Game 40 Scoring Chances: Jets 5 vs. Maple Leafs 1

The Leafs’ long road trip came to an end with a bad loss, as Winnipeg thoroughly outplayed them. The first five minutes were a good start for Toronto, but after that things went south, with Winnipeg out-chancing the Leafs 8-1 at ES over the remainder of the period.

Toronto managed to take the lead after a good start to the second, but four minutes later they were behind. They never managed to get back into it, as in the second half of the game they generated only a single ES chance, and Winnipeg blew the game open.

Status	Overall			Even Strength			ES Close
Team	TOR	WPG	%	TOR	WPG	%	TOR	WPG	%
1	4	8	33.3%	4	8	33.3%	4	8	33.3%
2	6	15	28.6%	2	11	15.4%	2	7	22.2%
3	4	8	33.3%	1	5	16.7%	0	0	-
Total	14	31	31.1%	7	24	22.6%	6	15	28.6%

This was one of the worst Leaf performances of the season, as after the first five minutes they were out-chanced 24-4 at ES. The last time they were out-chanced this badly was the Detroit game Reimer managed to win for them; this time, he wasn’t able to keep them in it.

Club	St	P	Time	TSc	Osc	Note	Toronto						Winnipeg
TOR	ES	1	18:00	0	0	Winnik deflects Polak shot wide	26	37	20	46	51	34	19	14	22	2	4	34
TOR	ES	1	17:14	0	0	Bozak deflects Franson shot wide	25	42	47	3	4	34	18	26	16	33	63	34
TOR	ES	1	16:51	0	0	Bozak from giveaway	25	42	47	3	4	34	18	26	16	33	63	34
WPG	ES	1	13:08	0	0	Chiarot from Scheifle	23	81	21	44	46	34	55	85	67	33	63	34
WPG	ES	1	12:45	0	0	Ladd deflects Clitsome shot wide	23	25	21	3	4	34	18	26	16	23	24	34
WPG	ES	1	11:21	0	0	Galiardi from Postma	36	18	71	51	55	34	15	17	21	2	4	34
WPG	ES	1	11:11	0	0	Perreault from Chiarot	42	47	81	44	46	34	55	85	67	33	63	34
WPG	ES	1	10:12	0	0	Chiarot wide from loose puck	42	47	81	44	46	34	55	85	67	33	63	34
WPG	ES	1	09:55	0	0	Ladd deflects Wheeler shot	26	37	20	3	4	34	18	26	16	2	4	34
WPG	ES	1	07:44	0	0	Schiefle wide from Perreault	36	18	71	51	55	34	55	85	67	23	24	34
WPG	ES	1	04:25	0	0	Frolik drives	23	25	21	51	55	34	55	85	67	23	33	34
TOR	ES	1	00:57	0	0	Van Riemsdyk wide from loose puck	23	25	21	44	46	34	18	85	26	23	24	34
TOR	ES	2	18:42	0	0	McKegg wraparound	26	36	71	44	46	34	15	17	21	2	4	34
TOR	ES	2	17:41	0	0	GOAL! Santorelli from van Riemsdyk	23	25	21	3	4	34	55	85	67	2	4	34
WPG	ES	2	17:12	1	0	Wheeler drives wide	23	25	21	3	4	34	18	26	16	23	24	34
WPG	ES	2	16:31	1	0	GOAL! Galiardi from Byfuglien	18	37	21	44	46	34	15	17	21	33	63	34
WPG	ES	2	14:34	1	1	Wheeler deflects Byfuglien shot	23	25	21	44	46	34	18	26	16	23	24	34
WPG	ES	2	14:07	1	1	Lowry deflects Ladd shot	23	25	21	44	46	34	15	16	17	23	33	34
WPG	ES	2	14:01	1	1	GOAL! Halischuk deflects Chiarot shot	23	25	21	44	46	34	15	16	17	33	63	34
TOR	PP	2	13:17	1	2	Bozak from Van Riemsdyk	42	81	21	3	4	34	19	21	2	23	34	-
TOR	PP	2	13:10	1	2	Franson from Kessel	42	81	21	3	4	34	19	21	2	23	34	-
TOR	PP	2	11:30	1	2	Panik from Gardiner	25	18	71	44	51	34	16	21	24	63	34	-
TOR	PP	2	11:29	1	2	Panik from rebound	25	18	71	44	51	34	16	21	24	63	34	-
WPG	ES	2	10:08	1	2	Wheeler post from loose puck	81	37	20	3	4	34	18	26	16	33	63	34
WPG	ES	2	09:56	1	2	GOAL! Byfuglien from Wheeler	81	37	20	3	4	34	18	26	16	33	63	34
WPG	ES	2	08:20	1	3	Perreault from Slater	23	25	21	44	46	34	19	85	67	23	24	34
WPG	ES	2	07:00	1	3	Wheeler from loose npuck	26	36	71	3	51	34	18	26	16	23	24	34
WPG	SH	2	06:24	1	3	Perreault drives	26	47	46	55	34	-	18	55	85	26	16	33
WPG	SH	2	06:04	1	3	Ladd wide from Perreault	26	3	55	34	-	-	18	85	26	16	33	34
WPG	SH	2	05:52	1	3	Little wide from Wheeler	26	3	55	34	-	-	18	85	26	16	33	34
WPG	ES	2	04:20	1	3	Frolik from Lowry	47	71	3	44	46	34	55	67	17	4	24	34
WPG	PP	2	01:42	1	3	Galiardi drives wide	25	42	47	3	4	34	18	21	33	63	34	-
WPG	ES	2	00:20	1	3	Lowry from Chiarot	36	81	21	44	46	34	15	22	17	33	63	34
WPG	SH	3	16:23	1	3	GOAL! Little from Perreault	26	47	3	46	34	-	18	85	26	16	33	34
WPG	SH	3	15:43	1	4	Byfgulien drives	23	20	4	46	34	-	18	85	26	16	33	34
WPG	SH	3	14:31	1	4	Lowry wide from loose puck	26	37	44	51	34	-	55	67	17	4	24	34
WPG	ES	3	14:19	1	4	Frolik from Schiefle	36	47	71	44	46	34	55	67	17	4	24	34
TOR	PP	3	12:56	1	4	Kessel from Franson	42	81	21	3	4	34	19	21	2	33	34	-
TOR	PP	3	11:59	1	4	Van Riemsdyk drives	42	81	21	4	51	34	26	16	33	63	34	-
TOR	PP	3	06:46	1	5	Van Riemsdyk wide from Gardiner	42	81	21	44	51	34	26	67	23	24	34	-
WPG	ES	3	06:16	1	5	Frolik from rebound	25	42	21	44	51	34	85	15	67	2	4	34
WPG	ES	3	06:14	1	5	Perreault from rebound of Frolik shot	25	42	21	44	51	34	85	15	67	2	4	34
TOR	ES	3	04:18	1	5	Booth wraparound	26	37	20	51	55	34	19	14	22	23	24	34
WPG	ES	3	01:54	1	5	Peluso drives wide	42	81	21	44	46	34	19	14	22	33	63	34
WPG	ES	3	01:48	1	5	Peluso wide from loose puck	42	81	21	44	46	34	19	14	22	33	63	34

Player-by Player data:

Player	Overall				Even Strength				ES Close
	For	Against	Diff	TOI	For	Against	Diff	TOI	For	Against	Diff
Phaneuf	6	11	-5	22:00	3	7	-4	14:40	3	5	-2
Franson	7	7	0	21:39	3	5	-2	14:19	3	5	-2
Panik	2	3	-1	07:24	0	3	-3	05:41	0	3	-3
Booth	2	4	-2	11:58	2	3	-1	10:22	1	3	-2
Van Riemsdyk	7	14	-7	18:25	2	14	-12	14:19	2	8	-6
Smith	2	9	-7	18:01	2	8	-6	15:22	2	7	-5
Santorelli	6	10	-4	18:02	4	9	-5	15:51	4	6	-2
Winnik	3	7	-4	13:05	3	2	1	08:21	2	1	1
McKegg	1	5	-4	11:16	1	5	-4	11:09	1	2	-1
Ashton	2	5	-3	07:30	2	4	-2	06:58	1	4	-3
Bozak	7	7	0	18:29	2	6	-4	13:12	2	2	0
Rielly	5	16	-11	19:18	2	15	-13	16:09	2	7	-5
Polak	3	16	-13	20:31	3	13	-10	17:46	3	7	-4
Komarov	2	7	-5	15:15	2	4	-2	12:40	2	2	0
Gardiner	6	7	-1	19:30	2	6	-4	15:26	1	3	-2
Holzer	1	6	-5	16:41	1	3	-2	14:35	0	3	-3
Clarkson	3	5	-2	13:15	1	5	-4	11:16	1	2	-1
Kessel	5	8	-3	17:37	0	8	-8	13:27	0	5	-5
Reimer	14	31	-17	60:00	7	24	-17	46:38	6	15	-9

It was a terrible game for Phil Kessel, who was not on for a single Leaf ES chance, and finished -9. Van Riemsdyk had it even worse, a -6 at ES Close, and -12 at ES Overall. Tyler Bozak had a much better game, as he joined Leo Komarov at even in ES Close chances. The best performance came from Daniel Winnik, who managed to end up positive in chances, the only Leaf to achieve that. David Booth also had a solid game, only -1, while Smith, who had a great game against Minnesota, struggled.

Morgan Rielly had a disastrous game, as despite the easiest zone starts on the back end, he was the worst Leaf in terms of chances against, finishing at a -13 and on for 15 Jet ES Chances. Roman Polak wasn’t much better, at -10, but he was at least used in harder situations. Cody Franson and Korbinian Holzer both did relatively well, finishing at -2, which is a decent result in a game like this.

Cumulative numbers this season:

Overall	Pos	#	Even Strength				ES Close
			For	Against	%	TOI	For	Against	%
Franson	D	38	210	215	49.4%	15:52	126	120	51.2%
Komarov	F	26	88	82	51.8%	12:32	48	46	51.1%
Winnik	F	38	119	146	44.9%	12:18	67	66	50.4%
Kadri	F	38	183	204	47.3%	14:23	110	114	49.1%
Clarkson	F	40	153	173	46.9%	12:28	85	89	48.9%
Phaneuf	D	40	222	267	45.4%	17:12	138	157	46.8%
Panik	F	35	68	74	47.9%	08:23	43	49	46.7%
Bernier	G	28	384	461	45.4%	45:15	232	275	45.8%
Smith	F	24	45	56	44.6%	08:27	26	31	45.6%
Rielly	D	39	192	236	44.9%	15:24	105	126	45.5%
Lupul	F	26	120	148	44.8%	13:46	65	79	45.1%
Gardiner	D	37	171	218	44.0%	17:11	96	121	44.2%
Kessel	F	40	215	266	44.7%	14:44	130	164	44.2%
Bozak	F	40	204	250	44.9%	14:46	118	151	43.9%
Polak	D	30	141	200	41.3%	17:50	89	114	43.8%
Santorelli	F	40	149	187	44.3%	13:35	82	108	43.2%
Van Riemsdyk	F	40	198	267	42.6%	14:44	119	160	42.7%
Reimer	G	16	195	269	42.0%	42:40	102	144	41.5%
Holland	F	38	106	159	40.0%	11:29	56	82	40.6%
Robidas	D	34	131	184	41.6%	15:07	65	112	36.7%
Holzer	D	16	65	102	38.9%	16:10	34	65	34.3%
Booth	F	19	29	52	35.8%	09:18	16	32	33.3%

After this game, there’s a clear difference between Reimer and Bernier, as the Leafs have been at 45% in front of Bernier, but only 42% when Reimer’s in goal. The difference may be down to random chance, but it’s worth following to see if it’s a regular trend.