Home Analysis Game 17 Scoring Chances: Penguins 2 vs. Maple Leafs 1

Game 17 Scoring Chances: Penguins 2 vs. Maple Leafs 1

Nov 14, 2014

The Leafs had twelve minutes of powerplay time, but weren’t able to get a goal out of any of it against the Penguins. Pittsburgh dominated the Leafs at even strength all night, but Bernier stood strong, and Toronto was in it right until the end. So it ended up as one of those odd sorts of games where the Leafs probably deserved to lose by more, but also will be ruing their missed chances. In particular, Toronto was outchanced 5-1 at ES after Franson’s goal, showing how poor their chase was when they didn’t have the extra man.

Status	Overall			Even Strength			ES Close
Team	TOR	PIT	%	TOR	PIT	%	TOR	PIT	%
1	7	9	43.8%	3	9	25.0%	3	9	25.0%
2	7	6	53.8%	2	4	33.3%	2	4	33.3%
3	9	10	47.4%	3	7	30.0%	0	0	-
Total	23	25	47.9%	8	20	28.6%	5	13	27.8%

This was the worst even strength performance of the season for the Leafs, beating their previous worst, in the first Pittsburgh game. The overall ended up pretty even, but Toronto’s chances primarily came with a Penguin in the box.

Club	St	P	Time	TSc	Osc	Note	Toronto						Pittsburgh
PIT	ES	1	19:34	0	0	Dupuis wide from Crosby	24	25	47	3	4	45	87	9	14	10	41	1
TOR	ES	1	16:22	0	0	Leivo deflects Rielly shot wide	23	18	32	12	44	45	38	57	27	7	58	1
PIT	ES	1	15:40	0	0	Downie from Bennett	23	21	32	46	51	45	16	19	23	4	47	1
PIT	ES	1	15:21	0	0	Hornqvist deflects Letang shot wide	42	81	21	46	51	45	13	71	72	7	58	1
TOR	ES	1	13:55	0	0	Santorelli dirves	24	25	47	3	4	45	87	9	14	10	41	1
PIT	ES	1	12:59	0	0	Sutter wide from Bennett	26	43	71	12	44	45	16	19	23	7	58	1
PIT	ES	1	11:15	0	0	Kunitz from Crosby	24	25	47	3	4	45	87	9	14	4	47	1
TOR	ES	1	09:09	0	0	Van Riemsdyk drives	42	81	21	46	51	45	13	71	72	7	58	1
TOR	EN	1	07:15	0	0	Clarkson from Kadri	26	42	43	71	44	51	71	19	23	4	47	1
TOR	EN	1	07:08	0	0	Kadri drives wide	26	42	43	71	44	51	71	19	23	4	47	1
TOR	PP	1	05:16	0	0	Clarkson deflects Gardiner shot post	24	43	71	3	51	45	16	9	4	10	1	-
PIT	ES	1	04:27	0	0	Spaling from Downie	24	26	43	3	44	45	13	87	23	4	47	1
PIT	ES	1	02:59	0	0	Dupuis from Crosby	43	71	21	44	46	45	87	9	14	4	47	1
PIT	ES	1	02:58	0	0	Dupuis from rebound	43	71	21	44	46	45	87	9	14	4	47	1
TOR	SH	1	00:58	0	0	Komarov from Winnik	26	47	12	46	45	-	16	23	9	7	10	1
PIT	ES	1	00:27	0	0	Hornqvist wraparound wide	24	26	3	12	46	45	87	72	14	10	58	1
PIT	PP	2	16:58	0	0	Goc drives	42	81	21	3	51	45	57	27	4	10	1	-
TOR	PP	2	16:42	0	0	Van Riemsdyk deflects Gardiner shot	42	81	21	4	51	45	16	9	4	10	1	-
TOR	PP	2	16:27	0	0	Van Riemsdyk from loose puck	42	81	21	4	51	45	16	57	7	58	1	-
TOR	PP	2	15:19	0	0	Kadri from rebound of Phaneuf shot	24	43	71	3	44	45	16	9	7	58	1	-
TOR	PP	2	15:19	0	0	Clarkson from rebound of Kadri shot	24	43	71	3	44	45	16	9	7	58	1	-
TOR	PP	2	14:48	0	0	Clarkson from loose puck	24	43	71	3	44	45	16	57	4	10	1	-
PIT	SH	2	12:30	0	0	Crosby drives	26	47	12	46	45	-	87	23	14	10	41	1
TOR	ES	2	08:29	0	0	Kessel drives	42	81	21	46	51	45	13	71	72	7	58	1
PIT	ES	2	07:44	0	0	Crosby wraparound	42	81	21	3	46	45	87	9	14	7	58	1
PIT	ES	2	02:42	0	0	GOAL! Dupuis deflects Ehrhoff shot	24	43	71	3	44	45	16	9	4	10	41	1
PIT	ES	2	01:53	0	1	Malkin from Kunitz	25	26	47	12	46	45	71	23	14	10	41	1
TOR	ES	2	01:31	0	1	Kessel from Phaneuf	42	81	21	3	4	45	13	71	72	7	10	1
PIT	ES	2	00:52	0	1	Sutter from giveaway	23	18	32	44	51	45	16	57	19	7	10	1
PIT	ES	3	19:45	0	1	GOAL! Dupuis from Crosby	24	25	47	3	4	45	87	9	14	10	41	1
TOR	ES	3	17:12	0	2	Smith wide from Leivo	23	18	32	12	44	45	16	19	23	10	41	1
TOR	ES	3	15:44	0	2	Kadri from Kessel	43	81	21	46	51	45	13	71	72	7	58	1
PIT	ES	3	14:48	0	2	Adams from rebound of Ehrhoff shot	24	26	71	12	44	45	38	57	27	10	41	1
TOR	SH	3	11:06	1	2	Holland drives wide	24	47	3	46	45	-	71	87	72	14	58	1
PIT	SH	3	10:56	1	2	Crosby drives	23	24	3	46	45	-	71	87	72	14	10	1
PIT	SH	3	10:55	1	2	Hornqvist from rebound of Crosby shot	23	24	3	46	45	-	71	87	72	14	10	1
PIT	SH	3	10:22	1	2	Dupuis from Sutter	23	26	4	12	45	-	16	23	9	7	10	1
PIT	ES	3	09:31	1	2	Goc wide from Bennett	43	81	21	46	51	45	13	57	19	4	47	1
TOR	ES	3	09:08	1	2	Kessel wraparound	43	81	21	3	51	45	87	9	14	4	47	1
PIT	ES	3	09:01	1	2	Scuderi from Crosby	43	81	21	3	51	45	87	9	14	4	58	1
TOR	PP	3	06:51	1	2	Phaneuf wide from faceoff	42	81	21	3	4	45	57	27	4	10	1	-
TOR	PP	3	06:26	1	2	Kessel from Phaneuf	42	81	21	3	4	45	57	27	4	10	1	-
PIT	ES	3	03:56	1	2	Downie wide from loose puck	24	25	47	44	51	45	71	23	9	4	41	1
PIT	ES	3	03:48	1	2	Goc from loose puck	43	81	21	3	4	45	57	19	23	4	47	1
PIT	ES	3	02:50	1	2	Crosby drives	24	71	21	46	51	45	87	9	14	4	47	1
TOR	PP	3	00:57	1	2	Bozak deflects Franson shot	42	43	81	21	4	51	57	27	7	58	1	-
TOR	PP	3	00:42	1	2	Bozak deflects Kessel shot	42	43	81	21	4	51	57	27	7	58	1	-
TOR	PP	3	00:14	1	2	Bozak from Kadri	42	43	81	21	4	51	57	27	7	58	1	-

The player-by-player data:

Player	Overall				Even Strength				ES Close
	For	Against	Diff	TOI	For	Against	Diff	TOI	For	Against	Diff
Phaneuf	10	12	-2	22:18	3	9	-6	14:31	2	6	-4
Franson	9	5	4	20:25	2	4	-2	11:27	2	2	0
Robidas	3	6	-3	14:25	2	4	-2	11:35	1	3	-2
Panik	2	1	1	04:47	2	1	1	04:47	1	1	0
Van Riemsdyk	12	10	2	22:09	5	9	-4	15:15	3	5	-2
Smith	2	5	-3	06:59	2	2	0	04:53	1	2	-1
Holland	6	11	-5	17:10	1	9	-8	11:02	1	5	-4
Santorelli	1	5	-4	11:15	1	5	-4	11:15	1	3	-2
Winnik	3	7	-4	16:43	0	5	-5	12:38	0	4	-4
Leivo	2	2	0	04:53	2	2	0	04:53	1	2	-1
Bozak	12	3	9	19:49	3	2	1	12:17	3	2	1
Kadri	11	8	3	20:45	2	8	-6	13:45	0	5	-5
Rielly	7	8	-1	18:04	2	8	-6	13:29	1	6	-5
Polak	5	12	-7	21:52	3	9	-6	17:49	2	7	-5
Komarov	3	6	-3	14:45	1	5	-4	11:24	1	3	-2
Gardiner	12	8	4	23:11	4	7	-3	15:24	2	3	-1
Clarkson	6	6	0	15:27	0	6	-6	10:32	0	4	-4
Kessel	12	6	6	21:43	5	5	0	13:44	3	2	1
Bernier	18	25	-7	57:20	8	20	-12	41:20	5	13	-8

Only the top line really had any kind of positive night, with Kessel & Bozak ending up as the only positive players on the team at ES Close. Kadri had a tough night, -5 at ES close, and not on for a Leafs ES close chance, despite getting relatively soft zone starts, compared to the other lines. Winnik and Clarkson also finished with bad numbers. Peter Holland had the worst game on the Leafs, -4 at ES close, and -8 at ES overall, on for several Penguin chances in the third period, when the Leafs were chasing the game.

Franson did fairly well, the only even defenceman at ES, continuing his solid run of late. Phaneuf had a tougher time, but wasn’t alone, as Polak and Rielly also had poor ES chance numbers. In Polak’s case, he had tough zone starts, which can’t be said about Rielly. Robidas and Gardiner were both in the negative, despite fairly soft minutes.

Cumulative numbers this season:

Overall	Pos	#	Even Strength					ES Close
			For	Against	Diff	%	TOI	For	Against	Diff	%
Lupul	F	9	41	39	2	51.3%	15:25	27	19	8	58.7%
Franson	D	15	79	70	9	53.0%	15:14	51	41	10	55.4%
Clarkson	F	17	68	64	4	51.5%	12:56	39	35	4	52.7%
Panik	F	16	30	34	-4	46.9%	08:44	20	18	2	52.6%
Kadri	F	17	72	78	-6	48.0%	13:44	51	46	5	52.6%
Winnik	F	15	39	46	-7	45.9%	11:56	24	23	1	51.1%
Reimer	G	7	83	105	-22	44.1%	41:18	43	43	0	50.0%
Rielly	D	16	78	82	-4	48.8%	15:05	48	49	-1	49.5%
Komarov	F	17	52	50	2	51.0%	12:35	29	30	-1	49.2%
Kessel	F	17	104	113	-9	47.9%	15:05	65	68	-3	48.9%
Phaneuf	D	17	94	108	-14	46.5%	17:23	62	66	-4	48.4%
Bozak	F	17	92	101	-9	47.7%	15:18	55	59	-4	48.2%
Bernier	G	12	153	173	-20	46.9%	44:47	100	120	-20	45.5%
Polak	D	17	75	114	-39	39.7%	17:58	50	62	-12	44.6%
Van Riemsdyk	F	17	91	120	-29	43.1%	15:09	55	70	-15	44.0%
Santorelli	F	17	46	54	-8	46.0%	12:38	24	32	-8	42.9%
Gardiner	D	15	58	71	-13	45.0%	15:51	28	39	-11	41.8%
Robidas	D	16	61	68	-7	47.3%	14:51	32	45	-13	41.6%
Percy	D	8	26	41	-15	38.8%	14:54	14	22	-8	38.9%
Holland	F	17	31	54	-23	36.5%	09:45	17	28	-11	37.8%
Carrick	F	5	4	11	-7	26.7%	08:07	4	11	-7	26.7%
Frattin	F	6	5	13	-8	27.8%	06:58	3	12	-9	20.0%
Kozun	F	5	5	18	-13	21.7%	07:25	3	13	-10	18.8%

I threw a games played filter on this table, set to 1/4 of the Leafs games, so 5 GP at this point, hence there’s no more Ashton at the head of the table. Despite the positive talk about Holland recently, his numbers continue to fall, and he is the worst regular Leaf forward in chances at ES overall and at ES Close. Some of this comes down to usage, but he has consistently struggled in this metric since his arrival in Toronto.