Game 60 Scoring Chances: Maple Leafs 4 vs. Jets 3 (OT)

The first period didn’t have a lot of even strength action, as the two teams combined to generate just three ES chances.

Most of the action in the period happened with a man in the penalty box, including all three goals occurring on Winnipeg power-plays. The Jets dominated special teams in the second, out-chancing Toronto while the Leafs had the extra man, but the teams were close to even at ES, despite a late goal from Winnipeg that re-established their lead. Nazem Kadri got the Leafs level early in the third period, and though both teams had some close chances in the last sixteen minutes of regulation, it was inconclusive, and the game went to overtime. Toronto started the extra frame with a power-play, but didn’t manage to score on it, despite a couple of chances. However, the Leafs did manage to score before a shoot-out, James Van Riemsdyk breaking Toronto’s losing streak.

Status	Overall			Even Strength			ES Close
Team	TOR	WPG	%	TOR	WPG	%	TOR	WPG	%
1	4	5	44.4%	2	1	66.7%	2	1	66.7%
2	5	10	33.3%	4	5	44.4%	4	5	44.4%
3	5	3	62.5%	5	3	62.5%	3	3	50.0%
4	4	0	100.0%	2	0	100.0%	2	0	100.0%
Total	18	18	50.0%	13	9	59.1%	11	9	55.0%

As I mentioned, outside of special teams the Leafs had a strong game, especially in the third and overtime, as they out-chanced the Jets 7-3 at ES.

Club	St	P	Time	TSc	Osc	Note	Toronto						Winnipeg
WPG	SH	1	16:49	0	0	Ladd from Enstrom	26	20	12	46	45	-	18	26	16	33	39	34
WPG	PP	1	14:34	0	0	Ladd drives	11	24	19	71	51	45	18	16	2	57	34	-
WPG	ES	1	13:34	0	0	Scheifele from Byfuglien	26	43	18	12	51	45	55	12	5	8	33	34
TOR	PP	1	11:54	0	0	Van Riemsdyk from Kadri	42	43	81	21	44	45	19	67	2	39	34	-
TOR	SH	1	07:03	0	0	GOAL! Komarov drives	47	20	8	44	45	-	55	26	16	33	39	34
WPG	SH	1	06:29	1	0	Stafford deflects Scheifele shot wide	24	26	8	44	45	-	55	12	67	8	57	34
TOR	ES	1	05:31	1	1	Bozak wide from Rielly	42	81	21	44	46	45	18	26	16	2	57	34
TOR	ES	1	04:50	1	1	Kessel from Bozak	42	81	21	51	55	45	18	12	33	39	57	34
WPG	SH	1	00:50	1	1	GOAL! Scheifele from giveaway	11	47	8	44	45	-	55	12	67	8	57	34
TOR	ES	2	19:04	1	2	Kessel from loose puck	42	81	21	44	46	45	18	26	16	5	8	34
WPG	ES	2	17:46	1	2	Frolik drives wide	24	18	20	8	12	45	22	67	17	2	63	34
TOR	ES	2	16:52	1	2	Panik drives	24	18	19	51	55	45	19	14	48	39	63	34
WPG	ES	2	16:40	1	2	Peluso from Klingberg	26	43	19	51	55	45	55	14	48	39	57	34
WPG	SH	2	16:05	1	2	Stafford from Scheifele	11	26	12	46	45	-	55	12	67	33	39	34
WPG	SH	2	15:52	1	2	Scheifele from Byfuglien	11	26	12	46	45	-	55	12	67	33	39	34
WPG	SH	2	14:47	1	2	Little from Myers	47	20	8	55	45	-	18	26	16	8	57	34
WPG	ES	2	14:35	1	2	Ladd wide from loose puck	47	19	20	8	55	45	18	26	16	8	57	34
WPG	PP	2	12:26	1	2	Frolik from Slater	42	43	81	21	44	45	19	67	2	8	34	-
TOR	PP	2	11:58	1	2	Bozak from Kessel	42	43	81	21	44	45	26	17	2	57	34	-
WPG	PP	2	11:40	1	2	Wheeler drives	42	43	19	21	44	45	18	26	2	57	34	-
TOR	ES	2	05:31	1	2	Kessel from Bozak	42	81	21	44	51	45	22	67	17	2	5	34
TOR	ES	2	04:53	1	2	GOAL! Winnik deflects Holzer shot	26	43	19	8	55	45	19	14	48	39	57	34
WPG	ES	2	01:45	2	2	Byfuglien drives	11	21	12	55	45	-	55	5	8	33	34	-
WPG	ES	2	00:55	2	2	GOAL! Frolik from Stafford	26	43	12	46	51	45	12	67	16	5	57	34
TOR	ES	3	16:38	2	3	Van Riemsdyk from Bozak	42	81	21	44	51	45	55	12	8	33	39	34
TOR	ES	3	16:03	2	3	GOAL! Kadri wraparound	26	43	19	44	46	45	18	26	16	5	8	34
WPG	ES	3	11:38	3	3	Scheifele from Stafford	26	43	19	8	12	45	55	12	2	33	63	34
TOR	ES	3	08:52	3	3	Lupul drives wide	43	19	20	44	46	45	18	26	16	39	57	34
TOR	ES	3	05:54	3	3	Van Riemsdyk from Kessel	11	81	21	51	55	45	55	12	2	8	33	34
WPG	ES	3	05:07	3	3	Ladd wide from loose puck	26	43	19	44	46	45	18	26	16	39	57	34
WPG	ES	3	04:32	3	3	Stuart from rebound of Lowry shot	42	81	21	12	55	45	22	67	17	5	8	34
TOR	ES	3	00:21	3	3	Clarkson drives	11	47	71	44	55	45	55	12	17	39	57	34
TOR	PP	4	03:28	3	3	Kessel drives	42	81	21	44	45	-	19	39	57	34	-	-
TOR	PP	4	03:25	3	3	Bozak wide from loose puck	42	81	21	44	45	-	19	39	57	34	-	-
TOR	ES	4	02:14	3	3	Lupul from Kadri	43	19	51	55	45	-	18	55	8	33	34	-
TOR	ES	4	01:13	3	3	GOAL! Van Riemsdyk from Jokinen	11	21	44	46	45	-	12	67	8	33	34	-

Player-by-Player data:

Player	Overall				Even Strength				ES Close
	For	Against	Diff	TOI	For	Against	Diff	TOI	For	Against	Diff
Granberg	2	6	-4	11:58	1	3	-2	08:20	1	3	-2
Jokinen	3	5	-2	16:09	3	1	2	13:07	3	1	2
Robidas	0	9	-9	18:12	0	6	-6	13:44	0	6	-6
Panik	1	2	-1	08:17	1	2	-1	06:39	1	2	-1
Lupul	5	6	-1	17:16	5	4	1	14:40	4	4	0
Booth	2	4	-2	13:10	1	2	-1	08:59	1	2	-1
Van Riemsdyk	11	4	7	19:02	7	2	5	12:55	6	2	4
Holland	1	3	-2	11:32	1	1	0	06:40	1	1	0
Winnik	2	9	-7	15:14	2	5	-3	10:31	1	5	-4
Bozak	9	3	6	20:00	5	1	4	13:29	4	1	3
Kadri	6	7	-1	17:45	4	5	-1	14:45	3	5	-2
Rielly	13	5	8	25:29	8	1	7	18:31	6	1	5
Polak	5	5	0	22:47	5	2	3	17:46	4	2	2
Komarov	2	3	-1	13:18	1	1	0	10:34	1	1	0
Gardiner	6	4	2	20:35	6	3	3	17:46	5	3	2
Holzer	6	5	1	20:47	6	4	2	17:39	6	4	2
Clarkson	1	1	0	12:14	1	0	1	10:24	1	0	1
Kessel	10	2	8	18:37	6	1	5	13:10	5	1	4
Bernier	18	18	0	63:47	13	9	4	47:07	11	9	2

After playing poorly Friday night, the big line had a great response, playing an excellent game. Kessel, JVR and Bozak were the best forwards at ES, with Kessel and Bozak both on for just one Jet ES chance, a great defensive result. Despite the goal and assist, the forward who struggled in chances was Daniel Winnik, who had a rare poor night, finishing a team worst -4 at ES Close. Nazem Kadri wasn’t much better, while the returning Joffrey Lupul managed to finish even. The other lines were pretty quiet, although Olli Jokinen did have his best game as a Leaf, including his first point on the winning goal. Peter Holland had the highest proportion of defensive zone starts on the team, but did well with them, finishing at even.

Stephane Robidas’ struggles continue, as despite the team’s success he was not on for a single Leaf chance all night. While many players have seen their chance numbers improve under Horachek, Robidas’ have continued to fall, and this was one of his worse games yet in those terms. In contrast, Morgan Rielly had an excellent night, finishing with a team-high +5 at ES Close, on for just one Jet ES chance. Roman Polak and Jake Gardiner were both +2 at ES Close, as was Korbinian Holzer, although he did have the easiest zone start percentage on the team. Petter Granberg committed a giveway on a Jets goal, and was -2 in chances over eight ES minutes.

Cumulative numbers this season:

Overall	Pos	#	Even Strength				ES Close
			For	Against	%	TOI	For	Against	%
Winnik	F	58	217	238	47.7%	13:17	127	118	51.8%
Kadri	F	58	293	295	49.8%	14:59	178	167	51.6%
Franson	D	55	301	315	48.9%	16:17	178	181	49.6%
Clarkson	F	58	204	215	48.7%	11:56	109	111	49.5%
Panik	F	54	132	135	49.4%	09:33	78	83	48.4%
Polak	D	50	253	312	44.8%	18:06	159	172	48.0%
Rielly	D	59	321	360	47.1%	16:51	179	194	48.0%
Bernier	G	41	559	644	46.5%	45:30	350	390	47.3%
Komarov	F	41	123	126	49.4%	11:54	66	74	47.1%
Gardiner	D	57	281	312	47.4%	17:42	161	182	46.9%
Phaneuf	D	48	267	317	45.7%	17:05	160	183	46.6%
Lupul	F	33	142	173	45.1%	13:31	81	93	46.6%
Kessel	F	60	320	375	46.0%	15:07	190	231	45.1%
Santorelli	F	57	217	260	45.5%	13:51	118	147	44.5%
Bozak	F	60	301	352	46.1%	14:53	167	211	44.2%
Smith	F	39	85	98	46.4%	08:36	48	62	43.6%
Van Riemsdyk	F	60	290	381	43.2%	14:57	173	232	42.7%
Reimer	G	25	317	396	44.5%	43:00	156	215	42.0%
Booth	F	37	74	99	42.8%	09:11	42	62	40.4%
Holland	F	50	124	196	38.8%	11:22	67	100	40.1%
Holzer	D	31	122	168	42.1%	15:07	73	115	38.8%
Robidas	D	47	171	247	40.9%	14:38	82	153	34.9%

Stephane Robidas’ struggles continue, as he falls below 35% at ES Close. It would make sense for the Leafs to replace those minutes with a younger player, but that would leave Polak as the only veteran defender dressing. At the very least, it would be interesting to see Granberg given a little more ice time, even if it means some struggles.