Morning Mashup: Fraser’s back and now we wait

Morning Mashup: Fraser’s back and now we wait

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As I’m sure you’ve heard by now, yesterday Mark Fraser came to terms with the Leafs just before his arbitration hearing for a sum of $1.275 million on a one-year contract.

From Fraser’s standpoint, as he was both arb-eligible and it made sense (here’s why it didn’t for Cody Franson), filing maximized his leverage as a restricted free agent by not allowing the the club to take all summer to nickel and dime him due to the looming third-party arbitration ruling. Fraser named $2 million as his price, while the Leafs were concerned the settlement would come in half-way between at around $1.4 million and were thus willing to settle at $1.275 million just before the hearing. In the end, a player and club should try to avoid the ugly arbitration process if they can and all the power to Mark Fraser, an honest player who will likely always go from short-term contract to short-term contract and has managed to more than double his last season’s salary on a one-way deal.

Now, good for Fraser and all, but did the Leafs have other options? With Fraser being arbitration eligible and having taken the route before, likely at the advice of The Honourable Mr. Justice Hugh Fraser, one option was that the Leafs could’ve seen it coming, not qualified Fraser to begin with, and banked on a Petter Granberg coming along and taking over his role on the bottom pairing for cheaper. Not only does it seem like a reach to bank on Granberg being NHL ready with no time to adjust to the North American game and rink size in the AHL, the Leafs would only be saving about $375,000 to do it given Granberg would make $900,000 in the NHL. A second option was to forget Fraser and run with Phaneuf, Gunnarsson, Liles, Gardiner, Ranger and Franson as the top 6, but this would leave the Leafs defence light on defensive D and penalty killing options. A third option was to go bargain shopping in UFA and dip into the unknown to save a few hundred thousand.

For me, though, there’s definite value in sticking with a known quantity who filled the #6D role pretty effectively,  and – laugh at this intangible if you want to – has the type of character  to his person you like to have in your favourite hockey organization. The deal on its own isn’t really an overpayment. Closest comparables in his pay range are fellow bottom pair guys like Sheldon Brookbank, Mark Fayne and Justin Braun. When Fraser filled the soft minutes third pairing role he played for the majority of the year, and not the top-4 role he flirted with at times toward the end of the season exposing him as out of his depth against faster more skilled players, he made  the Leaf net a tough place to hang out, played two minutes a game on the vastly improved Leaf penalty kill, and was strong down low and on the boards against the other team’s grinders. Last season, playing with Cody Franson gave him an outlet for keeping it simple and passing off the puck handling responsibilities on his pairing, and he’ll need, if not Franson because he’s moved up a pairing, someone who can do the same. A possible fit is beside Paul Ranger.

If the Leafs wind up moving a piece we rather not see them move to make the cap work, it’s the necessity of the Bernier deal and how the team used its compliance buyouts that will get the attention and rightfully so. We’ll have to wait and see.

With Fraser now on the books at $1.275m, here’s how the Leafs cap situation looks, dropping the likely Marlie-bound Trevor Smith and Korbinian Holzer from their capgeek page:

FORWARDS
Joffrey Lupul ($5.250m) / Tyler Bozak ($4.200m) / Phil Kessel ($5.400m)
James Van Riemsdyk ($4.250m) / Dave Bolland ($3.375m) / David Clarkson ($5.250m)
Frazer McLaren ($0.700m) / Jay McClement ($1.500m) / Nikolai Kulemin ($2.800m)
Joe Colborne ($0.600m) / Colton Orr ($0.925m)
RFA: Nazem Kadri
DEFENSEMEN
Dion Phaneuf ($6.500m) / John-Michael Liles ($3.875m)
Carl Gunnarsson ($3.150m) / Mark Fraser ($1.275m)
Jake Gardiner ($1.117m) / Paul Ranger ($1.000m)
RFA: Cody Franson
GOALTENDERS
Jonathan Bernier ($2.900m)
James Reimer ($1.800m)
OTHER
Buyout: Darcy Tucker ($1.000m)
Buyout: Colby Armstrong ($1.000m)
RETAINED SALARY TRANSACTIONS (0.778% of upper limit)
Matt Frattin ($0.437m—0.5%) Ben Scrivens ($0.062m—0.1%)
——
SALARY CAP: $64,300,000; CAP PAYROLL: $58,366,667; BONUSES: $300,000
CAP SPACE (19-man roster): $6,233,333

  • I don’t think the Leafs are going to move Franson. My one worry is that, even if the Leafs find a way to wedge everyone in with some relatively cheap settlements on Kadri and Franson, they may not be flexible enough to accommodate a surprise training camp/preseason performance from, say, a Jerry D’Amigo or Carter Ashton earning one of them a spot on the team. Both would earn over a million in the NHL. Scott Gordon wondered aloud yesterday if the limited cap space would allow the Leafs to add another guy into the mix for a lower roster spot – “As far as adding another guy, that would come down to what happens with the players that aren’t signed, and where the salary cap is, and if we have room or not.”
  • If the Leafs feel they could move Liles at any time, they may wait to see how the competition plays out in training camp. They can be up to 10% over the salary cap until the final day of camp.
  • You would obviously prefer to retain salary and trade him, but the John-Michael Liles buyout isn’t horrible as a Plan B or C. Year 3 is ugly, but you’re saving $3 million immediately and between the Tucker and Armstrong buyouts coming off the cap and Liles being jettisoned, they would have $5 million freed up for a huge 2014 off season (Phaneuf, Kessel, Reimer, Kulemin, Gardiner and potentially Bolland all needing contracts).
  • Here’s the JML buyout calculation. The post-arbitration buyout window opens on August 2nd.
    1. 2013-14: $875,000
    2. 2014-15: $875,000
    3. 2015-16: $2,375,000
    4. 2016-17: $1,250,000
    5. 2017-18: $1,250,000
    6. 2018-19: $1,250,000

A few Wednesday morning links…

An interview with assistant coach of the Leafs Scott Gordon
ICYMI, Anthony’s interview from yesterday.

Mark Fraser is going to wear a visor next season
Good call.

Cody Franson still unsigned and unsure of what the future holds
Cody doesn’t really express doubt here so much as he says his agent is handling it.

Top 25 under 25
PPP is starting their off-season series on the young Leafs.

Dave Bolland is taking the Stanley Cup on a parade route through Mimico
How does Lieweke feel about this? On the one hand he loves planning Stanley Cup parades, on the other he hates those who coast on past accomplishments.

Spencer Abbott is returning to the Marlies
The Leafs signed their former college signing Spencer Abbott to a one-year contract yesterday after a pretty good season with the Marlies.

Alec Brownscombe is the founder of MapleLeafsHotStove.com, where he has written daily about the Leafs since September of 2008. He was also the editor of the 2009-12 Maple Leafs Annuals. You can contact him at [email protected]
1466 comments
LeafsGuru
LeafsGuru

i think if the leafs decide to buy out JML it would be wiser to do it sooner than later so that a team can try to pick him off thru waivers before other players come up IMO

TheGroobster
TheGroobster

If the Leafs were going to trade Liles, wouldn't they have done it by now?

unclejakescards
unclejakescards

mornin guys .... question ... do leafs have to put liles on waivers to buy him out ? and if so would it have to be today or tomorrow or the window closes ???

Optimustic
Optimustic

Morning all,  not much happening in the dog days of August.   Edit:  nice to have the edit button again, not that I need it much.  :-)

mcloki
mcloki

Morning ladies. I hope you'll have a great long weekend.

Jordan29
Jordan29

I think kadri and Franson need to look at the Jared spergeon contract and we a team guy and suck it up to keep this core. His is 1.5 then 2.9 then 3.6. Set both up for a good raise next contract. Both have 2.66 cap hit.

Xxxxxnew
Xxxxxnew

Major penalties by captains, 2013 season.

Getzlaf - 1

Chara - 2

Pominville - 0 (37 games)

Iginla - 2 (31 games)

E. Staal - 0

Toews - 1

Landeskog - 0

Morrow - 0 (29 games)

Zetterberg - 0

Horcoff - 0

B. Campbell (A) - 0

D. Brown - 0

M. Koivu - 0

Gionta - 0

S. Weber - 2

Salvador - 0

Streit - 0

Callahan - 0

The Clown - 1

Giroux - 0

Doan - 1

Crosby - 0

Backes - 0

J. Thornton - 2

Lecavalier - 3

Phaneuf - 1

H. Sedin - 0

Ovechkin - 0

Ladd - 2

Major penalties last 3 seasons.

Getzlaf - 5

Chara - 8

Iginla - 7

E. Staal - 0

Toews - 1

Morrow - 5

D. Brown - 2

S. Weber - 2

Callahan - 3

Doan - 4

Backes - 4

J. Thornton - 4

Lecavalier - 4

Ladd - 5

Phaneuf - 7

Dan39
Dan39

Bouwmeester Signs 5 Year Extension

5 year deal - $27 million total / $5.4 million cap hit

Puts the current over-payment for Phaneuf in context - let alone the ridiculous notion that he will be signed to a raise on his next deal - despite all the lovers on this site...


Alec Brownscombe
Alec Brownscombe moderator

Also - you should be able to edit your comments now and I think I have disabled the weird twitter embed stuff that was happening. Could be wrong about the latter.

Alec Brownscombe
Alec Brownscombe moderator

Okay, so the Garth Malarchuk interview will have to wait until after he gets back from Slovakia.

I'll have an interview with Jim Hughes posted Saturday morning, though.

CanuckUKinToronto
CanuckUKinToronto

@ErikGruber  Not necessarily.  Maybe they have to pay some of his salary and until you know your new roster and total payroll, may not be able to determine how much you would be willing to retain.  This way, with possibility of buyout, you have a bit more leverage in the discussion over the next few days to say, if you really want him, it is at x price or we will buy him out and maybe another team signs him. 

Mind Bomb
Mind Bomb

@unclejakescards  Morning UJC , I would say you put him on waivers regardless, why buy him out if someone would claim him for free. Window opens today for two days as I understand it 


Mind Bomb
Mind Bomb

@mcloki  Morning MC and the Gang :)

 You as well MC, promises to be a good one here


mcloki
mcloki

Great. You added edit. Perfect.

LeafsForLife
LeafsForLife

@-Keon- Huh? What? Buyout Liles today or wait for the end of a 48 hour period? What did i miss???

CanuckUKinToronto
CanuckUKinToronto

@-Keon-  Wait to see if they can deal him?  What other teams went through 2 arbitration cases and can also do buyouts?  I wonder as they may also be involved in clearing space and then possible trade partners? 

MaxwellHowe
MaxwellHowe

@-Keon- Some kinda brawl yesterday over the eternal topic of whether the Leafs are good or suck?

CanuckUKinToronto
CanuckUKinToronto

@Dan39  However, Jaybo tailed off tremendously since 2009.  Since the beginning of 2009-2010 season, he has 19 goals and 104 pts.  Dion has 41 goals and 134 pts.  He has still been more consistent vs prior contract and logs the mins against best opposition.  So going Jaybo going down $1.2m for tail off.... If anything is shows Dion will probably be able to command his current cap hit (his salary is actually 5.5m this last year) so Leafs may sign him for say 5 yrs with higher up front but lower cap hit overall like last contract he went from $7m to $5.5m so possible he gets $7.5m in year 1 but overall cap hit of $6m.

Dan39
Dan39

And Jay is equally gutless and without character as Phaneuf is so that deal is not paying for the character that Phaneuf is lacking - please do not try and use that as an excuse.

Kouba
Kouba

@Dan39 On the other hand Bouwmeester doesn't serve as a lighting rod for experts as yourself. So the extra 1M is well deserved by Phaneuf IMO.

.JVR.
.JVR.

@Mattmark

Hmm, expect a severe reduction of site hits, haha.

Knights2Leafs
Knights2Leafs

@-Keon- 

I can see him doing them a favour by signing a 1 year at $2M or 2.5 with the idea they will sign a better bridge deal for another 2 years during the coming season.

While I don't disagree that he has only proven himself over a 48 game schedule, the Kadri camp will argue that that is not his fault they had an f..... moron for a coach prior to RC. Used properly, he should have been able to prove himself over the last 2 years.  

LeafsForLife
LeafsForLife

@-Keon- oic ok ty. I didnt know they had a specific time for it. I would expect he gets bought out too although i do think he can still be useful for someone.

CanuckUKinToronto
CanuckUKinToronto

@-Keon-  No actually just checked.. Arrested but never charged.  Still -  arrested for assault plus assaulting team mate in practice is enough for most I guess

CanuckUKinToronto
CanuckUKinToronto

@-Keon-  More rounded and doesnt have history of violence (criminal assault record and fighting own team mates in practice)

CanuckUKinToronto
CanuckUKinToronto

@-Keon-  Yes. Agree.  Funny now you can see he wont get $700k less than Bozak got .... which Bozak would have got on the market but Grabo wont.. yet people question why we bought Grabo out and kept Bozak.  Market is providing support for Mgmt's view.

CanuckUKinToronto
CanuckUKinToronto

@-Keon-  He is making over $13m in buyout money and $1.79m per year so if he accepted a 5 yr deal for $3.5m per he would still be equivalent of 30.5m total or over $6m per.. with derferred final payments .. ie. raise over prior contract??  

CanuckUKinToronto
CanuckUKinToronto

@-Keon-  I find it interesting that Grabo is still available too. Actually top 2 Centre UFA-  Grabo and Connolly-  top Goalies Bryz and DiPietro  sorry and Timmy Thomas.. 

Nice quality

Mind Bomb
Mind Bomb

@-Keon-  Morning Keon, Try smoking a Jay, and then watch internet Porn, Cheers me right up :)



CanuckUKinToronto
CanuckUKinToronto

@Burtonboy @CanuckUKinToronto  If the Yankees or Man United make a prediction, no one thinks otherwise even if media think their team are not the best that year.  We need to revisit how we represent ourselves and how to be confident but not cocky.

Burtonboy
Burtonboy

@CanuckUKinToronto @Burtonboy I agree. Too bad so many in the media and on twitter seem to think we have no right to make such bold predictions. I hope they keep rattling chains so to speak

CanuckUKinToronto
CanuckUKinToronto

@Burtonboy @CanuckUKinToronto  Dont take too much out of it.  Officially we should be targeting winning the cup every year.  Nothing wrong with predicting if you think you even have a remote chance.  We took the Stanley Cup finalists to 7 game OT and should have won.. We upgraded the team.  We can make such statements as a target

Burtonboy
Burtonboy

@CanuckUKinToronto @Burtonboy So whats your take on the Leafs official twitter account predicting we win a cup next yr? Seems a lot of the stuffed shirts have their nose out of joint because of it.