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Toronto Maple Leafs (8-6-3, 15th in NHL) vs. Montreal Canadiens (13-3-2, 1st in NHL)

Puck drop: 7:00 p.m. EST
Arena: Bell Centre
Watch: CBC


Game Day Notes

– The Leafs enter tonight’s game winless versus Montreal in the teams’ last eleven meetings dating back to January 18, 2014. Their last win at the Bell Centre came in a season opener back in October of 2013. The fact that the Canadiens, 1) are slumping over their past three games (0-2-1) and, 2) are playing tired having lost on the road in Carolina last night would seem to set up the surging Leafs (6-2 in their last eight) with a pretty good opportunity to put an end to those ignominious statistics tonight. But they’ll have to go through Carey Price (10-0-1, .948 SV%) to do it, as Michel Therrien gave Al Montoya the start last night in Carolina.

– In the teams’ first meeting of the season on October 29, the Leafs carried 60% of the shot attempts over the opening 40 minutes but found themselves unable to beat Price and down 1-0 entering the third period after giving up an odd-man rush off of an offensive zone faceoff six minutes into the middle frame. The teams traded powerplay goals in the third, with the Canadiens winning it via a Shea Weber cannon with 13 minutes remaining.

– After back-to-back six goal victories (all at even strength), the Leafs enter this game second to only the New York Rangers in even strength offense. The Leafs own a balanced attack that’s produced five-plus goal games regularly at home (each of their last four wins featured six Leaf goals), but winning tight games against a good opponent on the road is a hurdle the team has to clear if it’s going to be playoff-bound this season.

– With just one win in eight road games (1-4-3) including just 11 away goals, Mike Babcock has decided to tweak his lines in tonight’s visit to the Bell Centre. William Nylander will start on a line with Nazem Kadri and Leo Komarov, with Mike Babcock citing matchups on the road as the reasoning: “I didn’t like the way I managed the bench in Pittsburgh. It didn’t give me the opportunity to do what I wanted to do good enough. This, I think, will give me a better chance.”

In essence, without last change, Babcock wants to be able to roll lines without having one exposed. It should put Michel Therrien in more of a pick-your-poison situation with Nylander next to Kadri and Matthews down on line three, while the JVR – Bozak – Marner line enters the game red hot and tearing up secondary matchups at the moment.

– More Babcock on the team’s road struggles: “When you look at a team like Montreal winning all the time, they play a patient game. We have to learn how to be more patient and better defensively, and then we’ll score more and have the puck more. That’s just our process here. We haven’t been as good on the road. Is it matchups, taking care of the puck? I don’t know, but we need to find a way to start winning on the road.”

– All that goal scoring for the Leafs has come despite Auston Matthews’ personal slump, now at 11 games despite 39 shots on goal. Mike Babcock, when asked about the slump this morning: “In our dressing room, there is no talk of that. All it is is about getting better. Would he want to score every night? I’m sure he would. The priority for us is that he works hard and gets better each and every day and he’s real diligent about his job. The other thing about it is he’s an unbelievable umbrella. He’s making sure no rain gets on anybody else on the team because no one talks about anybody but him. So it’s perfect.”


Matchup Stats

Statistics courtesy of SportingCharts.com
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StatTorMon
Points1928
Record %0.5590.824
Home Winning %0.7780.955
Away Winning %0.3130.583
Shootout Winning %00
Goal Differential Per Game-0.061.12
Shot Differential Per Game-1.29-4.29
Hits Per Game26.622.6
PIM Per Game12.29.9
Opponent PIM Per Game13.47.6
Goals Per Game3.293.29
Even Strength Goals Per Game2.652.47
Power Play Goals Per Game0.590.71
Shots Per Game32.628.4
Shots Per Goal9.98.6
Team Shooting %0.1010.116
Power Play %0.2130.235
Goals Against Per Game3.352.18
ES Goals Against Per Game2.821.41
PP Goals Against Per Game0.470.71
Shots Against Per Game33.8832.65
Shots Against Per Goal10.1115
Opp. Team Shooting %0.0990.067
Penalty Kill %0.8460.821
Save %0.9010.933
Goals Against Average3.332.16
Shutouts03
Opponent Save %0.8990.884
Opponent Goals Against Average3.273.27
Opponent Shutouts11


Toronto Maple Leafs Projected Lines

Forwards

Leo Komarov – Nazem Kadri – William Nylander
James van Riemsdyk – Tyler Bozak – Mitch Marner
Zach Hyman – Auston Matthews – Connor Brown
Matt Martin – Ben Smith – Nikita Soshnikov

Defence

Morgan Rielly – Nikita Zaitsev
Jake Gardiner – Connor Carrick
Matt Hunwick – Roman Polak

Scratched: Martin Marincin, Frank Corrado, Peter Holland

Goaltenders

Starter: Frederik Andersen (Confirmed)
Backup: Jhonas Enroth


Montreal Canadiens Projected Lines

Forwards

Max Pacioretty – Phillip Danault – Andrew Shaw
Paul Byron – Alex Galchenyuk – Brendan Gallagher
David Desharnais – Tomas Plekanec – Chris Terry
Daniel Carr – Torrey Mitchell – Charles Hudon

Defencemen

Alexei Emelin – Shea Weber
Andrei Markov – Jeff Petry
Nathan Beaulieu – Greg Pateryn

Scratched: Mikhail Sergachev

Goaltenders

Starter: Carey Price (Confirmed)
Backup: Al Montoya


Morning Skate: Mike Babcock

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Alec Brownscombe is the founder and editor of MapleLeafsHotStove.com, where he has written daily about the Leafs since September of 2008. He's published five magazines on the team entitled "The Maple Leafs Annual" with distribution in Chapters and newsstands across the country. He also co-hosted "The Battle of the Atlantic," a weekly show on TSN1200 that covered the Leafs and the NHL in-depth. Alec is a graduate of Trent University and Algonquin College with his diploma in Journalism. In 2014, he was awarded Canada's Best Hockey Blogger honours by Molson Canadian. You can contact him at alec.brownscombe@mapleleafshotstove.com.