defensemen but make no mistake, we should be expecting big things from Finn.

With 13 points in 14 games, Finn sits 7th in scoring among OHL defensemen.  He’s got a solid pass when exiting the zone and makes good decisions with the puck in all situations.  His +8 leads all Guelph defensemen and if the OHL had Corsi, I would guess Finn’s would be tops among that crew as well.

On the powerplay, Finn has a strong shot but may have a slight case of the Phaneufs.  He can be a little shot-happy at times and, likely because he shoots for the corners, can be prone to missing the net.  He changes the shot angle on the PP well and this will likely lead to some strong PPG numbers by the end of the season.  In his own zone, Finn is a good positional defender, somewhat in the mould of Stuart Percy and, while not overly physical, will rub a guy out if the situation calls for it.

In a perfect world, I’d like to see Finn become a bit of a stronger skater.  He makes such strong decisions that if he could just get a little bit quicker he might be able to hit some of the holes while gaining the zone better than he’s been able to thus far.  It isn’t as though he’s a poor skater per se but if he’s going to take another step forward, this is probably the area where he would see the most significant returns.

I hope you guys will join me in watching the game Friday night on Sportsnet.  If you want to talk about the game or about Leafs prospects in general, you can look me up on twitter here.

Maple Leafs Prospect Regular Season Stats

Name
Age
League/Team
Position
GP
Goals
Assists
Points
AMERICAN HOCKEY LEAGUE
Joe Colborne22AHL - MarliesForward65142842
Carter Ashton21AHL - MarliesForward5311819
Jerry D'Amigo21AHL - MarliesForward65161127
Greg McKegg20AHL - MarliesForward5571421
Kenny Ryan21AHL - MarliesForward5391120
Brad Ross20AHL - MarliesForward34729
David Broll20AHL - MarliesForward1000
Spencer Abbott24AHL - MarliesForward51111930
Jesse Blacker21AHL - MarliesDefenceman574711
Jake Gardiner(X)22AHL - MarliesDefenceman43102131
Simon Gysbers25AHL - MarliesDefenceman5241216
Morgan Rielly19AHL - MarliesDefenceman9112
Stuart Percy19AHL - MarliesDefenceman1101
Andrew MacWilliam23AHL - MarliesDefenceman----
Andrew Crescenzi 20AHL - Marlies
ECHL - San Francisco
Forward15
23
1
3
1
11
2
14
Jamie Devane21AHL - Marlies
ECHL - San Francisco
Forward18
12
2
1
3
0
5
1
Tyler Brenner24ECHL - Bakersfield
ECHL - Toledo
Forward32
21
8
2
13
4
21
6
Sam Carrick20AHL - Marlies
ECHL - Idaho
Forward14
49
2
15
2
21
4
36
Tyler Biggs19AHL - MarliesForward----
CANADIAN HOCKEY LEAGUE
Josh Leivo19OHL - Sudbury/KitchenerForward63294473
Tyler Biggs19OHL - OshawaForward60262753
Connor Brown18OHL - ErieForward63284169
Ryan Rupert18OHL - LondonForward54113546
David Broll19OHL - Sault Ste. MarieForward67173754
Stuart Percy19OHL - Mississauga Defenceman68133245
Matt Finn18OHL - GuelphDefenceman41112031
Morgan Rielly18WHL - Moose JawDefenceman60124254
AMERICAN COLLEGE/JR HOCKEY
Tony Cameranesi19WCHA - Minnesota DuluthForward38142034
Dominic Toninato18USHL - FargoForward62294170
Eric Knodel22NCAA - New Hampshire Defenceman38101121
Dennis Robertson21ECAC - Brown Defenceman3631720
Max Everson19ECAC - Harvard
USHL - Omaha
Defenceman7
16
0
1
2
4
2
5
Andrew MacWilliam23NCAA - North Dakota
Defenceman4121113
SWEDISH ICE HOCKEY
Petter Granberg 20SEL - SkellefteåDefenceman13000
Tom Nilsson19Allsvenskan - Mora
Defenceman421
34
Viktor Loov19Allsvenskan - SödertäljeDefenceman40268

Maple Leafs Goalie Prospect Stats

Name
Age
League
GP
W
L
SOL/OTL
SV%
GAA
SO
Jussi Rynnas25AHL - Marlies211091.9082.633
Mark Owuya23AHL - Marlies
ECHL - Las Vegas
ECHL - Reading
11
6
1
4
3
1
5
3
0
1
0
0
.883
.904
.964
3.22
2.97
1.00
Garret Sparks 19OHL - Guelph
OHL - Guelph (Playoffs)
60
5
36
1
17
4
4
-
.917
.920
2.65
3.05
7

 

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  • Zep2

    Greatest skater I ever saw. It seemed effortless. 

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  • http://www.bluechipprospects.blogspot.ca Blue Chip Prospects

    That stats don’t, anyway.  By watching the games you can pick up on the skills that a guy has and that’s usually your best bet for making a guess at what kind of output a guy may be able to achieve in the bigs

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  • http://www.hockey-nerd.com Cameron

    Getting MacKinnon would be amazing. 

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  • http://www.hockey-nerd.com Cameron

    The question is, how much does it benefit the league to have the Leafs in the playoffs consistently?  Does that revenue largely benefit MLSE, or does the wealth get spread around.  If the answer is the former – and that’s what I’ve always been led to believe about playoff money – than I doubt we’ll see the Leafs win the lottery.
    -
    It certainly seems like Burke and Bettman are pretty tight, which is the only thing that makes me hold out hope for getting a top 5 selection vs a bottom five, but I’m not counting on being handed MacKinnon.  If I had to guess the order:
    -
    Dallas: MacKinnon
    Colorado: Jones
    Columbus: Monahan
    Toronto: ????????
    -

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  • DefenceWinsChampionships

    Dan Boyle, the elite offensive Dman. Not Brian Boyle, the third line center. You got the wrong one! Lol. 

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  • Optimustic

    Oh Sorry.   When I read Boyle, I thought of the tall guy on the Rangers.  Never thought of which position he plays.   He did put up good numbers years ago, although it was in the NCAA.

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  • B_Leaf

    Barkov?

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  • http://www.hockey-nerd.com Cameron

    I think Burke would be okay with drafting a Finn.  He loved Teemu, and Salo.  I might look at Pulock to complete our D in that spot though.  And then of course Lazar and Drouin are said to be electric offensive players – though smaller than Barkov. 

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  • rustynail

    That assumes the CBA will be signed in time to have a draft. :) Would be very interesting if it was a 2 year lock out.

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  • http://www.hockey-nerd.com Cameron

    Yea, true enough. I can’t imagine they are that incompetent though. 

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  • B_Leaf

    A 2 Year Lock-out…Does that mean the Leafs add two top five picks

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  • JVR

    So I was trying to find something to occupy my night, since the NHL clearly isn’t an option right now and thought to myself, “it’s opening night in the NBA, maybe I’ll give it a shot.”

    Let just say the TV didn’t stay on that channel for very long, haha!!!

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  • DefenceWinsChampionships

    Barkov could go before MacKinnon if he keeps up his current play. He is one of the youngest guys eligible for the draft this June. Turned 17 on September 2nd. 14 days later, and he’d be in the 2014 draft instead. He’s a point-per-game right now in the Finnish Elite League. That’s incredible for a guy his age. 

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  • B_Leaf

    Yeah Barkov has definitely got my attention…very dynamic player.

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  • http://www.hockey-nerd.com Cameron

    Good.  Well, like I said, Burke likes the Finns, so that bodes well.  I just don’t want to get screwed and end up with 24th overall or some garbage. 

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  • http://www.hockey-nerd.com Cameron

    Has the Finnish Elite League been bolstered at all by NHL talent?  That would be even more impressive if that were the case.  Or are guys mostly going to the SEL or the KHL?

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  • Marpole_Leafs

    http://eurohockey.com/transfers.html?id_country=3&id_league=128-sm-liiga.html
    a bit of a mix bag of nhl’ers have gone over it seems. 

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  • DefenceWinsChampionships

    Filppula and Karlsson on Jokerit
    J. Jokinen, Turris, Demers on Karpat
    Fehr on HPK
    Petrell, Robidas, Bergenheim on HIFK
    Boedker, F. Nilson on Lukko
    Niemi on Pelicans
    Korpikoski, M. Koivu, Nittymaki on TPS

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  • Leafs_17

    its got to be a forward this time more then anything my opinion 

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  • JVR

    I agree with you and I know he was gone when we picked, but I have a feeling Galchenyuk is going to be an absolute superstar for the Canadiens :(

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  • JustYouW8

    I’ll be heading to the Moose Jaw Warriors VS Calgary Hitmen game on Nov. 7th. I’ll try to send in my thoughts on Rielly after. Looking forward to see him in action.

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  • Leafs_17

    and i got a feeling Rielly will be a superstar for us. had he not been injured last year there was a good chance he would of went higher. This season looks like a loss anyways and there should be a future top 3 pick for us in the spring and i think i’d rather have MacKinnon or Barkov over Galchenyuk. 

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  • dlb

    haha, i mis-read and missed the Friday night part. when i got home i told the kids NO you can’t watch a Halloween movie, there’s a game on tonight…then at 7 we watched their movie while i sulked a little.

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  • JVR

    The thing is, that Top 3 pick isn’t guaranteed, even if the entire season is lost!

    The Leafs could just as easily be picking 23rd overall, as they could be picking 3rd overall, depending on how the lottery balls fall.

    With that being said, I think a superstar centre is a much bigger need than a superstar defenceman at this point in time, which is why I would have prefered Galchenyuk, but like I said, drafting him wasn’t possible.

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  • Bob’s your uncle

    test

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