NHL Draft Lottery Odds (updated: April 11)

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One game remains before the Leafs‘ sure to be long and interesting off-season gets underway. First matter of business? The draft lottery for all non-playoff teams, to be held next Tuesday, April 15.

After Toronto’s loss to the Panthers combined with wins by Nashville and Ottawa on Thursday, the Leafs currently hold the 9th overall pick in the draft (remarkable considering they were 9th in the League 20-odd days ago).

The Leafs could still wind up with as high as the 7th overall pick, but a lot of things would have to go right (or wrong, however you want to look at it). The Leafs would have to lose to the Senators in regulation on Saturday, while the Jets would have to win in regulation or overtime in their final game of the season and the Canucks would need to take three of four points in their final two games.

Here are your current odds:

PickLottery Odds
1 - Buffalo25.00%
2 - Florida18.80%
3 - Edmonton14.20%
4 - Calgary10.70%
5 - NY Islanders8.10%
6 - Vancouver6.20%
7 - Carolina4.70%
8 - Toronto3.60%
9 - Winnipeg2.70%
10 - Ottawa2.10%
11 - New Jersey1.50%
12 - Nashville1.10%
13 - Phoenix0.80%
14 - Washington0.50%

standings.png

  • BingoDabber

    TANK LEAFS TANK
    We should really hope we wind up in 8th and then trade up for Sam Reinhart.  The center we need.
    I’d take McCann as well.

  • Savo43

    @BingoDabber  Ehlers speed and skill is what i hope we get. Sooooo bloody fast its ridiculous.

  • Great Dane

    We just  have to hope that Preds, Sens and Nucks moves past us.

  • 4evrblue

    1.5%

    I like those odds

    Yes I’m a terrible gambler :(

  • Great Dane

    4evrblue To quote Han Solo: “DON’T tell me the odds”

  • Great Dane

    With 9-10 draft pick Leaf should target Ehlers,but if we win the draft lottery should we trade down?

    There are a number of clubs that want Ekblad so one of them might make a swing at the first overall pick.

  • Savo43

    Great Dane  If we could get Ekblad id stick with that pick. We need a top pairing right handed defenseman, with his size and skillset. Love Ehlers, but if we were that high i’d stay there. Comparisons to Shea Weber, so, that’d be cool with me.

  • NotTheCanucksnaphook

    Lots of fuckin RUNTS in this draft.  That is what I see.

  • 4evrblue

    Savo43 Great Dane Rielly and Ekblad together for the next 10 years would be pretty sweet

  • http://nmwtlandtrust.org/ bob sacamano

    From the Sun:

    “It was like, from the beginning of the season, you could see it if you watched any of their games,” one veteran Tampa Bay Lightning player told the Toronto Sun this week. “They give up too many odd-man rushes and you just can’t survive in an 82-game schedule playing that way in this league.
    “It just seemed like they needed (Jonathan) Bernier to play great every night for them to have a chance to win. It doesn’t work that way. You play that way night in and night out and eventually it’s going to catch up to you. Too many games in the league are tight defensively, now.”

  • http://nmwtlandtrust.org/ bob sacamano

    @BingoDabber  
    It’s really hard to trade up in the draft. I haven’t seen a team trade into the top five in a decade. I’m not sure why.

  • 4evrblue

    Jake Virtanen is an interesting case. Apparently compares to Bobby Ryan or Corey Perry. I’d like to know which because other than being big and being able to score a lot of goals those guys don’t compare well at all. If he has Perrys mean streak and physicality he’d be the guy I’d look to draft. 
    CS has him at 6th among NA skaters
    ISS has him at 7
    Bobby Mac has him at 10
    Button has him at 47………. ??
    Other sites like mynhldraft have him going 9th
    He’s around where we want to pick (Button is out to lunch and will have him higher in his next mock draft)

  • 4evrblue

    bob sacamano  
    Sure you have. We did it to get Luke Schenn

  • Burtonboy

    4evrblue bob sacamano  I liked that move . It got us JVR LO

  • 4evrblue

    Burtonboy 4evrbluebob sacamano yeah that really turned into a great pick lol
    I will say this tho Bob, its damn near impossible to trade up more than a few spots in the draft. Going for 10th into the top 5 for example is difficult. 2-3 spots is about as much as you can expect if you’re dealing with top 10 picks.

  • lister

    Given the closed door nature of this I’m going to say the Islanders “win” the lottery.

  • Burtonboy

    4evrblue Burtonboy bob sacamano  Yep . High draft picks are gold in a cap world

  • sniperstar

    Great Dane  If we win the lottery and can grab Reinhart or Ekblad we better take them unless the trade down is for the 2nd or 3rd overall with a sizeable addition.

  • sniperstar

    Wait… If the Jets win out they’ll be at 84 points with more ROW then us. Does that mean we could drop to 7th?

  • MaxwellHowe

    Well.  Who would have predicted this would be the April 10th posting on MLHS a months ago?  Dear Lord, our love for the Leafs is something a vengeful god foisted upon us for shit we did in a past life.  Thats my theory anyhow.

  • Burtonboy

    CanuckUKinToronto  Lots of talk the Duck will be moving Hillier to make room for Gibson . He’s the real deal that kid

  • whalz

    Yup they can thank Burke for sending them our 2nd rd pick in order for us to draft Biggs

  • MaxwellHowe

    Burtonboy CanuckUKinToronto How many goalies do they have?  Man, that team drafts and develops talent so well.  Is their GM available?

  • Mind Bomb

    Good morning Folks !

  • Beleafer29

    and to think a month ago it was smooth sailing…….then “Playoffs right ahead”

    Rest is history!!!!!  Love my Leafs, but we hit an iceberg!!!

  • MaxwellHowe

    sniperstar but I think just wins is the first tiebreaker, and the Jets can’t get more wins

  • wendelsway1

    Morning Gents…..just another day of anybody and everybody being linked to TO……never a dull moment with the media……although I’m more interested in who’s leaving, at the moment…..It’s been a long, a long time coming…but I know a change gon’ come, oh yes it will.  :)

  • Yaknowwhat

    Good Morning fellow Leafers!!

  • Mind Bomb

    Yaknowwhat   Morning Yak

  • Yaknowwhat

    Mind Bomb Yaknowwhat Hey MB…whats your take on the Shanny scuttlebutt??

  • wendelsway1

    Yaknowwhat  And a good morning to you, Sir  :)

  • Mind Bomb

    Yaknowwhat Mind Bomb   I think its wrong, a Circus, I dont want a Sales team or rookie GM.  I dont want 17 hands in the Cookie Jar, Especially if the Rumor of Greztky as well. 

    If it was my Money, I would Lure John Davidson out of Columbus, Get a Hockey Guy, get someone who has already had some success at this. And give them Full control and have upper managment stay the Fuck out of it :)

    IMHO

  • Burtonboy

    CanuckUKinToronto  This move just didn’t pop up all of a sudden . They have been talking about this for weeks and maybe months

  • MaxwellHowe

    Man I hope the Lightning demolish the Habs.  If I have to hear about them going deep in the playoffs, I might lose it

  • wendelsway1

    CanuckUKinToronto wendelsway1  Still early yet…..Media’s just warming up

  • http://nmwtlandtrust.org/ bob sacamano

    4evrblue Burtonboy bob sacamano  

    Yea – I think the last time someone traded into the top 3 was when Burke got the Sedins and that was pre-salary cap.

  • Burtonboy

    CanuckUKinToronto Burtonboy  I would guess Nonis is fully on board with this . I also think chances are they are losing one of Poulin or Loiselle this summer to other teams

  • Yaknowwhat

    Mind Bomb Yaknowwhat Agreed…it just strikes me as one of those all sizzle and no steak moves…expected more from Liewike…Shanny is a good guy and had a great hockey career…but he has no experience in this position…

  • Burtonboy

    CanuckUKinToronto Burtonboy  
    https://twitter.com/simmonssteve https://twitter.com/simmonssteve/status/454227577805082624
    When Nonis signed his 5-year deal with Leafs he was told that 1 day there will likely be team exec above him. And he’s OK with that. https://twitter.com/search?q=%23shanny&src=hash

  • Yaknowwhat

    CanuckUKinToronto So bring in a guy who has no experience runningbuilding a team and give him authority over Nonis? Makes zero sense…

  • Burtonboy

    Yaknowwhat CanuckUKinToronto  All I know is that many teams have approached Shanahan to take this very job . Calgary wanted him over Burke

  • Mind Bomb

    Yaknowwhat Mind Bomb  Exactly make him an Assistant GM sure, groom him ok, But…………

  • http://i.imgur.com/MyKj5C3.gif ingy56

    Lets go Canes, win out please! Tank Leafs tank…lose out please!

  • http://i.imgur.com/MyKj5C3.gif ingy56

    MaxwellHowe  Tough without Bishop

  • MaxwellHowe

    ingy56 LAY OFF!!  They’re doing the best they can!

  • Burtonboy

    https://twitter.com/Hope_Smoke https://twitter.com/Hope_Smoke/status/454235416057507840
    Friedman “I have no problem with Kessel’s deal. This is what you pay those type of players.”

  • http://i.imgur.com/MyKj5C3.gif ingy56

    lister  It will be the Devils, this whole thing is rigged.

  • Burtonboy

    https://twitter.com/Hope_Smoke https://twitter.com/Hope_Smoke/status/454235533649002496
    Friedman “I don’t think Phaneuf’s contract is as bad either. That’s a deal that can be moved if they want”

  • Burtonboy

    https://twitter.com/Hope_Smoke https://twitter.com/Hope_Smoke/status/454235649181093888
    Friedman “the best thing the Leafs didn’t do this year was trade someone like Jake Gardiner”

  • http://i.imgur.com/MyKj5C3.gif ingy56

    NotTheCanucksnaphook  Nick Ritchie 6’3″ 229 lbs and can score.