Don’t get too caught up on “rumoured asking prices,” because they’re often inexact to put it mildly (Dreger reported $6+ million on David Clarkson a day or two before free agency). More than anything, it has to be a wait and see approach with Bolland. There’s no reason why the Leafs can’t reevaluate this situation come season’s end, after they’ve seen the aftermath of the injury recovery and after they’ve seen what he can do over (hopefully) 37 regular season games plus any playoff games as opposed to 15 October games. When approaching a contract of potentially four or five years in length, it should go without saying that 15 games mean basically nothing. It certainly isn’t enough to know if Bolland slots in as a complementary piece, which the Leafs need to take a hard line with and prepare for the possibility of losing rather than adding another long-term contract to their books, or a core piece for this team in the long run. How well does he recover and how big of a role does he play for Randy Carlyle down the stretch and into the playoffs?
Dave Bolland signed his existing contract, a five-year, $3.375 million (AAV) deal, before the 2009-10 season when the cap was $56.8 million; that’s about 5.9% of the cap. The same deal under the current $64.3 million cap is $3.8 million. Under a $70.2 million cap, which is what the cap will be during the first year of his next contract, it would be $4.1 million. He’s won two Cups since signing the contract, scoring 8 goals and 16 points during the first winning run and the Stanley-Cup winning goal during the second (after a much quieter playoff run and poor season overall). Hurting his case is his inability to stay healthy, playing just 226 of a possible 356 games (just 63.4% of total games, or an average of 52 out of 82 games), and the fact that the offensive promise shown in the 2008-09 season as a 22-year-old, when he posted 19 goals and 47 points (career highs), was never achieved again let alone built upon during the contract. Nevertheless, he signed that contract as an RFA under a $56.8 million cap.
Given his UFA leverage, a rising cap and his two rings since (including 17 goals and 43 points in 67 playoff games), it seems optimistic to think Bolland can be had for less than $4 million even if the Leafs give him the term he wants. Is Tyler Bozak money the best the Leafs can hope for with this player? It’s a guessing game, and for all we know a hometown discount might factor in to some extent. As Anthony pointed out, though, the Leafs could soon find themselves with the one of the most expensive forward corps in a year’s time once Nazem Kadri is due up for a contract, and we can question whether or not it would be strong enough down the middle to justify that (the goal is winning a Cup, remember). Meanwhile, the Leafs have been getting their excellent goaltending at a bargain price (that won’t last much longer) and their defence is pretty young, incomplete, in need of improvement, and soon to be in need of some new contracts.
It’s shaping up to be the most difficult contract negotiation with an in-house player Dave Nonis has had to face as Maple Leafs GM.
Tomorrow is the first Leafs game day in three weeks!
- Here’s what Carlyle was doing during the break: Mirtle.
- Maple Leafs players get into groove with Carlyle’s mini-camp: Traikos.
- Leafs crank up intensity, JvR and Kessel rest up for Islanders: John Lott.
- What lies around the corner for the Maple Leafs?: Langlois.
- MLHS got a mention in the Toronto Star: McGran.
- Why the Maple Leafs still need both Reimer and Bernier: Traikos. Reimer isn’t hiding his frustrations.
- Cody Franson has a health issue affecting his play, per Carlyle, but he feels it’s because he wasn’t at camp from the beginning.
- From yesterday: Anthony Petrielli’s Mailbag Part 1 and Part 2.
- NHL hockey resumed last night with the Hurricanes falling to the Sabres 3-2:
It's a pretty damn easy call. The Leafs have an NHL ready replacement in Holland. With the money you save sign a superior player in Kulemin.
Lets see, going into the playoffs we have:
JVR Bozak Kessel
Lupul Kadri Clarkson
Kulemin Bolland Raymond
Bodie McClement Ashton
Who on here dont I want for a deep playoff run? Ans: Bodie,Ashton, Gunnarson, Gardiner Why? Need a fast forechecker on the 4th line so one of Ashton or Bodie must go and be replaced by D'Amigo already fits the bill so bring him up and include one of Bodie, Ashton, Orr, in a trade.
On D, Gunnarson is weak, Gardiner just doesnt have it. So, I would be ready to trade Gunnarson, Gardiner and Bodie/Ashton as part of deals to upgrade at D with the right skills. Possible? No. Which means we have to give up draft picks or prospects along with it. Would I? Nope.
Therefore I say we stick because we have Finn and Percy coming along next few years and they are perfect for the roles these two can play.
Suddenly after the Olympic Games there are lots of top end players expressing the willingness to be traded. Especially St. Louis wanting be moved is a surprise.
For the Leafs the most interesting is that Canucks seems to all over the place and Nonis knows exactly what he is getting with Kesler and Edler. Yes, Kesler was some issues but he is former Selke winner and compared to Bolland he plays a lot more games per season. Since 07-08 he was play a full expect last season.
Kesler and Edler knows Nonis; Kesler is still in touch with Raymond, who Nonis gave a chance; Sure he talked with JVR and Kessel. The Swedish players always talks with each other.
Vancouver needs to start over again, but both Kesler and Edler has NTC to they decide were to go, which of course lower the price tag quite a bit:
To Vancouver: Franson; Bolland; Gauthier; Holzer; 3rd round pick
To Leafs: Kesler; Edler plus keeping 2 million in salary this season year.
JVR - Bozak - Kessel
Lupul - Kadri - Clarkson
Raymond- Kesler - Kulemin
D'Amigo - Holland - McC
Phanuef - Gunnar
Rielly - Edler
Gardiner - Gleason
Next year roster maybes-
F: Holland, Leivo, Kozun, Ashton, D'amigo, Mckegg, C.Brown
D: MacWilliam, Percy, Finn
Lets pretend they all left and we got nothing for them lollll.
I actually don't think we'd be as screwed as one would think. Not sure though.
So sounds like Kesler wants to go East, if we put all the clues together. I like the suggestion that he ends up in Philly.
Nice little Twitter war going now on the Kesler subject. McKenzie seems to be siding with the people who say he requested, while the agent is trying to say otherwise - but now backing off and saying either way he wouldn't discuss it publicly.
@Belfour20 So the Kings finally figured out how to score more than two goals in a game.
@Belfour20 The first one didn't make any kind of impact. We were getting exactly the same quality of goaltending before that deal was done.
@Belfour20 i dunno that Kozun kid has been real good for the marlies too lol
@wiski New a guy who once did 3 whole pots.
@wiski I'm working on the vape right now and an orange sounds like a good idea at the moment.
@Jmessih All the Avs forwards are near there. ROR, McKinnon, Landerskog, Duchene and Stasny are 20G + scorers... or will be
@Cameron19 Gillis will want the farm for Kessler. Holmgren may be gun shy.
Detroit and habs 3 point game, habs did not deserve the single point, Detroit the much better team.
@Loric76 Maybe that's why they aren't playing well, morale has to be low.
@Jmessih @Cameron19 Weber wanted the 14 year deal because he knew the opportunity wouldn't be there once the new CBA was signed and Nashville didn't want to commit that kind of $ to him. They really didn't have much choice but to sign him. It was either that or lose both Weber and Suter in the same summer.
@Jmessih @Cameron19 It was well discussed that he wanted out. Everyone knew that much. He knew Suter was leaving and was going to try and force their hand. He wasn't even talking to Poile about an extension. He could have waited for UFA, but that would have left him without a deal in a lockout year, and with total uncertainty financially. For all he knew, the league could have dropped the cap to 50M, increased the UFA age to 30, and made contract terms max out at 5 years. Like everyone else that summer, he was trying to cash in - and his only way to do it safely was to try and totally screw the Predators. At the time, it was shocking that Poile actually matched.
@Jmessih @Cameron19 They've only paid 25% actually. They still owe him 52M over the next 4 years, and by the time they've paid that, he likely won't be worth the more reasonable 6M he comes down to per year. Regardless, he didn't want to be in Nashville and now has no say over where he plays, should Nashville ever make that decision.
@Jmessih @Cameron19 I doubt that was the case with Weber. He had made it openly known he wanted to leave Nashville. That's why Philly structured the deal so that they figured it would be impossible for Nashville to match. And remember, by matching the deal, Weber lost his NTC - so he can be dealt anywhere. I doubt very much that's what he wanted or thought would happen.