Preview and GDT: Maple Leafs at Avalanche (9 p.m., Sportsnet)

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COLORADO AVALANCHE VS. TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS
TORONTO, ON - OCTOBER 8: Tyler Bozak #42 of the Toronto Maple Leafs shoots the puck as Semyon Varlamov #1 of the Colorado Avalanche defends the goal during NHL game action October 8, 2013 at Air Canada Centre in Toronto, Ontario, Canada. (Photo by Graig Abel/NHLI via Getty Images)

What happens in a meeting between two teams whose working formula is to win while outshot? We’ll find out tonight in Colorado.

 LeafsAvalanche
Record26-20-531-12-5
% of games spent outshot82% (41/51)54% (26/48)
Record when outshot21-15-519-4-3
Record when outshooting5-4-011-7-1
Corsi for %
(all situations)
43.6% (30th) 46.8% (26th)

Inspecting the makeup of the teams reveals why they might be fudging the stats. Both are young, skilled, fast and dangerous up front, and are shooting up around 10% (all situations). Both are positionally weak at D, but have received the quality of goaltending to compensate (Avalanche are third with a .922 save percentage, Leafs are 6th with a .919).

Watch the Avalanche a little bit and you come to the conclusion they’re similar to the Leafs except Patrick Roy has his group executing more consistently; they’re more detailed focused, harder working, and playing his system successfully.

While the Leafs employ their hotly-debated swarm system, Roy has described his defensive system as “man-to-man/support. More and more teams will have their defensemen involved in the attack, and if you play (zone), you cannot follow them.”

“The biggest part of our D-zone is our forwards, and a lot of what Patrick is telling us to do is support — play man-to-man and when someone gets beat, there’s always a guy supporting you,”  described Avs defenseman Erik Johnson.

Avs backup JS Giguere said of all the shots against earlier in the season:

“A lot from the perimeter. We’ve done a great job taking rebounds away, and the D has done a good job boxing out.”

The Avalanche play the game at a high pace, are rested, and the Leafs – in their second game in two nights – are going to be in tough trying to maintain the energy level required to scrap out a point or two. Not that this is different than any other night in the Leaf net, but Toronto will need a big performance out of James Reimer.

Projected TML Lineup
James van Riemsdyk — Tyler Bozak — Phil Kessel
Joffrey Lupul  — Nazem Kadri — Nikolai Kulemin
Mason Raymond — Peter Holland — Troy Bodie
Carter Ashton — Jay McClement — Colton Orr

Carl Gunnarsson — Dion Phaneuf
Tim Gleason — Cody Franson
Jake Gardiner — Morgan Rielly

S: James Reimer
Jonathan Bernier

Scratched: Mark Fraser, Paul Ranger
Injured: Dave Bolland (ankle), David Clarkson (elbow), Frazer McLaren (shoulder), Trevor Smith (hand)

Projected Avalanche Lineup
Ryan O’Reilly — Matt Duchene — Jamie McGinn
Gabriel Landeskog — Paul Stastny — Nathan MacKinnon
Cody McLeod — John Mitchell — Maxime Talbot
Patrick Bordeleau — Marc-Andre Cliche — PA Parenteau

Erik Johnson — Jan Hejda
Andre Benoit — Ryan Wilson
Nick Holden — Tyson Barrie

S: Semyon Varlamov
Jean-Sebastien Giguere

Scratched: Brad Malone
Injured: Nate Guenin (ankle), Cory Sarich (back), Alex Tanguay (knee, hip), David Van Der Gulik (head)

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  • Pent_House

    Go Leafs Go!

  • wiski

    9pm time for a nap

  • Burtonboy

    Yeeeeeee Hawwwwwww we are going to win this tonight . Suck on it Ferraro

  • http://www.unclejakescards.ca/ unclejakescards

    sooooo , let avs out shoot the leafs , and leafs will win , simple …

  • http://www.unclejakescards.ca/ unclejakescards

    would love to see something happen to make roy go ape shit crazy tho ….. fun times !!

  • creasemonkey

    5 bucks says John Mitchell scores

  • Dangle_My_Berries

    creasemonkey too easy..

  • Jmessih

    What TSN fantasy guy Scott Cullen did not anticipate this year
    http://www.tsn.ca/nhl/story/?id=441820

  • Nasty naz

    Hey guys. I am heading to my first ever leafs game in Tampa bay. I was wondering, can I get not the arena early to see practice? Any advice would be greatly appreciated

  • http://www.unclejakescards.ca/ unclejakescards

    creasemonkey might not play , gots da flu .

  • ShotgunCharlie

    Murph2417 4 centermen on 2 lines. I guess they arent afraid of being tossed out of the circle

  • ShotgunCharlie

    Nasty naz Probably see the pre-game skate. Not sure if the practices are open.

  • http://i.imgur.com/MyKj5C3.gif ingy56

    4-2 Avalanche, let ingy’s prediction losing streak continue!

  • PepTalk

    Nasty naz Tampa has the most amazing scoreboard in the league. You may end up watching more of the game on the screen than live on the ice

  • PepTalk

    Nasty naz You’re not planning to watch the Feb.4 game in Sunrise?

  • Nasty naz

    Never realized there was a game then. Thanks pep I will look into it

  • ShotgunCharlie

    site is really slow…or Livefyre

  • PEIleafnation

    well cold night on the Isle here …but leafs avs should be fun to watch

  • Bring the Cup Home

    i wanna see a HUGE game from reimer steal this one.  as much as i am happy about bernier being our number one guy, i think reimer deserves a big win and to feel good about himself.  i feel bad for the guy to be honest and want to see him do well.

  • PepTalk

    Nasty naz It’s about a 4 hour drive but you’ll have to start off in fort lauderdale

  • wiski

    Half hour nap does wonders, ready to watch the turds lose now.

  • Hmmm

    unclejakescards creasemonkey I may take that bet.

  • Burtonboy

    wiski Flush em

  • wiski

    damn Ovi not playing tonight

  • theacs1966

    There is almost no one healthy for the Car/Phi game.  Must be the flu, if it’s the one I had, it’s nasty.  Just starting to get over it now, and it started on Jan 3.

  • Burtonboy

    wiski Maybe they play like a team then

  • theacs1966

    wiski Marlies play tonight too if you can find it online.

  • http://i.imgur.com/MyKj5C3.gif ingy56

    theacs1966 Got postponed for snow I believe.

  • theacs1966

    ingy56 theacs1966 Just that game?

  • http://i.imgur.com/MyKj5C3.gif ingy56

    theacs1966 ingy56 Yes.

  • theacs1966

    wiski theacs1966 Tnx, I have a few sites in my Fav bar.

  • theacs1966

    ingy56 theacs1966 No mention on TSN Sportsnet sites.

  • http://i.imgur.com/MyKj5C3.gif ingy56

    theacs1966 ingy56  http://www.tsn.ca/nhl/story/?id=441802

  • wiski

    theacs1966 wiski good they don’t want us posting links anymore

  • theacs1966

    wiski theacs1966 Ya, a Google search is all you need.

  • theacs1966

    ingy56 theacs1966 Thats why I was seeing so many players from both teams exed out on my Draftstreet bets.

  • creasemonkey

    man Gord Miller has a serious pig nose

  • theacs1966

    creasemonkey Unlike you?  You’re flawless?

  • creasemonkey

    theacs1966 creasemonkey
    touch a nerve there pal

  • Bon Scott was a Leaf fan

    Lord tundren’ Jesus, biys…..No Frills is selling Campbells chunky soup for a buck a can.  Also, they’ve held over chocolate milk for a buck a litre.  Also, 2 litre Fruitopias for a buck.  Of course, I stocked up.
    Fuck this 5 game winning streak!!  We’re goin’ 10 games now.
    Chocolate milk for everyone!!

  • theacs1966

    creasemonkey theacs1966 No, I’ve got a cute nose, just seemed like an asshole thing to say out of the blue.

  • creasemonkey

    theacs1966 creasemonkey
    he was on Tsn up close and in HD not the prettiest thing to see when you turn the channel on that’s all

  • theacs1966

    IT’s game night, where the fuck is everyone?

  • wiski

    theacs1966 napping for 9pm start

  • Shift_Disturber1

    Bon Scott was a Leaf fan   Man you’re going to go broke a buck at a time with that place ;P

  • http://www.unclejakescards.ca/ unclejakescards

    Bon Scott was a Leaf fan haha, its not soup , its stew !!!

  • 4evrblue

    theacs1966 Playing NHL14 😀

  • theacs1966

    wiski theacs1966 OK, I’ll buy that.

  • Bon Scott was a Leaf fan

    Shift_Disturber1 Bon Scott was a Leaf fan 
    The funny thing is….I never shop at No Frills (I really dislike it).

  • wiski

    ferraro starting to look like chrome dome pierre from a distance