Game 28 Scoring Chances: Maple Leafs 2 vs. Red Wings 1 (SO)

The Toronto Maple Leafs had one of the worst chance performances I’ve seen, almost as bad as the game that Buffalo played against them in October.

Toronto were out-chanced 19-3 at ES after two periods, and had absolutely no business being in the game at all, let alone being down by just one. For that, they had to thank the excellent performance of James Reimer, who held off Detroit’s challenges. They also had a strong penalty killing game, which has become a regular occurrence. The third period was better, and Toronto managed to get level through Kessel, but even then they were out-chanced worse than 2-to-1. Somehow, though, Toronto survived to a shoot-out, where they claimed an unlikely victory. I’d call it undeserved, but that would be unfair to Reimer, who made up for a poor effort from his team-mates.

Status	Overall			Even Strength			ES Close
Team	TOR	DET	%	TOR	DET	%	TOR	DET	%
1	4	10	28.6%	2	9	18.2%	2	9	18.2%
2	1	11	8.3%	1	10	9.1%	1	10	9.1%
3	4	13	23.5%	4	9	30.8%	2	5	28.6%
4	2	3	40.0%	1	3	25.0%	1	3	25.0%
Total	11	37	22.9%	8	31	20.5%	6	27	18.2%

Thirty-seven chances against is the worst of the season, and is even worse than the Leafs managed in that Buffalo game. 20% at ES is terrible, and the fact that the ES Close is even worse only furthers what a blowout this was. The second period, which has been the Leafs‘ best all year, was the worst of it tonight, with the Leafs getting under 10% of chances.

Club	St	P	Time	TSc	Osc	Note	Toronto						Detroit
DET	ES	1	16:41	0	0	Nyquist deflects Zetterberg shot	25	43	20	12	44	34	14	93	40	2	4	35
TOR	ES	1	16:17	0	0	Lupul from Clarkson	24	19	71	12	44	34	15	90	93	2	4	35
DET	ES	1	16:05	0	0	Sheahan drives	24	19	71	12	44	34	15	90	93	52	55	35
DET	ES	1	11:55	0	0	Miller wraparound	24	19	71	12	44	34	18	41	20	27	65	35
DET	ES	1	11:46	0	0	Miller from loose puck	24	19	71	12	44	34	18	41	20	27	65	35
DET	ES	1	09:33	0	0	Zetterberg deflects Quincey shot wide	25	43	20	3	4	34	14	26	40	27	65	35
DET	ES	1	09:30	0	0	Jurco from Nyquist	25	43	20	3	4	34	14	26	40	27	65	35
DET	ES	1	07:58	0	0	Glendening from Kindl	26	18	67	12	44	34	18	41	20	4	65	35
DET	ES	1	05:51	0	0	Datsyuk wide from Kronwall	42	81	21	3	12	34	13	21	43	52	55	35
DET	SH	1	03:51	0	0	Tatar wide from Datsyuk	24	26	12	55	34	-	13	15	21	90	4	35
TOR	SH	1	03:31	0	0	Winnik from Holland	24	26	44	51	34	-	13	15	21	90	4	35
TOR	PP	1	02:02	0	0	Bozak from Kessel	42	81	21	4	44	34	15	41	52	65	35	-
DET	ES	1	01:02	0	0	Helm drives	24	19	71	3	55	34	13	21	43	2	4	35
TOR	ES	1	00:23	0	0	Santorelli drives	25	43	20	4	51	34	14	26	40	27	65	35
DET	ES	2	19:11	0	0	Helm deflects Ericsson shot	25	43	20	51	55	34	13	14	43	52	55	35
DET	ES	2	18:51	0	0	Tatar from Helm	24	19	71	12	44	34	13	21	43	52	55	35
DET	ES	2	16:47	0	0	Sheahan drives	26	67	21	3	51	34	15	90	93	27	65	35
DET	ES	2	15:22	0	0	Nyquist from Zetterberg	25	26	21	3	51	34	14	93	40	27	65	35
DET	SH	2	06:24	0	0	Nyquist drives	26	21	12	55	34	-	14	15	21	90	55	35
DET	ES	2	05:57	0	0	Nyquist wide from Kronwall	25	26	19	12	55	34	14	15	21	90	55	35
DET	ES	2	04:34	0	0	Glendening from Miller	42	81	21	3	44	34	18	41	20	2	52	35
DET	ES	2	02:37	0	0	Jurco wide from Quincey	24	25	20	51	55	34	14	26	40	27	65	35
DET	ES	2	02:17	0	0	Jurco wide from Zetterberg	25	42	19	4	51	34	14	26	40	27	65	35
DET	ES	2	02:09	0	0	Jurco from Zetterberg	25	42	19	4	51	34	14	26	40	27	65	35
DET	ES	2	02:08	0	0	GOAL! Nyquist from rebound of Jurco shot	25	42	19	4	51	34	14	26	40	27	65	35
TOR	ES	2	01:02	0	1	Kessel drives wide	42	81	21	12	44	34	13	21	41	27	65	35
DET	ES	3	19:46	0	1	Jurco from Nyquist	25	43	19	3	4	34	14	26	40	27	65	35
DET	ES	3	19:14	0	1	Helm drives	25	43	19	4	55	34	13	21	43	52	55	35
DET	ES	3	19:07	0	1	Datsyuk from Tatar	42	81	21	51	55	34	13	21	43	52	55	35
TOR	ES	3	17:55	0	1	Clarkson wraparound	24	71	20	12	44	34	18	41	20	2	27	35
DET	ES	3	16:15	0	1	Franzen from giveaway	26	18	67	3	4	34	14	15	93	2	4	35
TOR	ES	3	14:51	0	1	GOAL! Kessel from Van Riemsdyk	42	81	21	12	44	34	13	21	43	52	65	35
DET	SH	3	13:38	1	1	Zetterberg drives wide	24	26	3	4	34	-	14	93	26	40	55	35
DET	SH	3	13:09	1	1	Franzen wide from Kronwall	24	26	12	55	34	-	14	93	26	40	55	35
DET	SH	3	12:53	1	1	Kronwall from Franzen	24	21	12	55	34	-	14	93	26	40	55	35
TOR	ES	3	11:49	1	1	Kadri drives wide	25	26	43	3	4	34	13	21	43	52	65	35
TOR	ES	3	11:45	1	1	Phaneuf from loose puck	25	26	43	3	4	34	13	21	43	52	65	35
DET	ES	3	08:09	1	1	Weiss drives	25	43	19	12	44	34	15	90	93	27	65	35
DET	ES	3	08:08	1	1	Quincey from rebound of Weiss shot	25	43	19	12	44	34	15	90	93	27	65	35
DET	ES	3	08:07	1	1	Franzen from rebound of Quincey shot	25	43	19	12	44	34	15	90	93	27	65	35
DET	SH	3	07:18	1	1	Sheahan deflects Kindl shot wide	26	42	12	55	34	-	13	15	21	90	4	35
DET	ES	3	02:11	1	1	Nyquist drives wide	42	81	19	4	55	34	14	43	40	52	65	35
DET	ES	3	00:11	1	1	Kronwall drives	42	81	21	12	55	34	13	21	43	52	55	35
DET	ES	4	03:26	1	1	Eriksson drives	42	81	51	55	34	-	15	21	52	65	35	-
DET	ES	4	03:11	1	1	Tatar drives wide	42	81	51	55	34	-	15	21	27	65	35	-
TOR	ES	4	01:35	1	1	Van Riemsdyk from Gardiner	24	21	3	51	34	-	13	14	2	27	35	-
DET	ES	4	00:58	1	1	Kronwall wide from loose puck	25	43	51	55	34	-	13	43	27	55	35	-
TOR	PP	4	00:05	1	1	Phaneuf from Bozak	42	81	21	3	34	-	41	20	52	35	-	-

The player-by-player data:

Player	Overall				Even Strength				ES Close
	For	Against	Diff	TOI	For	Against	Diff	TOI	For	Against	Diff
Phaneuf	4	10	-6	27:59	3	9	-6	23:42	3	7	-4
Franson	4	10	-6	25:50	3	9	-6	22:24	3	6	-3
Robidas	4	17	-13	18:28	4	12	-8	13:49	2	12	-10
Panik	0	2	-2	05:08	0	2	-2	05:08	0	1	-1
Lupul	1	15	-14	16:33	1	15	-14	15:44	1	13	-12
Booth	2	5	-3	13:13	2	5	-3	13:13	1	5	-4
Van Riemsdyk	5	8	-3	23:16	3	6	-3	17:45	2	5	-3
Holland	4	10	-6	19:03	3	6	-3	14:32	2	6	-4
Santorelli	3	16	-13	16:05	3	16	-13	15:10	3	14	-11
Winnik	3	10	-7	12:47	2	5	-3	07:46	2	4	-2
Bozak	4	11	-7	20:32	2	10	-8	16:44	1	9	-8
Kadri	3	10	-7	17:09	3	10	-7	15:30	3	8	-5
Rielly	6	10	-4	15:43	4	10	-6	14:25	2	10	-8
Gardiner	3	11	-8	20:16	2	11	-9	18:09	2	10	-8
Holzer	0	16	-16	20:26	0	11	-11	16:16	0	9	-9
Kozun	0	3	-3	05:48	0	3	-3	05:48	0	2	-2
Clarkson	2	5	-3	13:46	2	5	-3	12:57	1	5	-4
Kessel	4	7	-3	19:58	2	7	-5	16:30	1	6	-5
Reimer	11	37	-26	65:00	8	31	-23	54:13	6	27	-21

This can be a tough type of night to assess, as virtually everyone was bad. The fourth line forwards, particularly the returning Brandon Kozun and Panik, were the closest to even, but that’s mostly down to how little they played. Phil Kessel and James Van Riemsdyk were fine, both ending up in the negative, but only moderately, while Tyler Bozak was much worse, a -8. However, that wasn’t close to the worst of the forwards, as Joffrey Lupul, who’s been strong since his return, had a horrible defensive night, a -12 at ES close. Even worse than that was Mike Santorelli, who was on for an astonishing 16 Red Wing ES chances in just 15 ES minutes. Nazem Kadri also had a tough night, as similar to Bozak he ended up at -7. Booth, Holland and Clarkson were probably the highlights up front, all ending up at just -3.

Korbinian Holzer had another terrible night, not on for a single Leaf chance, and finishing as a -11, the worst on the defence. Rielly and Gardiner were also both quite poor, both -8 at ES Close. Stephane Robidas also made the list of infamy, finishing at -10 at ES Close. That left Phaneuf and Franson as the ‘good’ performers, though both were -6 at ES overall, hardly strong showings.

Cumulative numbers this season:

Overall	Pos	#	Even Strength				ES Close
			For	Against	%	TOI	For	Against	%
Clarkson	F	28	109	108	50.2%	12:30	60	50	54.5%
Franson	D	26	149	134	52.7%	15:38	84	74	53.2%
Winnik	F	26	83	99	45.6%	11:58	46	42	52.3%
Panik	F	25	44	50	46.8%	08:25	29	29	50.0%
Kadri	F	28	131	148	47.0%	14:00	79	81	49.4%
Komarov	F	23	78	73	51.7%	12:32	39	40	49.4%
Phaneuf	D	28	164	179	47.8%	17:08	102	107	48.8%
Rielly	D	27	131	153	46.1%	15:07	72	76	48.6%
Smith	F	13	20	24	45.5%	07:38	10	11	47.6%
Lupul	F	16	63	80	44.1%	14:11	36	40	47.4%
Reimer	G	10	130	164	44.2%	42:23	65	76	46.1%
Kessel	F	28	152	174	46.6%	14:33	88	105	45.6%
Bernier	G	21	264	313	45.8%	44:31	155	189	45.1%
Holland	F	28	75	103	42.1%	11:00	40	49	44.9%
Polak	D	21	89	128	41.0%	17:41	56	69	44.8%
Van Riemsdyk	F	28	139	178	43.8%	14:44	81	104	43.8%
Bozak	F	28	136	159	46.1%	14:40	74	96	43.5%
Leivo	F	8	18	21	46.2%	07:33	11	15	42.3%
Gardiner	D	26	103	137	42.9%	16:46	53	74	41.7%
Santorelli	F	28	95	116	45.0%	13:11	45	69	39.5%
Percy	D	8	26	41	38.8%	14:54	14	22	38.9%
Robidas	D	27	105	137	43.4%	15:03	50	80	38.5%

Everyone takes big drops in this one, with Clarkson, who had a decent game, staying on top. Lupul drops all the way down to the mid-table. Jake Gardiner’s poor numbers drop him a long way down the table, and he’s now one of the worst regular Leafs. Robidas and Santorelli both fall below the 40% mark at ES Close, making them the two lowest regulars in that category.