Game 48 Scoring Chances and Zone Entries: Lightning 1 v. Leafs 0

The Maple Leafs got off to a miserable start to their last pre-All Star game, with Steven Stamkos scoring early on the powerplay and Jonathan Bernier needing to stand on his head to keep Toronto down by only one.

The Leafs were the better team after that, but they couldn’t find a way past Andrei Vasilevskiy, going 0-for-2 on their Florida trip.

Ten minutes into the game, the Leafs had just two Corsi events, and only one shot on goal, which went with a poor chance showing. The second period was better, chipping away at the Lightning advantage and finishing just ahead in Corsi. The chance story was similar, as the Leafs were able to cut the huge chance deficit early to just three at ES and ended up finishing ahead — though narrowly — in zone entries.

Team	Chances	1st	2nd	3rd	ES	ESClose	ESCh%	NZEnt%	ContEnt
Tor	21	5	8	8	13	6	44.8%	51.0%	41.5%
Tbl	25	15	5	5	16	12	55.2%	49.0%	37.3%

Fifteen of the first sixteen chances of the game went to the Lightning, so Toronto making out of that stretch down by only one was a testament to Bernier’s work. The Leafs responded with nine of the next eleven chances, and pressed early in the third as well, with the first five chances of the final period. However, they weren’t able to do much late in the game, with only one chance for in the last eight minutes.

Period	Time	ST	SO	Team	How	State	T1	T2	T3	T4	T5	T6	O1	O2	O3	O4	O5	O6
1	Tbl	0	0	Stamkos from Namestikov	15:34	SH	2	3	40	45	56		6	42	51	88	90	91
1	Tbl	0	0	GOAL! Stamkos from Stralman	15:22	SH	2	3	40	45	56		6	42	51	88	90	91
1	Tbl	0	1	Johnson from Kucherov	15:06	ES	15	24	42	45	46	51	5	9	17	62	86	88
1	Tbl	0	1	Johnson from rebound	15:04	ES	15	24	42	45	46	51	5	9	17	62	86	88
1	Tbl	0	1	Callahan deflects Coburn shot wide	14:51	ES	2	40	43	44	45	47	23	24	51	55	77	88
1	Tbl	0	1	Callahan from Filppula	14:39	ES	2	40	43	44	45	47	23	24	51	55	77	88
1	Tbl	0	1	Hedman wide from Palat	14:31	ES	3	40	43	45	47	51	18	55	77	88	90	91
1	Tor	0	1	Kadri wide from Gardiner	14:19	ES	3	40	43	45	47	51	18	55	77	88	90	91
1	Tbl	0	1	Marchessault from Filppula	12:09	SH	2	40	45	46	47		6	42	51	88	90	91
1	Tbl	0	1	Namestnikov from rebound	12:05	SH	2	40	45	46	47		6	42	51	88	90	91
1	Tbl	0	1	Killorn drives	11:14	SH	2	40	45	46	56		9	17	18	77	86	88
1	Tbl	0	1	Killorn from Kucherov	10:36	ES	2	26	45	46	47	51	9	17	18	77	86	88
1	Tbl	0	1	Callahan from loose puck	09:28	ES	3	15	24	42	44	45	13	23	24	55	88	89
1	Tbl	0	1	Namestnikov from Palat	08:41	ES	2	16	19	23	45	46	18	55	88	89	90	91
1	Tbl	0	1	Paquette from Marchesseault	05:35	ES	2	25	26	44	45	56	5	11	13	42	62	88
1	Tbl	0	1	Nesterov from Stamkos	04:19	ES	16	19	23	45	46	51	18	55	88	89	90	91
1	Tor	0	1	Parenteau from Matthias	04:05	ES	3	15	20	24	42	45	18	55	88	89	90	91
1	Tor	0	1	Holland from Bozak	03:42	ES	3	15	20	24	42	45	9	17	55	86	88	89
1	Tor	0	1	Grabner wide from Phaneuf	01:03	SH	3	16	40	44	45		9	17	18	77	86	88
1	Tor	0	1	Froese drives post	00:52	SH	3	44	45	47	56		6	42	51	88	90	91
2	Tor	0	1	Grabner drives	18:33	ES	3	20	40	43	45	47	6	9	17	77	86	88
2	Tbl	0	1	Namestnikov drives	17:18	ES	2	16	23	26	44	45	18	55	88	89	90	91
2	Tbl	0	1	Namestnikov deflects Filppula shot	15:10	SH	2	16	45	46	47		18	51	77	88	90	91
2	Tor	0	1	Matthias from Bozak	13:57	PP	15	19	23	42	44	45	5	11	62	88	91
2	Tor	0	1	Lupul from Parenteau	13:43	PP	15	19	23	42	44	45	6	24	51	77	88
2	Tor	0	1	Gardiner deflects Kadri shot	12:34	PP	19	24	43	44	45	51	13	23	55	77	88
2	Tor	0	1	Kadri drives	12:26	PP	3	24	42	43	45	47	5	6	11	51	88
2	Tbl	0	1	Nesterov drives	10:35	ES	2	15	40	44	45		77	88	89	90	91
2	Tor	0	1	Grabner from rebound	06:58	ES	2	40	43	44	45	47	6	18	77	88	90	91
2	Tbl	0	1	Filppula from Stralman	05:20	SH	2	16	40	45	46		6	42	51	88	90	91
2	Tbl	0	1	Filppula drives wide	01:46	PP	15	19	23	42	44	45	5	6	23	51	88
2	Tor	0	1	Parenteau from loose puck	01:17	PP	15	19	42	45	47	51	11	18	55	62	88
2	Tor	0	1	Froese drives	00:05	ES	2	24	25	45	46	56	5	6	17	23	88	90
3	Tor	0	1	Rielly post from loose puck	18:14	ES	2	16	19	23	44	45	18	55	88	89	90	91
3	Tor	0	1	Kadri drives	15:30	ES	40	43	44	45	46	47	6	23	24	51	77	88
3	Tor	0	1	Kadri deflects Rielly shot wide	15:17	ES	15	43	44	45	47	51	6	23	24	51	77	88
3	Tor	0	1	Phaneuf from Komarov	13:58	PP	3	24	42	43	45	51	5	6	13	88	91
3	Tor	0	1	Phaneuf from Froese	12:01	ES	3	25	26	44	45	56	9	17	62	86	88	89
3	Tbl	0	1	Stamkos wide from Stralman	11:08	ES	40	43	44	45	47	51	6	18	77	88	90	91
3	Tbl	0	1	Killorn drives	10:09	SH	2	40	45	46	56		9	17	18	77	86	88
3	Tor	0	1	Rielly drives	08:08	ES	3	16	44	45	46	47	6	42	51	88	90	91
3	Tor	0	1	Rielly deflects Corrado shot wide	08:00	ES	3	16	20	43	44	45	6	42	51	88	90	91
3	Tbl	0	1	Hedman from Johnson	07:05	ES	3	15	24	42	45	51	9	17	77	86	88	89
3	Tbl	0	1	Brown wraparound	04:14	ES	3	19	43	45	47	51	6	23	24	51	77	88
3	Tbl	0	1	Callahan from rebound	04:13	ES	3	19	43	45	47	51	6	23	24	51	77	88
3	Tor	0	1	Bozak from Rielly	03:22	ES	15	20	24	42	44	45	9	17	77	86	88	89

Leafs Player Data

Player	ESChF	ESChA	ESCh%	ESTOI	ZS%	NZ%	ContEnt	OppContEnt
Clune	2	1	66.7%	13:54	100.0%	60.0%	22.2%	16.7%
Froese	2	1	66.7%	07:30	100.0%	65.2%	33.3%	25.0%
Spaling	3	3	50.0%	07:27	100.0%	43.5%	50.0%	38.5%
Holland	4	4	50.0%	08:59	61.5%	46.9%	33.3%	41.2%
Kadri	6	6	50.0%	14:09	14.3%	58.3%	57.1%	30.0%
Komarov	6	7	46.2%	16:18	15.4%	52.2%	58.3%	27.3%
Parenteau	4	5	44.4%	16:50	57.1%	44.4%	37.5%	45.0%
Grabner	4	5	44.4%	07:11	0.0%	52.4%	63.6%	40.0%
Bozak	3	4	42.9%	11:03	61.5%	44.1%	33.3%	42.1%
Matthias	1	3	25.0%	05:39	100.0%	53.6%	46.7%	38.5%
Winnik	1	3	25.0%	06:31	100.0%	57.1%	16.7%	33.3%
Lupul	1	4	20.0%	09:11	75.0%	50.0%	50.0%	35.7%
Corrado	5	0	100.0%	05:39	50.0%	42.9%	50.0%	25.0%
Phaneuf	7	5	58.3%	14:13	40.0%	48.5%	31.3%	29.4%
Rielly	8	7	53.3%	13:54	26.7%	61.9%	38.5%	37.5%
Polak	3	5	37.5%	20:38	40.0%	46.7%	42.9%	45.8%
Hunwick	3	7	30.0%	16:52	44.4%	52.3%	43.5%	38.1%
Gardiner	2	9	18.2%	13:37	54.6%	45.2%	50.0%	35.3%

The top two lines ended up finishing strong, with Nazem Kadri’s line dominating controlled entries and finishing even. Leo Komarov and Michael Grabner were not far behind. Peter Holland, with Tyler Bozak and P.A. Parenteau, produced a similar result, although they were given more offensive zone starts. All three forwards finished even or slightly in the negative.

The fourth line had a nice response after their poor game in Sunrise, generating a couple of chances. The third line, led by Joffrey Lupul, were all at least -2 in the negative despite getting very few defensive zone starts.

Frank Corrado featured in less than six ES minutes in this game but was excellent at driving chances in that time, on for almost one ES chance a minute playing mostly with Dion Phaneuf.

Jake Gardiner had the worst numbers with a -7 chance differential and terrible possession figures alongside Roman Polak.

Like Corrado, Morgan Rielly paired well with Dion Phaneuf, as his numbers saw a substantial lift once he was away from Matt Hunwick.