Game 45 Scoring Chances and Zone Entries: Hurricanes 1 vs. Leafs 0 (OT)

The scoreline points to a pretty dull game, but there were a decent number of chances both ways in this game.

The two goaltenders played well to keep it scoreless. After neither side managed to score in regulation, James Reimer was finally beaten by Jordan Staal in overtime, giving Carolina the win.

This game was really down to Reimer, as Carolina dominated the chances, especially in the third period, where they pulled away to establish a big overall lead. The Corsi numbers were much closer, as Carolina overhauled a substantial lead built up by the Leafs in the second period. Carolina dominated the neutral zone as well, which fit with their superior chance numbers. Hockeystats.ca gives much more favourable chance numbers for the Leafs, but my review found that a number of shot locations were not that accurate, and I’ll stand by my numbers.

Team	Chances	1st	2nd	3rd	OT	ES	ESClose	ESCh%	NZEnt%	ContEnt
Tor	12	4	5	0	3	9	6	36.0%	45.5%	36.9%
Car	22	7	6	6	3	16	13	64.0%	54.5%	39.7%

Toronto had a terrible start, giving up the first six chances of the game. While they were able to find a groove midway through the second period, things went south again in the third period. Toronto’s finish to regulation was even worse than their start, as Carolina had the last nine chances of the game, including shutting out Toronto in the third period.

Period	Time	ST	SO	Team	How	State	T1	T2	T3	T4	T5	T6	O1	O2	O3	O4	O5	O6
1	18:56	0	0	Car	J Staal from rebound	ES	3	15	23	34	42	51	11	15	27	31	42	65
1	16:03	0	0	Car	Nestrasil from J Staal	ES	3	15	23	34	42	51	5	11	15	31	42	74
1	15:29	0	0	Car	Di Giuseppe from Hainsey	ES	19	24	28	34	46	52	27	31	34	49	53	65
1	14:10	0	0	Car	E Staal drives	SH	3	26	34	44	47		11	15	26	31	53	54
1	13:54	0	0	Car	Skinner from Liles	SH	3	26	34	44	47		11	15	26	31	53	54
1	12:59	0	0	Car	Gerbe drives	ES	2	34	40	43	46	56	14	18	20	31	65	74
1	08:33	0	0	Tor	Parenteau from rebound	PP	3	15	23	28	34	42	16	18	31	65	74
1	04:58	0	0	Tor	Grabner deflects Rielly shot	ES	3	34	40	43	44	47	12	16	27	31	32	65
1	03:52	0	0	Car	Skinner drives	ES	19	24	28	34	46	52	5	31	34	49	53	74
1	03:12	0	0	Tor	Phaneuf drives	PP	3	15	23	28	34	42	11	31	42	65	74
1	00:49	0	0	Tor	Komarov from Grabner	ES	2	34	40	43	44	47	5	12	16	27	31	32
2	17:10	0	0	Tor	Bozak drives	ES	2	15	34	42	44		12	27	31	53	65
2	13:52	0	0	Tor	Parenteau wide from loose puck	ES	2	15	23	34	42	44	5	16	31	49	53	74
2	13:44	0	0	Tor	Hunwick wide from Matthias	ES	2	15	23	34	42	44	5	16	31	49	53	74
2	08:06	0	0	Tor	Holland wide from rebound	ES	19	24	28	34	46	52	14	18	20	27	31	65
2	06:09	0	0	Car	Versteeg from Di Giuseppe	ES	2	34	40	43	44	47	12	26	31	32	34	54
2	06:08	0	0	Car	Di Giuseppe wraparound	ES	2	34	40	43	44	47	12	26	31	32	34	54
2	05:39	0	0	Car	E Staal drives	SH	2	34	40	46	56		11	15	26	31	53	54
2	05:28	0	0	Tor	Grabner drives	SH	2	34	40	46	56		11	15	26	31	53	54
2	02:03	0	0	Car	Faulk from Hanifin	SH	2	34	40	46	56		5	12	16	27	31	49
2	00:49	0	0	Car	J Staal wide from rebound	SH	26	34	44	47	52		11	15	26	31	53	54
2	00:30	0	0	Car	McClement from rebound	ES	3	26	34	44	47	52	14	18	20	31	65	74
3	18:14	0	0	Car	Skinner drives	ES	3	15	23	34	42	51	5	16	31	49	53	74
3	14:36	0	0	Car	Nestrasil drives	ES	19	24	28	34	46	52	5	11	15	31	42	74
3	08:29	0	0	Car	Nash from loose puck	ES	3	25	26	34	51	56	14	18	20	26	31	54
3	05:12	0	0	Car	Rask post from Hanifin	SH	2	26	34	40	46		5	12	16	27	31	49
3	01:10	0	0	Car	Skinner from loose puck	ES	2	24	26	34	40	44	16	27	31	49	53	74
3	00:48	0	0	Car	Rask deflects Faulk shot	ES	24	26	34	40	44	46	16	26	27	31	49	53
4	04:32	0	0	Car	J Staal drives	ES	15	34	42	44			11	27	31	65
4	03:53	0	0	Tor	Kadri from Komarov	ES	2	34	43	47			12	16	31	74
4	02:49	0	0	Tor	Parenteau from Rielly	ES	15	34	42	44			5	26	31	49
4	02:48	0	0	Tor	Bozak from rebound	ES	15	34	42	44			5	26	31	49
4	02:08	0	0	Car	Faulk from J Staal	ES	15	34	42	44			11	27	31	54
4	02:06	0	0	Car	GOAL! J Staal from rebound	ES	15	34	42	44			11	27	31	54

Leafs Player Data

Player	ESChF	ESChA	ESCh%	ESTOI	ZS%	NZ%	ContEnt	OppContEnt
Kadri	3	3	50.0%	17:47	33.3%	56.3%	44.4%	42.9%
Komarov	3	3	50.0%	15:42	25.0%	52.5%	47.6%	31.6%
Parenteau	5	6	45.5%	15:05	62.5%	40.4%	31.6%	53.6%
Bozak	5	6	45.5%	16:28	50.0%	34.8%	37.5%	50.0%
Matthias	2	3	40.0%	12:14	50.0%	39.5%	13.3%	43.5%
Grabner	2	5	28.6%	15:32	50.0%	47.6%	50.0%	50.0%
Lupul	1	3	25.0%	09:59	100.0%	42.9%	25.0%	37.5%
Boyes	1	3	25.0%	06:52	100.0%	40.0%	25.0%	25.0%
Holland	1	5	16.7%	11:33	100.0%	45.7%	31.3%	31.6%
Clune	0	1	0.0%	07:33	50.0%	45.0%	22.2%	9.1%
Winnik	0	4	0.0%	09:37	33.3%	48.0%	33.3%	15.4%
Froese	0	2	0.0%	08:44	33.3%	42.9%	22.2%	25.0%
Hunwick	5	4	55.6%	20:20	25.0%	50.0%	51.9%	40.7%
Rielly	7	8	46.7%	21:03	50.0%	45.6%	50.0%	38.7%
Marincin	1	4	20.0%	12:09	25.0%	45.7%	6.3%	42.1%
Phaneuf	1	5	16.7%	15:00	50.0%	38.6%	29.4%	29.6%
Polak	1	5	16.7%	15:57	50.0%	46.3%	21.1%	45.5%
Gardiner	0	4	0.0%	15:07	66.7%	43.8%	33.3%	37.0%

The top two lines were both able to generate some offense, with the most chances coming from Tyler Bozak and P.A. Parenteau, who had a couple of chances in overtime to add to their regulation efforts with Shawn Matthias. That line finished in the negative, but only by a single chance. The only forwards on the Leafs to finish even were Nazem Kadri and Leo Komarov, who were effective against Eric Staal. Michael Grabner had a poor shift late, on with Daniel Winnik and Peter Holland, that dropped him away from his linemates. Winnik and Holland were the worst of the forwards, as that third line was outmatched, including some poor possession numbers against Jay McClement’s line.

It’s rare that Matt Hunwick and Morgan Rielly are at the top of the defencemen rankings, but it goes to show what an effective night they had against the top Carolina line, mostly able to shut them down. Carolina was able to make hay against the other two defense pairings, though. Marincin and Polak, who avoided the top lines as usual, were the clearly outchanced and struggled to drive any controlled entries, while Jake Gardiner was the only Leaf defenceman not on for a single Toronto ES chance.